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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 17, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Grizzlies
74
2Spurs
106
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.8
28
27
6
5
3
0
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
3-13
6-13
23%
44%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 36.1
23
32
2
4
1
0
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
0-3
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 29.4
22
23
6
2
3
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
40%
2-3
67%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 39.2
19
20
16
3
2
0
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
4-4
1-4
100%
38%
2-3
67%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.8
17
14
2
9
1
1
0
1
1
3
6
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
54%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 25.6
29
29
14
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
4-10
57%
44%
2-4
50%
Xavier Munford
G · 6'4" 173 · 23.9
28
26
4
1
4
3
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
38%
0-2
0%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 21.9
23
18
5
4
0
1
0
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
2-3
2-5
67%
43%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 34.3
21
9
7
3
1
0
1
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-8
1-3
25%
44%
1-1
100%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 25.8
19
23
7
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
3-7
4-8
43%
44%
0-0
-
PJ Hairston
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.3
12
16
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
39%
1-2
50%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.5
17
0
2-4
58%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.5
11
0
1-3
43%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 31.2
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 21.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.8
29
23
20
2
0
4
1
3
1
1
1
1-1
100%
5-7
4-8
71%
54%
3-6
50%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.7
27
16
17
4
0
0
0
2
1
3
1
1-1
100%
8-15
4-7
53%
51%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 40.0
22
28
7
11
0
1
1
2
2
1
10
1-2
50%
3-4
4-8
75%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.9
21
19
15
1
6
0
0
0
3
0
1
3-3
100%
6-10
3-5
60%
50%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.8
20
24
3
3
0
3
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
1-1
100%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 34.0
21
17
4
2
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
54%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.7
21
19
2
7
3
1
1
1
0
0
7
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.7
19
19
15
4
2
2
1
0
0
0
4
4-4
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
3-7
43%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.6
17
17
4
5
2
0
0
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
1-3
3-5
33%
51%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.6
15
24
0
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 33.2
12
18
10
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
43%
2-3
67%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.7
10
22
6
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
4-6
60%
58%
0-0
-
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.6
8
16
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
53%
1-2
50%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 36.0
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 40.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.