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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with player e-skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 22, 2016
9:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs
96
22Grizzlies
87
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.8
42
27
32
7
2
4
1
5
0
1
6
4-5
80%
5-13
5-9
38%
53%
6-9
67%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.8
33
24
16
10
1
0
0
1
1
3
7
6-7
86%
5-10
5-11
50%
50%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.8
25
21
11
4
0
1
1
3
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
3-7
43%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.9
24
22
2
2
7
1
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
50%
0-2
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 40.0
14
25
6
3
2
0
1
2
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-3
3-7
67%
50%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.7
27
17
11
3
5
1
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
49%
3-4
75%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 34.0
21
19
8
2
2
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
54%
0-1
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.7
20
19
2
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-3
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.6
18
17
4
5
2
1
0
0
0
2
3
0-2
0%
2-5
2-5
40%
51%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.6
14
18
4
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
2-2
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.6
2
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 33.2
15
0
1-3
42%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.7
10
0
2-3
57%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 36.0
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 40.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 36.1
42
28
17
11
4
2
1
0
2
2
9
4-5
80%
5-9
2-5
56%
45%
1-6
17%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.8
39
29
20
11
1
0
1
0
3
5
6
2-2
100%
9-21
6-14
43%
44%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 34.3
36
19
5
4
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
5-6
83%
0-5
3-6
0%
45%
0-3
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 29.4
33
26
7
2
6
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
40%
1-4
25%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 39.2
26
18
11
8
0
0
1
0
1
3
5
4-4
100%
2-10
1-4
20%
39%
1-2
50%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 25.6
22
18
8
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
45%
0-1
0%
Xavier Munford
G · 6'4" 173 · 23.9
15
26
7
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-6
100%
39%
1-2
50%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.8
14
19
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
55%
0-0
-
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 25.8
13
19
10
4
2
0
1
2
3
1
3
0-2
0%
5-5
3-7
100%
45%
0-0
-
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 21.9
21
0
2-6
44%
PJ Hairston
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.3
12
0
1-2
40%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.5
8
0
1-2
44%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.5
7
0
1-1
59%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 31.2
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 21.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use e-skills to estimate a player's true skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about E-Skills here.