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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 24, 2016
1:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs
116
22Grizzlies
95
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.8
28
36
21
7
4
1
2
2
2
3
4
7-7
100%
4-7
6-12
57%
53%
2-3
67%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.8
26
29
15
10
0
1
1
0
0
2
8
3-3
100%
6-11
6-12
55%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.9
21
23
16
0
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
3-4
75%
5-8
3-7
63%
49%
1-3
33%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 40.0
19
19
7
2
2
0
1
3
1
1
1
1-1
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
49%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.8
18
23
2
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 34.0
22
20
7
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-6
2-4
17%
54%
1-1
100%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.6
21
16
5
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
48%
1-2
50%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.7
20
17
11
4
2
3
0
1
0
4
0
2-3
67%
3-4
2-5
75%
51%
1-3
33%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.7
20
20
9
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
3-7
43%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.6
15
7
8
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
2-5
1-1
40%
51%
1-1
100%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.7
14
22
7
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
3-4
75%
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 40.1
9
9
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.7
7
5
8
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
4-5
80%
2-2
1-2
100%
57%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 36.1
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 33.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 36.1
45
35
15
8
4
1
1
1
6
1
7
2-3
67%
5-8
3-6
63%
44%
1-5
20%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 29.4
28
29
6
1
5
0
1
0
5
0
1
2-2
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
40%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 39.2
28
22
14
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
38%
4-4
100%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.8
22
34
15
7
0
0
1
0
0
4
3
3-3
100%
6-11
7-17
55%
43%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 34.3
16
28
6
1
0
2
2
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
3-8
43%
44%
0-2
0%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 25.6
35
20
26
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
4-5
80%
11-19
3-7
58%
45%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.8
24
15
7
13
2
1
0
1
1
8
5
5-8
63%
1-5
1-2
20%
54%
0-0
-
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 25.8
22
16
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
0-0
-
Xavier Munford
G · 6'4" 173 · 23.9
20
20
2
1
2
1
1
2
1
0
1
0-2
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
41%
0-2
0%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 21.9
11
0
1-3
43%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.5
7
0
1-2
43%
PJ Hairston
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.3
6
0
0-1
41%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.6
4
0
1-1
57%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 31.2
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 21.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.