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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 21, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Thunder
131
14Mavericks
102
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.6
37
35
34
7
3
1
1
0
4
0
7
9-11
82%
8-16
6-12
50%
53%
3-9
33%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.6
37
30
16
6
2
1
0
2
0
0
6
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
52%
2-2
100%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.4
34
32
26
0
15
2
2
1
6
0
0
6-9
67%
7-13
5-11
54%
47%
2-3
67%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.4
24
18
5
5
0
2
1
1
0
0
5
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
58%
1-1
100%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.8
23
28
4
6
1
1
1
0
0
4
2
0-0
-
2-4
4-6
50%
58%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.4
28
27
19
4
3
1
1
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
3-3
2-5
100%
43%
4-8
50%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 23.9
22
21
21
8
1
1
0
1
0
4
4
8-10
80%
5-6
4-8
83%
54%
1-1
100%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 32.6
14
13
3
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 35.5
12
9
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.7
4
9
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.6
4
11
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Josh Huestis
G · 6'7" 230 · 24.3
2
4
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
1-1
100%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.0
9
0
0-1
43%
Mitch McGary
F · 6'10" 255 · 23.9
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 38.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 31.8
35
35
18
3
4
4
1
0
4
0
3
1-2
50%
7-13
4-8
54%
44%
1-2
50%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.5
33
35
22
5
2
2
1
0
1
2
3
7-10
70%
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
3-7
43%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 37.8
33
32
16
5
5
1
1
2
0
1
4
2-3
67%
7-11
5-10
64%
47%
0-1
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.8
32
10
15
2
7
0
0
0
5
0
2
2-2
100%
5-10
1-3
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 32.2
19
21
5
6
3
0
1
0
0
2
4
5-6
83%
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 33.1
23
21
5
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-2
1-3
100%
49%
0-3
0%
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 22.4
19
18
12
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
5-6
83%
2-4
1-3
50%
49%
1-4
25%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.0
17
4
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 29.9
14
20
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
0-1
2-3
0%
55%
0-0
-
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 24.8
5
10
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-1
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 31.7
5
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
0-1
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.3
4
3
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.8
26
1
2-6
43%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 28.5
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.