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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 17, 2016
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Trail Blazers35%10095
9Clippers65%106115
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.8
38.0
29.3
21
53%
2
8
1
1
0
4
0
2
4-6
67%
4-9
4-9
44%
44%
3-8
38%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.6
37.2
30.3
9
38%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-6
4-10
33%
44%
1-5
20%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.6
25.9
23.8
10
39%
12
3
1
1
0
2
2
10
2-2
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
46%
2-8
25%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.9
20.7
22.6
9
51%
3
1
0
1
2
0
1
2
3-4
75%
3-4
2-5
75%
52%
0-3
0%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 26.1
19.0
25.4
4
29%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
1-6
3-6
17%
52%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 28.4
30.0
9.7
16
67%
2
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
5-10
1-3
50%
44%
2-2
100%
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.0
25.5
25.3
6
51%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.9
19.5
21.1
6
46%
8
2
0
1
0
2
2
6
4-8
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
56%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 34.0
7.9
6
75%
2
1
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 20.6
7.1
17.3
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 30.4
3.4
9.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-1
0%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.3
2.9
16.3
5
125%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
40%
1-1
100%
Luis Montero
· 6'7" 185 · 23.0
2.9
4.2
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
1-1
100%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.1
Cliff Alexander
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.9
32.7
18.0
28
65%
6
11
2
1
0
2
3
3
6-6
100%
8-14
3-5
57%
51%
2-5
40%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.7
32.4
18.7
18
60%
12
1
1
0
4
1
2
10
8-18
44%
5-7
3-4
71%
68%
0-0
-
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 27.1
31.8
16.9
19
62%
12
6
1
0
1
2
2
10
9-12
75%
5-10
4-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 31.8
26.6
17.9
17
71%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
7-9
2-4
78%
49%
1-3
33%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.6
18.7
13.8
0
0%
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 36.1
27.5
27.0
13
54%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
5-8
3-6
63%
45%
1-4
25%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.7
17.7
24.4
11
55%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.6
16.1
24.0
3
31%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
3-7
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 27.5
14.5
19.1
1
114%
5
0
2
1
1
2
3
2
1-1
100%
0-0
3-5
-
55%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 38.5
10.7
19.9
2
50%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.8
9.5
24.4
3
75%
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
47%
1-2
50%
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 38.9
1.8
24.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 29.0
9.1
0
1-2
53%
Branden Dawson
F · 6'6" 225 · 23.2
CJ Wilcox
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.