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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
May 5, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Heat
92
6Raptors
96
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 31.1
42
33
12
6
0
2
1
1
1
3
3
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
48%
2-4
50%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 34.9
41
35
17
6
4
0
1
0
0
0
6
1-1
100%
8-16
3-7
50%
46%
0-6
0%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.9
39
31
13
12
1
3
1
3
4
4
8
3-5
60%
5-7
5-9
71%
58%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.3
38
31
17
6
3
0
1
0
5
0
6
2-4
50%
6-16
7-15
38%
47%
1-1
100%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.0
35
33
20
4
4
0
1
1
4
1
3
2-2
100%
6-10
6-11
60%
51%
2-2
100%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.6
27
23
5
4
1
0
1
1
2
0
4
1-1
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.3
16
9
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
0-0
-
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.1
14
20
2
3
1
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.9
9
4
2
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.5
4
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.2
7
0
1-1
48%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 24.0
5
0
0-1
48%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 30.4
2
0
0-0
42%
Briante Weber
G · 6'2" 165 · 23.3
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 30.1
47
38
18
4
6
3
2
0
4
1
3
3-6
50%
6-15
3-8
40%
45%
1-7
14%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 26.7
42
38
20
8
1
3
1
0
0
2
6
2-8
25%
9-24
8-17
38%
44%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.8
40
32
21
5
1
4
1
0
0
2
3
4-6
67%
4-7
2-5
57%
49%
3-6
50%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.0
38
32
15
12
2
3
0
1
2
6
6
1-2
50%
7-9
6-11
78%
55%
0-0
-
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 22.9
9
20
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 25.2
28
17
10
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-9
2-3
56%
47%
0-2
0%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
26
23
8
2
4
0
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
49%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.1
17
21
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 23.7
14
15
0
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.2
5
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 36.0
2
0
0-0
46%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.0
1
0
0-0
46%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29.8
1
0
0-0
50%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 23.8
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 20.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.