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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
May 11, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Heat34%9591
7Raptors66%10199
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.0
38.9
33.7
13
45%
5
2
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-1
0%
5-10
6-11
50%
51%
1-4
25%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.3
34.3
33.8
20
54%
7
4
0
1
1
3
2
5
7-10
70%
5-12
8-16
42%
47%
1-2
50%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 34.9
33.1
35.8
11
42%
8
1
0
1
0
0
1
7
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
46%
1-4
25%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 31.1
24.3
36.9
4
20%
6
0
1
1
0
2
2
4
4-4
100%
0-7
3-6
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.5
3.2
6.8
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.1
33.0
18.1
8
43%
7
0
0
1
0
2
2
5
2-3
67%
3-7
1-3
43%
47%
0-1
0%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.7
21.5
22.8
13
81%
3
1
1
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
3-5
60%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.2
18.2
13.0
6
60%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 24.0
13.3
4.8
6
82%
0
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
6-6
100%
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-1
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.3
10.1
8.8
4
41%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.9
10.1
10.9
6
104%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 30.4
1.4
0
0-0
39%
Briante Weber
G · 6'2" 165 · 23.4
0.2
0
0-0
40%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.9
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 30.1
41.4
35.1
25
47%
10
6
3
2
1
1
1
9
3-4
75%
5-16
3-7
31%
45%
4-9
44%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.2
40.3
30.7
8
31%
6
1
0
1
1
0
3
3
2-2
100%
3-8
2-3
38%
50%
0-4
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 23.7
37.9
19.5
10
74%
6
0
2
0
4
4
3
3
2-4
50%
4-5
2-3
80%
54%
0-0
-
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 26.8
33.8
34.9
34
63%
4
2
2
1
0
1
0
4
11-11
100%
10-21
7-16
48%
44%
1-1
100%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.8
26.4
34.1
6
34%
6
1
0
1
0
2
2
4
3-4
75%
0-5
3-5
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
25.3
27.0
9
70%
1
5
2
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
49%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 25.3
22.0
22.0
5
83%
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29.8
10.1
0.6
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
50%
0-0
-
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 23.0
2.9
10.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 23.8
14.2
0
1-2
53%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 36.0
2.5
0
0-0
45%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.2
2.5
0
0-0
52%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.0
0.8
0
0-0
43%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 20.6
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.