Final Win Prob. pScore
1733%95
91
767%101
99
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
102.28994.2
TOR logo Raptors
110.09085.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR91
99
Q4 - 0:05.0TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)91
99
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot91
99
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 3)91
99
Q4 - 0:09.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)91
99
Q4 - 0:09.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)91
98
Q4 - 0:09.0MIADragic Personal Take Foul (P3.PN) (S.Foster)91
97
Q4 - 0:11.0TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)91
97
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
97
Q4 - 0:21.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)91
97
Q4 - 0:21.0TORSUB: Biyombo FOR Ross91
96
Q4 - 0:21.0MIASUB: Winslow FOR Green91
96
Q4 - 0:21.0MIASUB: Dragic FOR Johnson91
96
Q4 - 0:21.0MIASUB: Johnson FOR Haslem91
96
Q4 - 0:21.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)91
96
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAGreen Personal Take Foul (P2.PN) (T.Brothers)91
95
Q4 - 0:21.0MIASUB: Haslem FOR Winslow91
95
Q4 - 0:21.0MIASUB: Green FOR Dragic91
95
Q4 - 0:21.0MIASUB: Johnson FOR Johnson91
95
Q4 - 0:21.0TORSUB: Ross FOR Biyombo91
95
Q4 - 0:21.0TORRAPTORS Timeout: Short (Full 5 Short 2)91
95
Q4 - 0:21.0TOR91
95
Q4 - 0:21.0TORBiyombo Violation:Defensive Goaltending (T.Brothers)91
95
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAWade 3' Layup (20 PTS)91
95
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 2)89
95
Q4 - 0:23.0TORLowry 12' Pullup Jump Shot (25 PTS)89
95
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAWade 15' Pullup Jump Shot (18 PTS)89
93
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)87
93
Q4 - 0:52.0TORLowry 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (23 PTS)87
93
Q4 - 1:15MIADragic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T15)87
90
Q4 - 1:33TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)87
90
Q4 - 1:33TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)87
89
Q4 - 1:33MIAWade Personal Block Foul (P2.PN) (S.Foster)87
88
Q4 - 1:54MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)87
88
Q4 - 1:54MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)86
88
Q4 - 1:54TORLowry S.FOUL (P2.T3) (T.Brothers)85
88
Q4 - 2:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)85
88
Q4 - 2:08TORMISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot85
88
Q4 - 2:36MIAWade 16' Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS)85
88
Q4 - 2:47MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)83
88
Q4 - 2:48TORMISS Lowry 16' Jump Shot83
88
Q4 - 3:00MIASUB: Dragic FOR Johnson83
88
Q4 - 3:00TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)83
88
Q4 - 3:03MIAJohnson 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)83
88
Q4 - 3:17TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)81
88
Q4 - 3:17TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)81
87
Q4 - 3:17MIAJohnson S.FOUL (P2.PN) (S.Foster)81
86
Q4 - 3:40MIAJohnson 3' Jump Shot (9 PTS)81
86
Q4 - 3:43MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
86
Q4 - 3:43MIAMISS Johnson 7' Driving Hook Shot79
86
Q4 - 3:59TORJoseph 2' Driving Reverse Layup (9 PTS)79
86
Q4 - 4:17TORSUB: DeRozan FOR Ross79
84
Q4 - 4:17MIAWinslow Personal Block Foul (P5.T4) (T.Brothers)79
84
Q4 - 4:17TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)79
84
Q4 - 4:17TORMISS Patterson 13' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot79
84
Q4 - 4:44MIAWinslow 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)79
84
Q4 - 5:07MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
84
Q4 - 5:08TORMISS Lowry 22' Jump Shot77
84
Q4 - 5:31MIAJoseph STEAL (2 STL)77
84
Q4 - 5:39MIASUB: Wade FOR Dragic77
84
Q4 - 5:39MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)77
84
Q4 - 5:47MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
84
Q4 - 5:48TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot77
84
Q4 - 6:09TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
84
Q4 - 6:09MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
84
Q4 - 6:24MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
84
Q4 - 6:25TORMISS Patterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
84
Q4 - 6:36TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
84
Q4 - 6:36MIAMISS Johnson 5' Floating Jump Shot77
84
Q4 - 6:49MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
84
Q4 - 6:50TORMISS Patterson 15' Jump Shot77
84
Q4 - 6:53TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)77
84
Q4 - 6:53TORMISS Lowry 27' 3PT Jump Shot77
84
Q4 - 7:29MIARichardson 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)77
84
Q4 - 7:40TORLowry 5' Driving Hook Shot (20 PTS)74
84
Q4 - 7:57MIARichardson 3PT Running Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)74
82
Q4 - 8:04MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)71
82
Q4 - 8:05TORMISS Lowry 1' Driving Layup71
82
Q4 - 8:19MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)71
82
Q4 - 8:19TORSUB: Ross FOR DeRozan70
82
Q4 - 8:19MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)70
82
Q4 - 8:19TORDeRozan S.FOUL (P5.T2) (S.Wright)69
82
Q4 - 8:33TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)69
82
Q4 - 8:33MIAWinslow S.FOUL (P4.T3) (S.Wright)69
81
Q4 - 8:33TORDeRozan 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Lowry 6 AST)69
81
Q4 - 8:4169
79
Q4 - 8:41MIAJohnson L.B.FOUL (P1.T2) (T.Brothers)69
79
Q4 - 8:41TORRAPTORS Rebound69
79
Q4 - 8:41TORMISS Lowry 7' Hook Shot69
79
Q4 - 9:04TORSUB: Lowry FOR Ross69
79
Q4 - 9:04MIARichardson L.B.FOUL (P2.T1) (S.Wright)69
79
Q4 - 9:04TORRAPTORS Rebound69
79
Q4 - 9:04TORMISS DeRozan 19' Jump Shot69
79
Q4 - 9:21MIADragic Violation:Kicked Ball (S.Foster)69
79
Q4 - 9:28TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)69
79
Q4 - 9:29MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
79
Q4 - 9:40TORDeRozan 21' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Joseph 5 AST)69
79
Q4 - 9:56MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)69
77
Q4 - 9:56MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)68
77
Q4 - 9:56TORBiyombo S.FOUL (P3.T1) (S.Wright)67
77
Q4 - 10:07MIAHeat Rebound67
77
Q4 - 10:07MIAMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot67
77
Q4 - 10:12TORSUB: Biyombo FOR Thompson67
77
Q4 - 10:12MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
77
Q4 - 10:13MIAPatterson BLOCK (1 BLK)67
77
Q4 - 10:31MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)67
77
Q4 - 10:31TORMISS Joseph 16' Pullup Jump Shot67
77
Q4 - 10:56MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)67
77
Q4 - 11:04MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
77
Q4 - 11:06TORMISS Patterson 6' Jump Shot64
77
Q4 - 11:25MIAJohnson 8' Driving Hook Shot (7 PTS)64
77
Q4 - 11:48TORRoss 3' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (5 PTS) (Joseph 4 AST)62
77
Q4 - 12:0062
75
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA62
75
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
75
Q3 - 0:01.0TORMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
75
Q3 - 0:19.0TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)62
75
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Green 21' Jump Shot62
75
Q3 - 0:31.0TORLowry 3' Driving Layup (18 PTS)62
75
Q3 - 0:46.0TORThompson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
73
Q3 - 0:47.0TORMISS Lowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
73
Q3 - 1:02TORPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
73
Q3 - 1:03MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 262
73
Q3 - 1:03MIASUB: Johnson FOR McRoberts62
73
Q3 - 1:03MIAHeat Rebound62
73
Q3 - 1:03MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 262
73
Q3 - 1:03TORJoseph P.FOUL (P3.PN) (S.Foster)62
73
Q3 - 1:16TORSUB: Powell FOR Carroll62
73
Q3 - 1:16TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)62
73
Q3 - 1:16TORCarroll Foul Turnover (P2.T9)62
73
Q3 - 1:16TORCarroll Offensive Charge Foul (P4.PN) (S.Wright)62
73
Q3 - 1:20TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)62
73
Q3 - 1:20MIAMISS McRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
73
Q3 - 1:41TORJoseph 17' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)62
73
Q3 - 1:55MIADragic P.FOUL (P2.T2) (T.Brothers)62
71
Q3 - 2:10MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)62
71
Q3 - 2:10MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)61
71
Q3 - 2:10TOR60
71
Q3 - 2:10TORJoseph S.FOUL (P2.T4) (T.Brothers)60
71
Q3 - 2:16MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
71
Q3 - 2:17TORMISS Carroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
71
Q3 - 2:32TORThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
71
Q3 - 2:33MIAMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
71
Q3 - 2:56TORCarroll Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)60
71
Q3 - 2:56TORRAPTORS Rebound60
70
Q3 - 2:56TORMISS Carroll Free Throw 1 of 260
70
Q3 - 2:56TORSUB: Joseph FOR Biyombo60
70
Q3 - 2:56TORSUB: Thompson FOR Patterson60
70
Q3 - 2:56TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)60
70
Q3 - 2:56MIAGreen S.FOUL (P1.T1) (S.Wright)60
70
Q3 - 2:56TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
70
Q3 - 2:57TORMISS Lowry 7' Jump Shot60
70
Q3 - 3:11MIAGreen 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS)60
70
Q3 - 3:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
70
Q3 - 3:25TORMISS Patterson 3' Driving Floating Jump Shot58
70
Q3 - 3:42MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)58
70
Q3 - 3:42TORSUB: Ross FOR DeRozan57
70
Q3 - 3:42MIAHeat Rebound57
70
Q3 - 3:42MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 1 of 257
70
Q3 - 3:42TORDeRozan Shooting Block Foul (P4.T3) (T.Brothers)57
70
Q3 - 3:58MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
70
Q3 - 3:59TORMISS Carroll 10' Driving Bank Hook Shot57
70
Q3 - 4:25TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)57
70
Q3 - 4:26MIAMISS Green 18' Jump Shot57
70
Q3 - 4:44TORPatterson 3' Layup (8 PTS)57
70
Q3 - 4:47TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)57
68
Q3 - 4:48TORMISS DeRozan 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot57
68
Q3 - 5:09MIAGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)57
68
Q3 - 5:09MIAGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)56
68
Q3 - 5:09TORDeRozan IN.FOUL (P3.T2) (T.Brothers)55
68
Q3 - 5:09MIASUB: Winslow FOR Deng55
68
Q3 - 5:31TORDeRozan 18' Pullup Jump Shot (21 PTS)55
68
Q3 - 5:40MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)55
66
Q3 - 5:40MIAHeat Rebound55
66
Q3 - 5:40MIALowry BLOCK (1 BLK)55
66
Q3 - 6:05MIASUB: Green FOR Johnson55
66
Q3 - 6:05MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)55
66
Q3 - 6:07TORDeRozan 17' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS)55
66
Q3 - 6:19TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
64
Q3 - 6:19MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
64
Q3 - 6:35TORBiyombo Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P4.T8)55
64
Q3 - 6:39TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
64
Q3 - 6:41MIAMISS Dragic 3' Running Layup55
64
Q3 - 6:47MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
64
Q3 - 6:49TORMISS Lowry 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot55
64
Q3 - 7:00MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)55
64
Q3 - 7:00MIAHeat Rebound55
64
Q3 - 7:00MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot55
64
Q3 - 7:27TORDeRozan 17' Step Back Jump Shot (17 PTS)55
64
Q3 - 7:46MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)55
62
Q3 - 7:46MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)54
62
Q3 - 7:46TORCarroll S.FOUL (P3.T1) (S.Wright)53
62
Q3 - 8:04TORPatterson 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)53
62
Q3 - 8:29MIAMcRoberts 2' Cutting Layup Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)53
60
Q3 - 8:34MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
60
Q3 - 8:35MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
60
Q3 - 8:56TORDeRozan 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST)51
60
Q3 - 9:19MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)51
57
Q3 - 9:27MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)48
57
Q3 - 9:27MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot48
57
Q3 - 9:46TORDeRozan 12' Driving Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS)48
57
Q3 - 9:54TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
55
Q3 - 9:54MIAMISS Wade 2' Putback Layup48
55
Q3 - 9:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
55
Q3 - 9:58MIAMISS Dragic 1' Driving Layup48
55
Q3 - 10:04MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
55
Q3 - 10:05TORMISS Lowry 3' Layup48
55
Q3 - 10:18TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
55
Q3 - 10:19MIAMISS Wade 9' Hook Shot48
55
Q3 - 10:30MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
55
Q3 - 10:31TORMISS Patterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
55
Q3 - 10:41TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)48
55
Q3 - 10:41MIAMISS Dragic 20' Pullup Jump Shot48
55
Q3 - 10:50MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
55
Q3 - 10:50TORMISS DeRozan 3' Running Jump Shot48
55
Q3 - 10:58TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
55
Q3 - 10:58MIAMISS McRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
55
Q3 - 11:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
55
Q3 - 11:12TORMISS Lowry 18' Pullup Jump Shot48
55
Q3 - 11:39MIAWade 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)48
55
Q3 - 12:0045
55
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR45
55
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAMcRoberts 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)45
55
Q2 - 0:30.0TORBiyombo Foul Turnover (P3.T7)43
55
Q2 - 0:30.0TORBiyombo OFF.Foul (P2) (S.Foster)43
55
Q2 - 0:43.0MIADragic 8' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)43
55
Q2 - 0:51.0TORDeRozan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)41
55
Q2 - 1:01TORRAPTORS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)41
55
Q2 - 1:06MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)41
55
Q2 - 1:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
55
Q2 - 1:17TORMISS DeRozan 15' Pullup Jump Shot39
55
Q2 - 1:31MIADragic 15' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)39
55
Q2 - 1:40TORCarroll P.FOUL (P2.T4) (S.Wright)37
55
Q2 - 1:40MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
55
Q2 - 1:40MIAMISS Deng 2' Driving Layup37
55
Q2 - 1:46TORBiyombo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)37
55
Q2 - 1:58MIASUB: McRoberts FOR Winslow37
55
Q2 - 1:58TORSUB: Joseph FOR Lowry37
55
Q2 - 1:58MIAWinslow L.B.FOUL (P3.T3) (T.Brothers)37
55
Q2 - 1:58TORRAPTORS Rebound37
55
Q2 - 1:58MIAMISS Winslow 5' Jump Shot37
55
Q2 - 2:11MIAHeat Rebound37
55
Q2 - 2:11TORMISS Carroll 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot37
55
Q2 - 2:34MIADeng Foul Turnover (P2.T11)37
55
Q2 - 2:34MIADeng OFF.Foul (P2) (S.Foster)37
55
Q2 - 2:40MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
55
Q2 - 2:40TORMISS Carroll 18' Turnaround Jump Shot37
55
Q2 - 3:01TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)37
55
Q2 - 3:08MIADragic 17' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)37
55
Q2 - 3:16MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
55
Q2 - 3:17TORMISS Lowry 16' Pullup Jump Shot35
55
Q2 - 3:27MIALowry STEAL (3 STL)35
55
Q2 - 3:39TORLowry 2' Driving Reverse Layup (16 PTS) (Carroll 1 AST)35
55
Q2 - 4:01TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)35
53
Q2 - 4:01MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 235
53
Q2 - 4:01MIASUB: Green FOR Johnson35
53
Q2 - 4:01MIASUB: Dragic FOR Richardson35
53
Q2 - 4:01MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)35
53
Q2 - 4:01TORDeRozan S.FOUL (P2.T3) (T.Brothers)34
53
Q2 - 4:05MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
53
Q2 - 4:06TORMISS Carroll 1' Putback Layup34
53
Q2 - 4:09TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
53
Q2 - 4:10TORMISS Patterson 3PT Jump Shot34
53
Q2 - 4:17MIADeRozan STEAL (2 STL)34
53
Q2 - 4:37TORBiyombo Running Dunk (10 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)34
53
Q2 - 4:44TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)34
51
Q2 - 4:44MIABiyombo BLOCK (4 BLK)34
51
Q2 - 4:54TORBiyombo Tip Dunk Shot (8 PTS)34
51
Q2 - 4:57TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
49
Q2 - 4:58TORMISS DeRozan 19' Jump Shot34
49
Q2 - 5:18MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)34
49
Q2 - 5:18TORSUB: Carroll FOR Joseph33
49
Q2 - 5:18TORJoseph S.FOUL (P1.T2) (S.Wright)33
49
Q2 - 5:18MIAWinslow 3' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)33
49
Q2 - 5:29TORJoseph Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)31
49
Q2 - 5:29TORSUB: DeRozan FOR Ross31
48
Q2 - 5:29MIASUB: Deng FOR Haslem31
48
Q2 - 5:29MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T2) (S.Wright)31
48
Q2 - 5:29TORJoseph 2' Running Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)31
48
Q2 - 5:36TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
46
Q2 - 5:37MIAMISS Wade 16' Pullup Jump Shot31
46
Q2 - 5:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)31
46
Q2 - 5:45MIAMISS Winslow 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
46
Q2 - 6:15TORRoss 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Joseph 3 AST)31
46
Q2 - 6:31MIARichardson 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)31
43
Q2 - 6:47TORJoseph 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)29
43
Q2 - 6:56MIAJoseph STEAL (1 STL)29
41
Q2 - 7:18TORBiyombo 3' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Ross 1 AST)29
41
Q2 - 7:36TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
39
Q2 - 7:37MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
39
Q2 - 7:41MIASUB: Wade FOR Johnson29
39
Q2 - 7:41MIASUB: Richardson FOR Dragic29
39
Q2 - 7:41MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)29
39
Q2 - 8:06TORBiyombo Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Joseph 2 AST)29
39
Q2 - 8:18MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
37
Q2 - 8:18MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
37
Q2 - 8:18TORSUB: Biyombo FOR Thompson27
37
Q2 - 8:1827
37
Q2 - 8:18TORThompson S.FOUL (P1.T1) (S.Wright)27
37
Q2 - 8:27TORLowry 3' Running Layup (14 PTS)27
37
Q2 - 8:34MIAHaslem 2' Cutting Layup Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)27
35
Q2 - 8:57TORPatterson 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Joseph 1 AST)25
35
Q2 - 9:18MIAJohnson 7' Driving Hook Shot (5 PTS)25
33
Q2 - 9:42TORPatterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
33
Q2 - 9:42TORPatterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
32
Q2 - 9:42MIASUB: Haslem FOR McRoberts23
31
Q2 - 9:42MIA23
31
Q2 - 9:42MIAWinslow S.FOUL (P2.T1) (S.Foster)23
31
Q2 - 9:58MIADragic 7' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
31
Q2 - 10:31TORLowry 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)21
31
Q2 - 10:39TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
28
Q2 - 10:39MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot21
28
Q2 - 10:51MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
28
Q2 - 10:53TORMISS Lowry 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot21
28
Q2 - 11:03MIAJohnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)21
28
Q2 - 11:17MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
28
Q2 - 11:17TORMISS Ross 16' Pullup Jump Shot21
28
Q2 - 11:37MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)21
28
Q2 - 12:0018
28
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR18
28
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)18
28
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
28
Q1 - 0:02.0TORPowell P.FOUL (P2.PN) (S.Foster)16
28
Q1 - 0:11.0TORThompson 1' Tip Dunk Shot (2 PTS)16
28
Q1 - 0:11.0TORThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
26
Q1 - 0:11.0TORMISS DeRozan 3' Driving Floating Jump Shot16
26
Q1 - 0:27.0MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
26
Q1 - 0:27.0MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
26
Q1 - 0:27.0TORPowell P.FOUL (P1.PN) (T.Brothers)14
26
Q1 - 0:31.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
26
Q1 - 0:32.0TORMISS Joseph 18' Pullup Jump Shot14
26
Q1 - 0:53.0MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
26
Q1 - 0:53.0MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
26
Q1 - 0:53.0TORDeRozan Shooting Block Foul (P1.T4) (T.Brothers)12
26
Q1 - 1:04MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
26
Q1 - 1:05TORMISS DeRozan 6' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot12
26
Q1 - 1:18MIAWinslow 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)12
26
Q1 - 1:23MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
26
Q1 - 1:24MIARoss BLOCK (1 BLK)10
26
Q1 - 1:30TORRoss Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)10
26
Q1 - 1:33MIARoss STEAL (1 STL)10
26
Q1 - 1:40MIAHeat Rebound10
26
Q1 - 1:40MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw Technical10
26
Q1 - 1:40TORSUB: Powell FOR Carroll10
26
Q1 - 1:40TORSUB: Thompson FOR Lowry10
26
Q1 - 1:40TORSUB: Joseph FOR Biyombo10
26
Q1 - 1:40TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)10
26
Q1 - 1:40TORRAPTORS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Biyombo ) (T.Brothers)10
26
Q1 - 2:02TORCarroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)10
26
Q1 - 2:08TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
23
Q1 - 2:10MIABiyombo BLOCK (3 BLK)10
23
Q1 - 2:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
23
Q1 - 2:29TORMISS DeRozan 8' Floating Jump Shot10
23
Q1 - 2:38MIAHaslem 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)10
23
Q1 - 2:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
23
Q1 - 2:42MIABiyombo BLOCK (2 BLK)8
23
Q1 - 3:05MIASUB: Dragic FOR Wade8
23
Q1 - 3:05MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)8
23
Q1 - 3:06TORLowry 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)8
23
Q1 - 3:17TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
20
Q1 - 3:18TORMISS Biyombo 2' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot8
20
Q1 - 3:29MIALowry STEAL (2 STL)8
20
Q1 - 3:45TORBiyombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
20
Q1 - 3:45TORBiyombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
19
Q1 - 3:45MIAWinslow S.FOUL (P1.PN) (T.Brothers)8
18
Q1 - 3:46TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
18
Q1 - 3:47TORMISS Lowry 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot8
18
Q1 - 3:55TORRAPTORS Rebound8
18
Q1 - 3:55MIAMISS Deng 2' Tip Layup Shot8
18
Q1 - 3:55MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
18
Q1 - 3:55MIAMISS Deng 1' Tip Layup Shot8
18
Q1 - 3:57MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
18
Q1 - 3:57MIAMISS Deng 6' Jump Shot8
18
Q1 - 4:15TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)8
18
Q1 - 4:15TORRAPTORS Rebound8
17
Q1 - 4:15TORMISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 28
17
Q1 - 4:15MIARichardson S.FOUL (P1.PN) (S.Wright)8
17
Q1 - 4:18TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
17
Q1 - 4:19MIAMISS Winslow 7' Turnaround Hook Shot8
17
Q1 - 4:36TORCarroll Foul Turnover (P1.T3)8
17
Q1 - 4:36TORCarroll Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T3) (S.Foster)8
17
Q1 - 4:40MIALowry STEAL (1 STL)8
17
Q1 - 4:49MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
17
Q1 - 4:49TORMISS Biyombo Free Throw 2 of 28
17
Q1 - 4:49TORSUB: Ross FOR Patterson8
17
Q1 - 4:49TORRAPTORS Rebound8
17
Q1 - 4:49TORMISS Biyombo Free Throw 1 of 28
17
Q1 - 4:49MIADeng L.B.FOUL (P1.PN) (T.Brothers)8
17
Q1 - 4:49TORRAPTORS Rebound8
17
Q1 - 4:49TORMISS Patterson 13' Jump Shot8
17
Q1 - 4:52TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
17
Q1 - 4:52TORMISS Lowry 3' Jump Shot8
17
Q1 - 5:07MIAWade 18' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
17
Q1 - 5:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
17
Q1 - 5:17TORMISS Carroll 11' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot6
17
Q1 - 5:38MIARichardson 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
17
Q1 - 5:50MIASUB: Winslow FOR McRoberts4
17
Q1 - 5:50MIASUB: Haslem FOR Dragic4
17
Q1 - 5:50MIASUB: Richardson FOR Johnson4
17
Q1 - 5:50TORLowry Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T2)4
17
Q1 - 6:00TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
17
Q1 - 6:00MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
17
Q1 - 6:23TORDeRozan 10' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)4
17
Q1 - 6:33TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
15
Q1 - 6:34MIAMISS Wade 7' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot4
15
Q1 - 6:52TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)4
15
Q1 - 6:52TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)4
14
Q1 - 6:52MIAMcRoberts S.FOUL (P2.PN) (S.Foster)4
13
Q1 - 7:09MIAWade 12' Driving Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)4
13
Q1 - 7:20TORCarroll Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
13
Q1 - 7:20TORCarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
12
Q1 - 7:20MIAMcRoberts S.FOUL (P1.T4) (S.Foster)2
11
Q1 - 7:24MIABiyombo STEAL (2 STL)2
11
Q1 - 7:38TORDeRozan 8' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)2
11
Q1 - 8:02MIAMcRoberts 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
9
Q1 - 8:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
9
Q1 - 8:09MIAMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot0
9
Q1 - 8:31TORLowry Violation:Kicked Ball (S.Foster)0
9
Q1 - 8:34TORBiyombo L.B.FOUL (P1.T2) (S.Wright)0
9
Q1 - 8:34MIAHeat Rebound0
9
Q1 - 8:34MIAMISS Wade 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot0
9
Q1 - 8:50MIASUB: McRoberts FOR Stoudemire0
9
Q1 - 8:50MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)0
9
Q1 - 8:50TORDeRozan 2' Running Layup (4 PTS)0
9
Q1 - 8:54MIADeRozan STEAL (1 STL)0
7
Q1 - 9:10TORLowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST)0
7
Q1 - 9:18MIAStoudemire L.B.FOUL (P1.T3) (S.Foster)0
4
Q1 - 9:18TORRAPTORS Rebound0
4
Q1 - 9:18TORMISS Patterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
4
Q1 - 9:35TORRAPTORS Rebound0
4
Q1 - 9:36MIAMISS Deng 19' Pullup Jump Shot0
4
Q1 - 9:43MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
4
Q1 - 9:44MIAMISS Deng 19' Pullup Jump Shot0
4
Q1 - 10:04TORDeRozan 3' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)0
4
Q1 - 10:10MIAJohnson P.FOUL (P1.T2) (S.Foster)0
2
Q1 - 10:13TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 10:14MIAMISS Johnson 20' Pullup Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 10:31TORLowry P.FOUL (P1.T1) (S.Wright)0
2
Q1 - 10:39MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 10:40TORMISS DeRozan 19' Pullup Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 10:49MIABiyombo STEAL (1 STL)0
2
Q1 - 10:50TORBiyombo Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 10:51TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
2
Q1 - 10:52MIABiyombo BLOCK (1 BLK)0
2
Q1 - 11:15TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
2
Q1 - 11:15TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
1
Q1 - 11:15MIADragic S.FOUL (P1.T1) (S.Foster)0
0
Q1 - 11:23TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:24MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:40MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:41TORMISS DeRozan 16' Pullup Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Biyombo vs. Stoudemire: Tip to Patterson0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.98 48.9%
TOR
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
27
48%
TOR
17
25
68%
Midrange
MIA
12
29
41%
TOR
11
39
28%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
21
29%
43%
TOR
7
10.5
17
41%
62%
Free Throws
MIA
23
28
82%
TOR
22
26
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2053%10.0 / 19
G. Dragic1346%6.5 / 14
J. Richardson1381%6.5 / 8
J. Johnson1142%5.5 / 13
J. Winslow844%4.0 / 9
J. McRoberts660%3.0 / 5
T. Johnson675%3.0 / 4
U. Haslem6100%3.0 / 3
L. Deng420%2.0 / 10
G. Green440%2.0 / 5
A. Stoudemire0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan3463%17.0 / 27
K. Lowry2546%12.5 / 27
B. Biyombo1071%5.0 / 7
C. Joseph975%4.5 / 6
P. Patterson831%4.0 / 13
D. Carroll633%3.0 / 9
T. Ross583%2.5 / 3
J. Thompson2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+17
-13
93
TOR
81
+15
-9
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.98 48.9%
TOR
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.0
102.2
MIA 102.2
TOR 110.0 +7.8
Pace
90.2
90.1
MIA 94.2 +9.0
TOR 85.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
16.1
MIA 15.3 −1.6
TOR 16.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
46.3%
MIA 44.2%
TOR 47.5% +3.3%
TO %
13.2%
13.2%
MIA 14.4%
TOR 8.9% −5.5%
ORB %
23.0%
25.1%
MIA 31.7% +5.5%
TOR 26.2%
FTrt
26.4
30.1
MIA 36.4 +4.3
TOR 32.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
44.4%
45.8%
MIA 38.7%
TOR 45.7% +7.0%
STL %
5.9%
8.2%
MIA 4.5%
TOR 11.1% +6.6%
BLK %
9.4%
6.7%
MIA 3.1%
TOR 12.5% +9.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.9%
49.0%
MIA 48.9%
TOR 51.6% +2.7%
Rim FG%
60.8%
57.3%
MIA 48.1%
TOR 68.0% +19.9%
Mid FG%
40.2%
38.1%
MIA 41.4% +13.2%
TOR 28.2%
3P %
35.8%
29.8%
MIA 28.6%
TOR 41.2% +12.6%
FT %
76.5%
73.7%
MIA 82.1%
TOR 84.6% +2.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.1%
32.9%
MIA 35.1% +4.2%
TOR 30.9%
Mid Att. %
44.1%
38.9%
MIA 37.7% −10.5%
TOR 48.1%
3P Att. %
23.8%
28.2%
MIA 27.3% +6.3%
TOR 21.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions8990
Possession Minutes22.725.3
Points9199
Rebounds4439
Assists1216
Steals410
Blocks27
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (4)11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)28 (3)
Field Goals31-7735-81
At-the-Rim FG13-2717-25
Midrange FG12-2911-39
2-Point FG25-5628-64
3-Point FG6-217-17
Free Throws23-2822-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 190 · 30
38.9
13
46%
5
2
0
0
1
3
2
3
0-1
0%
5-10
50%
1-4
25%
G · 6'4" 220 · 34
34.3
20
53%
7
4
0
1
3
2
2
5
7-10
70%
5-12
42%
1-2
50%
F · 6'7" 240 · 35
33.1
11
42%
8
1
0
0
0
1
1
7
0-0
-
4-9
44%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 220 · 31
24.3
4
20%
6
0
1
0
2
2
2
4
4-4
100%
0-7
0%
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 245 · 33
3.2
0
0%
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 225 · 20
33.0
8
44%
7
0
0
0
2
5
2
5
2-3
67%
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 200 · 23
21.5
13
81%
3
1
1
1
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
3-5
60%
· 6'10" 240 · 29
18.2
6
60%
3
0
1
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 186 · 24
13.3
6
75%
0
4
0
0
1
2
0
0
6-6
100%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30
10.1
4
40%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
10.1
6
100%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 30
G · 6'2" 165 · 23
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
49%
44
12
4
2
13
0
13
31
23-28
82%
25-56
45%
6-21
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.