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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
May 15, 2016
3:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Heat34%9589
8Raptors66%101116
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.0
38.0
36.0
16
42%
6
7
2
1
0
2
1
5
4-5
80%
6-12
6-12
50%
50%
0-5
0%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.1
36.4
25.3
14
61%
8
0
2
1
2
2
3
5
6-8
75%
1-5
2-5
20%
46%
2-3
67%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.3
34.3
34.5
16
54%
4
3
0
1
0
4
1
3
2-4
50%
4-9
7-16
44%
46%
2-4
50%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 34.9
31.1
32.4
13
72%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-6
3-7
83%
46%
1-3
33%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 31.1
29.7
34.8
12
56%
2
0
0
1
3
1
1
1
4-4
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
46%
0-3
0%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.7
27.7
26.7
3
50%
2
1
1
1
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
1-3
33%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 24.0
21.1
11.9
3
50%
3
2
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.2
15.3
16.4
10
63%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
4-6
1-3
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.3
3.4
5.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 30.5
2.6
1.4
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
41%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.9
0.4
6.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.5
2.9
0
0-1
53%
Briante Weber
G · 6'2" 165 · 23.4
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.9
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 30.1
41.6
37.0
35
70%
7
9
4
2
0
4
3
4
8-11
73%
6-13
4-10
46%
45%
5-7
71%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 23.7
41.0
29.3
17
64%
16
1
0
0
2
0
6
10
5-12
42%
6-8
2-4
75%
53%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.2
37.1
33.7
11
50%
11
0
1
1
2
1
7
4
7-7
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
0-4
0%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 26.8
35.0
37.7
28
44%
8
1
0
1
0
3
4
4
4-7
57%
12-28
8-18
43%
44%
0-1
0%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.8
33.6
27.9
14
104%
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
5
4-4
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
2-2
100%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
19.1
25.6
1
6%
0
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-7
3-6
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 25.3
18.1
22.7
8
80%
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
2-4
50%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29.8
7.0
4.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 23.0
2.6
5.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.1
2.6
0.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 23.8
1.2
7.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
53%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.2
1.2
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 36.0
1.7
0
0-0
47%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 20.6
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.