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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
May 2, 2016
9:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Thunder33%9898
1Spurs67%10497
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.6
42.1
35.3
28
66%
7
4
0
1
1
5
0
7
5-5
100%
10-17
6-12
59%
50%
1-2
50%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.5
37.4
32.3
29
51%
7
10
2
2
1
3
1
6
6-8
75%
10-19
5-11
53%
45%
1-6
17%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.8
37.3
26.9
12
87%
17
0
1
1
1
2
3
14
2-2
100%
5-6
3-6
83%
55%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.6
33.1
30.2
12
60%
5
1
1
0
2
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
49%
2-5
40%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.4
24.3
22.0
0
0%
3
1
3
1
0
1
0
3
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
55%
0-1
0%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.4
24.9
19.1
3
30%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 24.0
18.6
18.3
12
68%
8
0
0
0
3
3
4
4
4-4
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.6
15.0
3.0
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.7
7.4
13.8
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 35.5
15.5
0
1-2
46%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 32.6
9.6
0
0-1
37%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.0
8.9
0
0-1
41%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 38.7
2.1
0
0-0
40%
Mitch McGary
F · 6'10" 255 · 23.9
Josh Huestis
G · 6'7" 230 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.8
42.9
28.7
41
81%
8
3
0
0
2
0
3
5
10-10
100%
14-20
6-13
70%
49%
1-1
100%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.9
36.0
24.9
9
41%
2
1
4
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
45%
3-8
38%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.8
35.6
24.9
14
37%
7
3
2
1
2
2
1
6
0-2
0%
7-15
4-8
47%
52%
0-3
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 40.0
27.8
20.2
2
13%
9
2
0
0
0
1
2
7
0-0
-
1-8
3-5
13%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.0
26.6
25.2
7
37%
1
6
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-7
4-7
43%
49%
0-2
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.8
22.3
12.6
11
69%
3
1
2
1
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
4-6
1-2
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.7
21.3
12.8
5
28%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
1-6
17%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.7
11.0
18.0
6
38%
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-8
3-5
38%
50%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 34.0
8.3
18.9
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
53%
0-1
0%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.6
5.2
21.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.7
3.2
7.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
56%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 33.2
10.4
0
1-2
41%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 40.1
9.5
0
1-2
50%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.6
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 36.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.