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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
May 17, 2016
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Raptors
84
4Cavaliers
115
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 26.8
35
36
18
0
5
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
9-16
8-18
56%
43%
0-1
0%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 30.1
32
39
8
4
5
0
2
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
4-7
4-10
57%
44%
0-7
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 23.7
31
34
12
4
0
2
0
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
5-5
3-5
100%
53%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.2
28
35
8
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
1-4
25%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.8
20
30
2
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-3
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.2
20
3
10
4
1
1
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
54%
2-2
100%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 25.3
19
21
4
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
1-3
33%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
15
23
4
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-4
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
48%
0-2
0%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 36.0
14
2
7
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.1
10
2
7
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
5-6
83%
1-2
0-0
50%
44%
0-0
-
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 23.0
6
4
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29.8
6
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 23.8
6
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.0
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 20.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 24.2
30
38
27
2
5
2
1
2
2
0
2
4-4
100%
10-14
6-12
71%
48%
1-3
33%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 31.4
28
37
24
6
4
2
1
1
4
2
4
2-4
50%
11-12
7-13
92%
55%
0-1
0%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 25.2
28
28
6
7
0
1
0
0
2
5
2
4-4
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
54%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 27.7
28
33
14
4
3
1
1
0
2
0
4
4-4
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
47%
2-4
50%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.7
27
34
5
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-3
0%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 25.9
22
17
8
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
1-1
100%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 35.9
22
9
9
11
1
0
0
0
1
2
9
5-6
83%
2-4
0-1
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.7
14
14
9
1
3
0
0
0
3
0
1
2-3
67%
2-3
1-2
67%
40%
1-1
100%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 33.0
13
20
8
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 33.4
9
2
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
0-0
33%
46%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 29.8
6
3
2
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
53%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.6
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-1
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 35.4
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
33%
0-1
0%
Jordan McRae
G · 6'5" 179 · 25.1
Sasha Kaun
C · 6'11" 260 · 31.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.