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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
May 19, 2016
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Raptors
89
4Cavaliers
108
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 26.8
36
35
22
5
2
1
1
0
2
0
5
6-6
100%
8-18
7-17
44%
43%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 30.2
33
35
10
6
3
1
2
0
5
1
5
1-2
50%
3-6
4-9
50%
44%
1-8
13%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 23.7
29
32
3
5
0
0
0
2
0
2
3
1-1
100%
1-3
3-5
33%
53%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.8
22
25
7
5
1
0
1
1
0
0
5
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 36.1
14
7
6
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
1-4
25%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.2
29
31
6
1
4
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
2-4
50%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
27
19
11
5
3
2
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
48%
1-4
25%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.2
19
11
11
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-1
0%
4-5
1-2
80%
52%
1-2
50%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 25.3
17
20
11
2
1
2
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
2-6
33%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.1
5
5
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29.8
4
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 23.0
3
5
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 23.8
2
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.0
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 20.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 24.2
37
31
26
4
3
1
1
0
3
1
3
2-3
67%
12-19
5-10
63%
49%
0-3
0%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 31.4
34
30
23
11
11
3
1
0
2
1
10
9-17
53%
7-11
6-11
64%
55%
0-2
0%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 27.7
31
28
19
5
3
0
1
1
2
0
5
8-9
89%
4-6
3-6
67%
47%
1-2
50%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 25.2
30
28
9
12
0
0
0
1
0
2
10
5-6
83%
2-5
2-4
40%
54%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.7
27
28
12
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
3-5
60%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 25.9
24
21
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
1-2
50%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 35.9
21
19
2
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
49%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 33.0
15
13
10
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
47%
2-4
50%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.7
8
14
0
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 33.4
3
7
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 29.8
3
6
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
54%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.6
3
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-1
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 35.4
3
5
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
Jordan McRae
G · 6'5" 179 · 25.1
Sasha Kaun
C · 6'11" 260 · 31.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.