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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
May 22, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Warriors47%108105
4Thunder53%109133
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.0
32.1
31.7
7
39%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.2
31.8
35.3
6
28%
4
3
1
1
0
4
1
3
4-4
100%
1-7
4-7
14%
50%
0-2
0%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.2
29.7
33.0
24
58%
5
3
2
2
0
1
0
5
7-8
88%
4-6
4-8
67%
52%
3-11
27%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 26.3
24.2
33.8
18
47%
1
1
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
6-12
4-9
50%
48%
2-7
29%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 31.5
11.7
16.2
2
33%
5
2
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
55%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.3
24.4
28.3
9
77%
4
3
2
1
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
52%
2-4
50%
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.2
19.9
5.4
8
68%
4
3
2
0
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
3-4
0-1
75%
48%
0-1
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 30.7
15.5
18.6
6
50%
1
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 28.8
14.3
7.9
8
41%
3
0
1
0
1
2
2
1
3-4
75%
1-5
1-3
20%
45%
1-3
33%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.9
13.1
5.1
4
67%
7
1
0
0
0
0
0
7
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
45%
0-0
-
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.6
9.9
11.6
8
56%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-5
40%
3-5
2-3
60%
53%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 33.5
8.5
11.5
5
83%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.6
4.9
3.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.3
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.7
32.4
31.8
14
54%
8
0
2
0
2
1
2
6
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
51%
2-5
40%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.6
32.2
39.1
33
81%
8
2
0
1
3
1
1
7
12-12
100%
9-12
8-15
75%
53%
1-3
33%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.5
31.7
35.0
30
63%
8
12
2
2
0
4
2
6
9-11
82%
9-14
6-14
64%
47%
1-5
20%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.5
30.3
19.3
13
72%
6
1
1
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
58%
3-5
60%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.8
17.6
35.9
8
60%
5
1
0
1
1
1
0
5
4-6
67%
2-4
4-7
50%
58%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.4
33.8
27.5
13
59%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-8
2-5
63%
43%
1-3
33%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 32.7
23.7
14.9
4
52%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
40%
0-1
0%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 24.0
18.1
17.4
10
46%
12
1
0
0
0
1
6
6
4-4
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
54%
0-1
0%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.0
9.2
5.5
2
25%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.8
5.9
4.4
4
69%
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.7
5.1
4.6
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 35.6
4.0
0
0-1
48%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 38.7
Mitch McGary
F · 6'10" 255 · 24.0
Josh Huestis
G · 6'7" 230 · 24.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.