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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
June 2, 2016
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Cavaliers
89
1Warriors
104
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 31.4
41
38
23
12
9
2
1
1
4
4
8
3-4
75%
7-17
7-14
41%
53%
2-4
50%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 24.2
38
36
26
3
4
3
1
0
3
1
2
11-12
92%
6-18
6-14
33%
47%
1-4
25%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 27.7
37
32
17
13
2
1
1
0
4
2
11
1-1
100%
5-12
3-7
42%
44%
2-5
40%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.7
36
33
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
1-3
33%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 25.2
31
27
10
12
0
0
0
1
0
6
6
0-0
-
5-11
2-4
45%
51%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 25.9
17
16
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
1-1
100%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 35.9
12
15
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.7
11
11
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
39%
0-1
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 33.0
7
15
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-1
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.7
2
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
39%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 29.9
2
4
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 33.5
2
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 35.4
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Sasha Kaun
C · 6'11" 260 · 31.1
Jordan McRae
G · 6'5" 179 · 25.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.2
40
39
16
11
7
4
2
1
3
0
11
4-4
100%
3-5
4-7
60%
50%
2-6
33%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.2
36
39
11
5
6
0
2
0
5
1
4
0-0
-
1-7
5-9
14%
52%
3-8
38%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.0
30
26
13
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
6-8
2-4
75%
49%
0-2
0%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 26.3
24
38
9
5
2
0
1
2
0
0
5
0-1
0%
3-7
5-10
43%
48%
1-5
20%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 31.5
15
20
10
3
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
5-7
2-3
71%
56%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.3
36
38
12
7
6
1
1
1
0
3
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
54%
2-4
50%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 30.7
27
15
20
4
3
1
0
0
0
1
3
4-4
100%
8-10
2-4
80%
51%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 33.5
11
4
11
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-4
0-1
100%
49%
1-1
100%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.6
10
9
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
54%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.7
3
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.2
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 28.8
2
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.9
2
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
0-0
-
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 23.4
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.