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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
June 5, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Cavaliers
77
1Warriors
110
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 31.4
34
40
19
8
9
4
2
1
7
0
8
4-4
100%
6-12
8-15
50%
53%
1-5
20%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.7
33
35
5
2
2
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-2
0%
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
1-4
25%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 24.2
33
37
10
3
1
3
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
5-11
7-15
45%
46%
0-3
0%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 27.7
21
35
5
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-8
33%
44%
1-4
25%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 25.2
19
30
8
5
0
1
0
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
52%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 36.0
26
13
12
5
0
1
0
1
1
2
3
4-6
67%
4-6
1-2
67%
48%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 25.9
20
17
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
1-3
33%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.7
17
11
7
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-7
1-2
14%
38%
1-2
50%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 29.9
12
3
5
3
0
1
0
0
2
2
1
3-4
75%
1-3
0-1
33%
52%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.7
9
3
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
0-0
0-0
-
38%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 33.5
8
3
0
0
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 35.4
5
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
0-0
50%
39%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 33.1
4
9
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Sasha Kaun
C · 6'11" 260 · 31.1
Jordan McRae
G · 6'5" 179 · 25.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.0
35
28
5
5
1
1
1
1
3
1
4
1-2
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
49%
0-2
0%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.3
34
39
28
7
5
1
2
0
1
1
6
1-1
100%
6-12
4-7
50%
51%
5-8
63%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 26.3
31
31
17
2
5
2
1
0
4
0
2
1-1
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
48%
4-8
50%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.2
25
37
18
9
4
0
2
1
4
1
8
0-0
-
3-3
5-9
100%
52%
4-8
50%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 31.5
15
18
2
6
0
2
0
5
2
3
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
56%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.4
28
36
7
5
3
0
1
1
2
3
2
1-3
33%
3-4
2-4
75%
53%
0-2
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 30.7
24
21
7
2
5
0
1
1
1
0
2
1-1
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
51%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 33.5
18
8
10
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
5-5
1-2
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.6
11
10
6
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
54%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.2
8
3
7
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
48%
1-2
50%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.9
7
3
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 28.8
5
5
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.7
3
0
0-1
49%
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 23.4
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.