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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 21, 2017
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Celtics
104
10Bulls
87
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.4
36
37
15
7
7
2
1
0
1
1
6
1-2
50%
1-4
4-8
25%
48%
4-6
67%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.8
33
33
16
6
3
1
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
4-8
3-5
50%
51%
2-7
29%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.9
33
33
18
8
6
4
1
1
2
3
5
0-0
-
6-11
4-8
55%
52%
2-3
67%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 28.2
31
38
16
2
9
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
5-11
5-10
45%
49%
2-7
29%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 31.2
20
4
8
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
0-1
20%
45%
2-3
67%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.1
29
29
7
6
5
1
1
1
2
2
4
2-3
67%
1-2
2-4
50%
42%
1-3
33%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.1
23
8
11
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
41%
3-5
60%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 26.0
14
23
5
1
2
1
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
54%
1-2
50%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 30.1
10
3
6
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
0-0
100%
46%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 30.0
6
13
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
58%
0-0
-
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 20.5
1
11
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21.7
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-1
0%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.3
6
0
1-2
49%
Demetrius Jackson
G · 6'1" 201 · 22.6
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 22.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 27.6
39
41
14
7
0
1
2
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
7-17
7-14
41%
48%
0-4
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 35.3
33
30
18
1
3
1
1
2
1
0
1
6-6
100%
6-17
6-12
35%
47%
0-1
0%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 26.2
26
25
11
6
3
1
1
1
1
0
6
3-3
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
2-4
50%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 29.1
21
31
12
6
0
0
0
1
0
4
2
2-2
100%
5-7
5-10
71%
51%
0-0
-
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.5
15
13
6
1
0
1
1
0
4
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-2
0%
Paul Zipser
F · 6'8" 226 · 23.2
25
26
10
6
1
0
0
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
2-5
40%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.5
23
4
2
4
3
1
0
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
1-1
20%
45%
0-0
-
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 24.8
23
14
2
11
0
0
0
2
1
5
6
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
56%
0-0
-
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 22.2
18
17
2
4
1
2
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.7
4
3
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Denzel Valentine
F · 6'6" 214 · 23.4
4
3
3
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
1-1
100%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 25.6
4
2
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-1
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.6
4
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
50%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 31.2
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.