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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 26, 2017
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Bulls33%10197
7Celtics67%107108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 27.6
39.3
42.4
14
45%
8
6
0
2
1
2
0
8
0-1
0%
4-11
7-15
36%
47%
2-4
50%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 25.9
36.2
16.3
13
59%
2
0
1
0
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
5-6
1-2
83%
40%
1-5
20%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 26.2
34.9
29.7
6
44%
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-2
0%
0-0
2-4
-
48%
2-6
33%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 35.3
34.7
33.8
26
58%
11
8
0
1
1
4
2
9
10-10
100%
5-12
6-13
42%
46%
2-6
33%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 29.1
28.9
23.5
14
89%
6
4
1
0
3
3
3
3
2-2
100%
6-7
4-8
86%
50%
0-0
-
Paul Zipser
F · 6'8" 226 · 23.2
17.9
19.5
5
83%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
1-2
50%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.6
16.7
1.3
8
68%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
0-0
60%
47%
0-0
-
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 24.8
14.6
14.2
6
75%
4
2
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
55%
0-0
-
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 22.2
11.6
19.9
3
38%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
50%
1-3
33%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.5
3.6
10.9
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-0
-
Denzel Valentine
F · 6'6" 214 · 23.4
1.6
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.5
9.1
0
1-1
46%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 25.6
4.4
0
1-1
50%
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.7
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 31.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.4
39.7
35.4
24
63%
6
1
1
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
9-14
3-7
64%
50%
2-5
40%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 28.2
36.2
34.8
24
55%
5
4
1
1
0
3
0
5
11-11
100%
5-7
5-10
71%
51%
1-10
10%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.8
35.0
36.4
8
31%
8
2
1
1
2
0
3
5
4-4
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
53%
0-5
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.9
34.4
34.1
21
80%
7
9
1
1
0
1
2
5
5-5
100%
5-7
5-9
71%
53%
2-4
50%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 31.2
12.3
17.5
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.1
34.3
31.1
8
44%
3
8
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
43%
2-7
29%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 26.0
20.3
16.8
14
68%
5
0
1
1
0
1
1
4
3-3
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
56%
1-4
25%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.1
18.2
13.4
5
42%
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
42%
1-2
50%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 30.2
9.6
8.0
2
33%
0
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 30.0
5.0
0
1-1
60%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 20.5
2.9
0
0-1
52%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.3
1.7
0
0-0
50%
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21.7
0.3
0
0-0
50%
Demetrius Jackson
G · 6'1" 201 · 22.6
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.