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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 27, 2017
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Raptors44%10092
13Bucks56%10289
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 31.1
44.1
37.6
13
60%
4
4
3
1
1
2
1
3
2-4
50%
4-5
3-6
80%
48%
1-4
25%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 27.7
40.4
35.4
32
57%
4
3
5
1
0
3
1
3
8-9
89%
12-21
7-16
57%
46%
0-3
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.6
31.0
26.2
7
44%
12
0
0
0
2
1
1
11
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
52%
1-3
33%
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 23.9
30.8
27.4
8
67%
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
49%
2-2
100%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.8
13.5
19.5
6
75%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
2-3
67%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 28.1
22.7
15.4
7
72%
5
2
1
0
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
1-3
33%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 32.0
20.8
23.5
4
41%
7
0
0
1
1
3
4
3
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.0
16.6
21.8
6
44%
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
2-6
4-7
33%
55%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.7
14.6
16.3
5
51%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 25.0
5.6
8.8
4
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 21.5
2.8
0
0-1
56%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 24.8
1.3
0
0-0
63%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 21.6
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.1
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 22.4
46.6
39.3
34
59%
9
3
2
1
2
3
1
8
7-13
54%
12-21
8-15
57%
53%
1-2
50%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 25.7
42.4
36.0
19
59%
4
5
2
2
0
3
0
4
4-7
57%
3-8
4-9
38%
46%
3-5
60%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 25.5
30.9
32.9
2
25%
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Malcolm Brogdon
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.4
22.8
30.6
6
33%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
47%
0-1
0%
Thon Maker
C-F · 7'1" 223 · 20.2
13.4
21.8
2
26%
2
2
0
0
5
2
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 26.6
34.0
22.4
12
56%
4
4
1
0
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
3-5
1-3
60%
39%
1-4
25%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 26.9
23.5
22.5
6
51%
7
1
1
1
1
3
4
3
2-2
100%
2-5
4-9
40%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 39.6
17.6
8.1
8
57%
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
47%
2-4
50%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 26.3
8.8
3.0
0
0%
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.3
10.5
0
2-4
51%
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 31.6
6.2
0
0-1
46%
Rashad Vaughn
G · 6'6" 202 · 20.7
2.7
0
0-0
40%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 29.0
1.3
0
0-0
48%
Gary Payton II
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.4
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.