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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 19, 2017
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Hawks
101
11Wizards
109
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 23.6
38
28
23
4
6
1
1
0
1
2
2
6-8
75%
7-13
5-10
54%
47%
1-8
13%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 32.2
35
29
27
10
4
2
1
1
5
1
9
14-15
93%
5-11
4-8
45%
48%
1-3
33%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 25.1
35
25
19
1
2
0
1
0
4
1
0
7-7
100%
3-10
3-6
30%
51%
2-4
50%
Taurean Prince
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.1
30
29
12
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
5-7
2-5
71%
46%
0-1
0%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.4
20
23
6
7
1
1
1
1
3
2
5
0-0
-
3-5
4-6
60%
59%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 27.8
25
22
8
5
0
0
1
2
4
1
4
4-4
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 25.8
23
16
2
6
1
0
0
2
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
54%
0-1
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.9
16
19
2
4
0
1
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 35.6
8
12
2
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 36.6
6
13
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 33.0
4
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Malcolm Delaney
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.1
8
0
1-2
43%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.2
8
0
1-2
46%
DeAndre' Bembry
F-G · 6'6" 210 · 22.8
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 26.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 23.8
42
37
31
2
3
3
1
0
4
1
1
3-6
50%
8-17
5-11
47%
50%
4-10
40%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.6
39
31
32
5
9
2
2
1
4
0
5
12-15
80%
7-18
6-13
39%
47%
2-2
100%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.2
35
28
14
10
3
1
0
5
1
6
4
0-0
-
7-10
4-8
70%
56%
0-0
-
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 23.9
23
27
4
5
2
2
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
55%
0-3
0%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.6
20
29
3
3
2
0
1
2
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
4-8
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 31.1
28
12
8
7
1
1
0
1
1
2
5
2-2
100%
3-6
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.0
22
16
6
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
3-4
75%
0-2
2-3
0%
49%
1-5
20%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 27.6
17
18
10
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
4-4
1-2
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 21.4
13
24
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.5
8
0
1-1
48%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 24.4
6
0
1-2
44%
Sheldon Mac
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24.3
6
0
0-1
49%
Daniel Ochefu
F · 6'11" 245 · 23.3
2
0
0-1
51%
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.2
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.