Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	10	Wizards	45%	103	98	94.2	104	112.7
	19	Hawks	55%	105	116	113.7	102	94.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bradley Beal G · 6'4" 207 · 24	35.5	12	30%	5	1	0	1	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	6-14	43%	0-6	0%
John Wall G · 6'4" 210 · 27	31.6	29	97%	3	7	1	0	3	2	0	3	8-10	80%	9-11	82%	1-1	100%
Markieff Morris F · 6'10" 245 · 28	29.3	9	32%	6	0	1	2	2	5	0	6	0-0	-	3-10	30%	1-4	25%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 33	28.8	2	25%	9	0	0	1	0	2	2	7	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 24	23.9	7	50%	2	0	1	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%

Bojan Bogdanović F · 6'8" 230 · 28	26.9	11	50%	7	1	0	0	0	0	0	7	5-6	83%	3-5	60%	0-4	0%
Kelly Oubre Jr. F-G · 6'8" 210 · 21	23.5	9	41%	5	1	2	0	2	6	2	3	0-0	-	0-4	0%	3-7	43%
Brandon Jennings G · 6'1" 170 · 28	17.2	13	81%	0	4	0	0	2	0	0	0	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Tomas Satoransky G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25	9.0	0	0%	1	2	1	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jason Smith F-C · 7'0" 240 · 31	7.6	2	50%	4	0	0	0	1	6	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Sheldon Mac G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24	3.4	4	67%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Daniel Ochefu F · 6'11" 245 · 23	3.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Trey Burke G · 6'1" 191 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris McCullough #1 · F · 6'9" 215 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Ian Mahinmi #28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	49%	42	16	6	4	15	0	6	36	17-20	85%	30-60	50%	7-29	24%

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10 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bradley Beal G · 6'4" 207 · 24	35.5	12	30%	5	1	0	1	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	6-14	43%	0-6	0%
John Wall G · 6'4" 210 · 27	31.6	29	97%	3	7	1	0	3	2	0	3	8-10	80%	9-11	82%	1-1	100%
Markieff Morris F · 6'10" 245 · 28	29.3	9	32%	6	0	1	2	2	5	0	6	0-0	-	3-10	30%	1-4	25%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 33	28.8	2	25%	9	0	0	1	0	2	2	7	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 24	23.9	7	50%	2	0	1	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%

Bojan Bogdanović F · 6'8" 230 · 28	26.9	11	50%	7	1	0	0	0	0	0	7	5-6	83%	3-5	60%	0-4	0%
Kelly Oubre Jr. F-G · 6'8" 210 · 21	23.5	9	41%	5	1	2	0	2	6	2	3	0-0	-	0-4	0%	3-7	43%
Brandon Jennings G · 6'1" 170 · 28	17.2	13	81%	0	4	0	0	2	0	0	0	4-4	100%	3-4	75%	1-2	50%
Tomas Satoransky G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25	9.0	0	0%	1	2	1	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jason Smith F-C · 7'0" 240 · 31	7.6	2	50%	4	0	0	0	1	6	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Sheldon Mac G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24	3.4	4	67%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Daniel Ochefu F · 6'11" 245 · 23	3.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Trey Burke G · 6'1" 191 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris McCullough #1 · F · 6'9" 215 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Ian Mahinmi #28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	49%	42	16	6	4	15	0	6	36	17-20	85%	30-60	50%	7-29	24%

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19 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paul Millsap F · 6'8" 246 · 32	32.6	29	66%	14	5	1	2	2	3	3	11	5-9	56%	12-19	63%	0-1	0%
Dennis Schröder G · 6'1" 175 · 24	31.1	27	54%	2	9	1	0	3	4	0	2	4-6	67%	7-15	47%	3-7	43%
Tim Hardaway Jr. G · 6'5" 205 · 25	29.3	8	40%	1	2	0	0	1	2	0	1	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-6	17%
Taurean Prince F · 6'6" 218 · 23	28.0	16	80%	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	5-8	63%	2-2	100%
Dwight Howard C · 6'11" 265 · 31	26.8	5	50%	11	2	1	1	0	3	2	9	1-3	33%	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Kent Bazemore G · 6'5" 201 · 28	21.5	8	44%	3	4	1	1	1	0	0	3	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Ersan Ilyasova F · 6'9" 235 · 30	18.7	4	33%	6	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Mike Muscala F-C · 6'11" 240 · 26	14.9	3	30%	5	0	1	0	0	0	4	1	3-4	75%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Mike Dunleavy G-F · 6'9" 230 · 37	14.8	3	75%	1	2	0	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Jose Calderon G · 6'3" 200 · 36	13.0	4	67%	2	2	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Malcolm Delaney G · 6'3" 190 · 28	3.4	8	133%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	1-1	100%
Thabo Sefolosha F · 6'7" 220 · 33	2.9	1	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kris Humphries F · 6'9" 235 · 32	2.9	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ryan Kelly #30 · F · 6'11" 230 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
DeAndre' Bembry #95 · F-G · 6'6" 210 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	116	56%	49	26	6	5	11	0	10	39	19-32	59%	35-64	55%	9-25	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	ATL
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	ATL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

WAS

0.98 49.0%

ATL

1.12 55.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

14

22

64%

ATL

24

38

63%

Midrange

WAS

16

38

42%

ATL

11

26

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

7

10.5

29

24%

36%

ATL

9

13.5

25

36%

54%

Free Throws

WAS

17

20

85%

ATL

19

32

59%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Wall	29	97%	14.5 / 15
B. Jennings	13	81%	6.5 / 8
B. Beal	12	30%	6.0 / 20
B. Bogdanovic	11	50%	5.5 / 11
M. Morris	9	32%	4.5 / 14
K. Oubre	9	41%	4.5 / 11
O. Porter Jr.	7	50%	3.5 / 7
S. Mac	4	67%	2.0 / 3
M. Gortat	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. Smith	2	50%	1.0 / 2
D. Ochefu	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Millsap	29	66%	14.5 / 22
D. Schröder	27	54%	13.5 / 25
T. Prince	16	80%	8.0 / 10
T. Hardaway	8	40%	4.0 / 10
K. Bazemore	8	44%	4.0 / 9
M. Delaney	8	133%	4.0 / 3
D. Howard	5	50%	2.5 / 5
E. Ilyasova	4	33%	2.0 / 6
J. Calderon	4	67%	2.0 / 3
M. Muscala	3	30%	1.5 / 5
M. Dunleavy	3	75%	1.5 / 2
T. Sefolosha	1	50%	0.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 111.1 10 108.0	WAS 94.2 ATL 113.7 +19.5
Pace	5 96.5 4 97.7	WAS 112.7 +18.0 ATL 94.7
Avg. Poss. Time	22 15.3 28 14.4	WAS 12.8 −2.4 ATL 15.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 50.5% 12 49.3%	WAS 45.5% ATL 54.5% +9.0%
TO %	9 13.4% 16 15.9%	WAS 14.1% ATL 10.4% −3.7%
ORB %	4 26.6% 5 26.1%	WAS 13.3% ATL 21.7% +8.4%
FTrt	9 28.1 1 34.3	WAS 22.5 ATL 36.0 +13.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 56.8% 4 59.6%	WAS 43.2% ATL 59.1% +15.9%
STL %	7 8.2% 15 6.1%	WAS 5.8% ATL 5.9% +0.1%
BLK %	2 12.4% 14 5.5%	WAS 6.3% ATL 8.3% +2.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 53.5% 11 53.3%	WAS 49.0% ATL 55.8% +6.8%
Rim FG%	8 57.4% 12 54.9%	WAS 63.6% +0.4% ATL 63.2%
Mid FG%	2 46.4% 3 45.3%	WAS 42.1% ATL 42.3% +0.2%
3P %	13 31.7% 15 30.5%	WAS 24.1% ATL 36.0% +11.9%
FT %	6 79.4% 12 76.4%	WAS 85.0% +25.6% ATL 59.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 34.4% 3 40.6%	WAS 24.7% ATL 42.7% +18.0%
Mid Att. %	13 35.4% 4 27.0%	WAS 42.7% ATL 29.2% −13.5%
3P Att. %	12 30.2% 8 32.3%	WAS 32.6% +4.5% ATL 28.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	ATL
Possessions	104	102
Possession Minutes	22.1	25.9
Points	98	116
Rebounds	42	49
Assists	16	26
Steals	6	6
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (4)	10 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (3)	39 (4)
Field Goals	37-89	44-89
At-the-Rim FG	14-22	24-38
Midrange FG	16-38	11-26
2-Point FG	30-60	35-64
3-Point FG	7-29	9-25
Free Throws	17-20	19-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg