Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Wizards	46%	104	101	104.1	97	95.0
	18	Hawks	54%	105	111	112.1	99	101.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
John Wall G · 6'4" 210 · 27	40.8	22	50%	5	10	2	0	6	2	0	5	6-8	75%	5-14	36%	2-5	40%
Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 24	38.9	13	59%	4	0	1	2	0	1	1	3	2-3	67%	4-7	57%	1-3	33%
Bradley Beal G · 6'4" 207 · 24	38.8	32	64%	5	2	2	0	1	4	0	5	5-5	100%	6-9	67%	5-14	36%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 33	35.2	2	25%	18	3	0	3	1	5	4	14	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Markieff Morris F · 6'10" 245 · 28	23.9	9	38%	4	2	0	0	1	5	1	3	3-4	75%	3-9	33%	0-1	0%

Jason Smith F-C · 7'0" 240 · 31	24.2	5	63%	4	1	1	0	2	3	2	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Bojan Bogdanović F · 6'8" 230 · 28	17.5	13	72%	3	0	1	0	1	1	1	2	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Brandon Jennings G · 6'1" 170 · 28	11.3	5	50%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Kelly Oubre Jr. F-G · 6'8" 210 · 21	8.9	0	0%	2	0	0	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Tomas Satoransky G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25	0.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Sheldon Mac G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24	0.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Daniel Ochefu F · 6'11" 245 · 23	0.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Trey Burke G · 6'1" 191 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris McCullough #1 · F · 6'9" 215 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Ian Mahinmi #28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	52%	46	19	7	5	14	0	9	37	18-23	78%	25-53	47%	11-32	34%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

14 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
John Wall G · 6'4" 210 · 27	40.8	22	50%	5	10	2	0	6	2	0	5	6-8	75%	5-14	36%	2-5	40%
Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 24	38.9	13	59%	4	0	1	2	0	1	1	3	2-3	67%	4-7	57%	1-3	33%
Bradley Beal G · 6'4" 207 · 24	38.8	32	64%	5	2	2	0	1	4	0	5	5-5	100%	6-9	67%	5-14	36%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 33	35.2	2	25%	18	3	0	3	1	5	4	14	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Markieff Morris F · 6'10" 245 · 28	23.9	9	38%	4	2	0	0	1	5	1	3	3-4	75%	3-9	33%	0-1	0%

Jason Smith F-C · 7'0" 240 · 31	24.2	5	63%	4	1	1	0	2	3	2	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Bojan Bogdanović F · 6'8" 230 · 28	17.5	13	72%	3	0	1	0	1	1	1	2	1-1	100%	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Brandon Jennings G · 6'1" 170 · 28	11.3	5	50%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Kelly Oubre Jr. F-G · 6'8" 210 · 21	8.9	0	0%	2	0	0	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Tomas Satoransky G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25	0.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Sheldon Mac G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24	0.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Daniel Ochefu F · 6'11" 245 · 23	0.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Trey Burke G · 6'1" 191 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris McCullough #1 · F · 6'9" 215 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Ian Mahinmi #28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	52%	46	19	7	5	14	0	9	37	18-23	78%	25-53	47%	11-32	34%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

18 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paul Millsap F · 6'8" 246 · 32	36.1	19	53%	9	7	2	0	3	3	1	8	6-8	75%	5-11	45%	1-4	25%
Taurean Prince F · 6'6" 218 · 23	32.5	11	79%	7	1	0	0	1	2	1	6	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	0-1	0%
Tim Hardaway Jr. G · 6'5" 205 · 25	30.9	15	63%	2	1	2	0	3	3	1	1	0-1	0%	3-7	43%	3-5	60%
Dwight Howard C · 6'11" 265 · 31	30.3	16	50%	15	1	0	1	0	3	4	11	4-5	80%	6-14	43%	0-0	-
Dennis Schröder G · 6'1" 175 · 24	28.4	18	53%	3	1	0	0	1	3	0	3	4-4	100%	4-9	44%	2-6	33%

Kent Bazemore G · 6'5" 201 · 28	23.5	16	57%	4	7	3	0	1	1	0	4	3-4	75%	2-4	50%	3-8	38%
Ersan Ilyasova F · 6'9" 235 · 30	21.7	6	75%	5	1	0	0	0	2	2	3	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Jose Calderon G · 6'3" 200 · 36	20.0	10	56%	2	5	0	0	1	3	2	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Mike Muscala F-C · 6'11" 240 · 26	7.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Mike Dunleavy G-F · 6'9" 230 · 37	7.4	0	0%	2	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Thabo Sefolosha F · 6'7" 220 · 33	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Malcolm Delaney G · 6'3" 190 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kris Humphries F · 6'9" 235 · 32	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
DeAndre' Bembry #95 · F-G · 6'6" 210 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Ryan Kelly #30 · F · 6'11" 230 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	54%	49	24	7	1	12	0	12	37	19-25	76%	28-59	47%	12-31	39%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	ATL
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	ATL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.04 52.1%

ATL

1.09 54.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

12

20

60%

ATL

19

33

58%

Midrange

WAS

13

33

39%

ATL

9

26

35%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

11

16.5

32

34%

52%

ATL

12

18.0

31

39%

58%

Free Throws

WAS

18

23

78%

ATL

19

25

76%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Beal	32	64%	16.0 / 25
J. Wall	22	50%	11.0 / 22
O. Porter Jr.	13	59%	6.5 / 11
B. Bogdanovic	13	72%	6.5 / 9
M. Morris	9	38%	4.5 / 12
J. Smith	5	63%	2.5 / 4
B. Jennings	5	50%	2.5 / 5
M. Gortat	2	25%	1.0 / 4
K. Oubre	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Millsap	19	53%	9.5 / 18
D. Schröder	18	53%	9.0 / 17
D. Howard	16	50%	8.0 / 16
K. Bazemore	16	57%	8.0 / 14
T. Hardaway	15	63%	7.5 / 12
T. Prince	11	79%	5.5 / 7
J. Calderon	10	56%	5.0 / 9
E. Ilyasova	6	75%	3.0 / 4
M. Muscala	0	-	0.0 / 2
M. Dunleavy	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 111.1 10 108.0	WAS 104.1 ATL 112.1 +8.0
Pace	5 96.5 4 97.7	WAS 95.0 ATL 101.4 +6.4
Avg. Poss. Time	22 15.3 28 14.4	WAS 15.2 ATL 14.2 −1.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	10 50.5% 12 49.3%	WAS 48.8% ATL 51.1% +2.3%
TO %	9 13.4% 16 15.9%	WAS 13.6% ATL 10.6% −3.0%
ORB %	4 26.6% 5 26.1%	WAS 19.6% ATL 24.5% +4.9%
FTrt	9 28.1 1 34.3	WAS 27.1 ATL 27.8 +0.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 56.8% 4 59.6%	WAS 52.8% ATL 60.0% +7.2%
STL %	7 8.2% 15 6.1%	WAS 7.2% +0.1% ATL 7.1%
BLK %	2 12.4% 14 5.5%	WAS 8.5% +6.6% ATL 1.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 53.5% 11 53.3%	WAS 52.1% ATL 54.4% +2.3%
Rim FG%	8 57.4% 12 54.9%	WAS 60.0% +2.4% ATL 57.6%
Mid FG%	2 46.4% 3 45.3%	WAS 39.4% +4.8% ATL 34.6%
3P %	13 31.7% 15 30.5%	WAS 34.4% ATL 38.7% +4.3%
FT %	6 79.4% 12 76.4%	WAS 78.3% +2.3% ATL 76.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 34.4% 3 40.6%	WAS 23.5% ATL 36.7% +13.1%
Mid Att. %	13 35.4% 4 27.0%	WAS 38.8% ATL 28.9% −9.9%
3P Att. %	12 30.2% 8 32.3%	WAS 37.6% +3.2% ATL 34.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	ATL
Possessions	97	99
Possession Minutes	24.5	23.4
Points	101	111
Rebounds	46	49
Assists	19	24
Steals	7	7
Blocks	5	1
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (3)	12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (1)	37 (3)
Field Goals	36-85	40-90
At-the-Rim FG	12-20	19-33
Midrange FG	13-33	9-26
2-Point FG	25-53	28-59
3-Point FG	11-32	12-31
Free Throws	18-23	19-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg