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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 16, 2017
3:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Trail Blazers13%97109
2Warriors87%112121
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.6
40.8
15.3
41
67%
8
1
1
0
1
4
3
5
5-6
83%
12-22
3-6
55%
46%
4-6
67%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.8
39.4
16.8
34
58%
5
3
2
0
1
3
2
3
7-7
100%
9-17
2-5
53%
44%
3-9
33%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 28.5
36.0
24.6
12
68%
10
4
1
1
0
1
1
9
4-4
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
44%
2-3
67%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.9
34.8
21.3
11
42%
3
1
2
1
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
52%
1-6
17%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 21.6
23.1
34.0
2
20%
5
4
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
45%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.6
23.3
18.4
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.0
21.9
9.6
3
26%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
0-2
1-1
0%
46%
1-3
33%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.8
10.2
20.3
3
80%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
1-4
100%
38%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 25.1
6.6
30.5
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
46%
0-0
-
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.3
4.0
24.6
3
44%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
42%
0-2
0%
Jake Layman
F · 6'9" 210 · 23.1
22.7
1
1-3
42%
Tim Quarterman
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.5
13.4
0
1-3
43%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.6
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.5
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.1
37.0
15.2
19
73%
12
9
3
1
5
1
1
11
4-7
57%
3-6
1-2
50%
52%
3-4
75%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.5
35.9
27.4
32
69%
11
2
0
1
1
3
1
10
6-7
86%
10-14
5-8
71%
57%
2-6
33%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.1
35.8
27.3
29
64%
5
4
1
1
1
5
1
4
8-8
100%
6-11
4-7
55%
54%
3-8
38%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 27.2
35.4
23.2
15
44%
3
2
1
1
1
2
2
1
2-2
100%
5-10
3-6
50%
51%
1-6
17%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 33.2
12.5
16.7
4
50%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 33.2
32.7
13.5
2
53%
2
4
1
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
60%
0-1
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 31.6
15.3
19.1
2
100%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
53%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.6
13.4
14.1
0
0%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 26.1
12.1
21.3
12
102%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
54%
2-2
100%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.2
9.7
14.9
6
75%
5
1
0
0
2
0
3
2
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
60%
0-0
-
Patrick McCaw
G · 6'7" 185 · 21.5
0.4
24.1
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
55%
0-0
-
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 24.3
0.1
15.8
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
55%
0-0
-
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 21.8
17.4
0
2-3
56%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 37.1
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.