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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 15, 2017
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Grizzlies
82
4Spurs
111
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 32.2
34
26
32
5
2
0
1
2
1
0
5
7-7
100%
8-15
4-8
53%
45%
3-3
100%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 29.5
30
24
13
5
7
3
1
1
2
1
4
1-2
50%
3-10
3-6
30%
46%
2-4
50%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 40.2
28
23
4
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
39%
0-1
0%
Wayne Selden
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 22.5
27
27
5
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
0-3
0%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 26.8
15
21
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.7
26
22
6
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-12
4-10
25%
44%
0-1
0%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 26.8
20
17
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 22.5
20
21
10
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
2-4
1-3
50%
38%
1-2
50%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.8
16
19
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
36%
0-3
0%
Wade Baldwin IV
G · 6'4" 202 · 21.0
7
13
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
40%
0-0
-
Deyonta Davis
C-F · 6'11" 237 · 20.4
7
7
7
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
3-3
1-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 22.9
6
6
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.5
5
15
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
59%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 35.3
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.8
32
27
32
3
5
2
1
0
2
1
2
9-9
100%
10-11
5-9
91%
53%
1-3
33%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 31.7
30
27
20
6
2
0
0
0
0
2
4
4-5
80%
8-18
5-11
44%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.9
22
20
18
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
6-10
3-6
60%
49%
2-2
100%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.8
20
21
2
5
1
1
1
4
0
1
4
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-2
0%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 27.7
18
16
0
8
1
0
0
2
0
2
6
0-2
0%
0-0
2-3
-
59%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 36.8
25
20
6
4
1
0
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-5
3-6
0%
48%
2-2
100%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.7
17
19
9
2
0
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
3-3
100%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.6
17
20
4
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
47%
0-1
0%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34.0
15
18
5
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
3
1-2
50%
2-4
3-5
50%
54%
0-1
0%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 27.6
14
18
6
2
2
0
1
1
1
0
2
2-3
67%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 39.7
13
14
0
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.7
9
13
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24.4
7
13
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
54%
1-1
100%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 34.7
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 20.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.