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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 20, 2017
9:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs
94
18Grizzlies
105
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 31.8
30
35
16
11
2
0
1
1
1
3
8
6-10
60%
5-7
7-14
71%
48%
0-1
0%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.8
30
35
18
4
3
0
2
1
1
0
4
4-4
100%
4-7
6-12
57%
52%
2-4
50%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.8
21
25
6
4
0
0
1
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
44%
0-4
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.9
19
22
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
3-7
0%
48%
0-0
-
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 27.7
10
13
2
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-2
0%
1-1
1-2
100%
58%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 36.8
27
25
6
8
1
0
0
1
0
4
4
2-4
50%
2-7
3-7
29%
48%
0-2
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.7
22
21
11
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
3-5
60%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.6
18
13
15
1
3
0
1
0
2
1
0
2-3
67%
5-6
1-2
83%
47%
1-1
100%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 27.6
16
9
10
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-2
0%
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
2-3
67%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34.0
16
15
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
53%
0-0
-
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24.4
12
6
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
52%
2-3
67%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 39.7
10
16
0
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 20.6
7
7
4
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.7
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 34.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 40.2
36
29
4
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
40%
0-1
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 32.2
36
34
21
6
3
0
1
1
1
1
5
3-4
75%
6-12
5-11
50%
46%
2-2
100%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 29.5
34
32
24
1
8
0
1
0
2
0
1
8-8
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
46%
2-5
40%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.8
29
29
21
8
0
0
1
1
0
0
8
2-2
100%
8-14
6-13
57%
45%
1-2
50%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 26.8
20
22
12
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
3-3
1-2
100%
49%
1-3
33%
Wayne Selden
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 22.6
28
21
10
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
47%
2-4
50%
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 22.5
25
21
5
2
6
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
39%
1-3
33%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 26.8
24
16
8
6
0
0
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
50%
0-2
0%
Wade Baldwin IV
G · 6'4" 202 · 21.1
3
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Deyonta Davis
C-F · 6'11" 237 · 20.4
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 22.9
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.8
0
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
37%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.5
8
0
1-2
60%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.5
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 35.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.