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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
May 1, 2017
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Raptors
105
3Cavaliers
116
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 31.1
40
41
20
2
11
1
2
0
3
0
2
4-4
100%
5-9
3-7
56%
48%
2-4
50%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 27.7
35
38
19
7
2
1
1
0
4
0
7
5-5
100%
7-15
8-18
47%
46%
0-1
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.6
32
29
15
6
3
0
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-11
4-7
27%
52%
3-3
100%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.0
21
19
6
6
0
0
0
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
55%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.8
15
16
3
4
0
0
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
1-1
100%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 32.0
26
22
13
11
1
0
1
1
1
3
8
0-0
-
5-7
1-2
71%
45%
1-4
25%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 28.1
22
19
5
2
4
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
1-5
20%
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 23.9
21
29
12
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
2
4-7
57%
1-4
3-7
25%
49%
2-7
29%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.7
10
15
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 25.0
8
7
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.1
3
13
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 23.2
3
2
6
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
0-0
100%
44%
0-0
-
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 21.5
3
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
55%
0-0
-
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 21.6
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 24.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 32.3
41
43
35
10
4
1
1
1
3
2
8
7-8
88%
11-18
9-16
61%
57%
2-5
40%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 26.1
38
32
11
14
2
2
0
0
0
4
10
5-6
83%
3-8
3-6
38%
57%
0-0
-
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 25.1
35
34
24
2
10
2
1
0
3
0
2
7-9
78%
4-8
7-13
50%
49%
3-8
38%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 28.6
32
33
18
9
1
2
1
1
1
0
9
5-6
83%
2-7
3-7
29%
47%
3-6
50%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.6
22
29
6
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
2-4
50%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 26.8
18
16
5
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.8
18
15
4
4
4
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
0-2
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 36.1
17
18
6
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
2-4
50%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 34.0
12
14
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.9
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 36.3
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.6
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 36.9
4
0
0-0
53%
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 22.1
Edy Tavares
C · 7'3" 265 · 25.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.