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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
May 5, 2017
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Cavaliers
115
8Raptors
94
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 32.3
41
39
35
8
7
1
1
0
5
0
8
15-16
94%
7-12
8-14
58%
56%
2-4
50%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 26.1
38
32
9
11
0
0
1
1
0
4
7
3-5
60%
3-6
3-6
50%
56%
0-0
-
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 25.1
32
32
16
5
4
0
1
0
1
1
4
1-1
100%
6-16
6-12
38%
48%
1-5
20%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 28.7
32
26
16
14
0
0
1
1
4
1
13
3-4
75%
5-8
2-5
63%
46%
1-1
100%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.7
17
28
9
1
0
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
3-5
60%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 26.9
26
23
4
4
2
1
1
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
1-5
1-3
20%
45%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 36.1
21
18
14
3
0
0
0
3
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
4-6
67%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.9
16
17
4
1
2
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 34.0
10
15
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
1-1
100%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.9
3
2
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
50%
1-1
100%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.6
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 36.4
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 36.9
4
0
0-0
51%
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 22.1
Edy Tavares
C · 7'3" 265 · 25.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 27.7
40
34
37
2
3
3
1
0
0
0
2
13-13
100%
12-23
7-15
52%
47%
0-0
-
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 23.9
36
25
13
3
2
2
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
5-12
3-6
42%
50%
1-7
14%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.6
35
28
12
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
6-11
4-7
55%
53%
0-3
0%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.7
33
19
4
3
6
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-8
2-4
25%
49%
0-4
0%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.0
33
20
19
8
0
0
0
0
1
1
7
3-4
75%
8-10
4-7
80%
56%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 28.1
20
19
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 32.0
19
19
5
5
1
1
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 25.0
12
11
2
0
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 23.2
6
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
45%
0-1
0%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.8
4
17
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 31.1
34
1
3-6
49%
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.1
7
0
1-1
52%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 21.6
4
0
0-1
57%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 24.8
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 21.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.