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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
May 2, 2017
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Jazz
94
1Warriors
106
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 27.1
35
40
12
4
4
2
1
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-6
6-12
33%
47%
2-9
22%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 24.8
31
22
13
8
3
1
0
2
2
2
6
3-6
50%
5-7
3-6
71%
59%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 31.0
28
34
7
4
3
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 29.6
23
34
5
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 35.8
22
31
11
6
2
0
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
1-4
3-8
25%
45%
3-6
50%
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 24.5
23
23
12
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
6-8
2-5
75%
43%
0-4
0%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 27.0
21
3
6
7
4
1
0
0
1
0
7
2-2
100%
2-6
0-1
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 35.0
20
16
4
2
1
1
0
1
2
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 25.8
12
24
4
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
49%
0-0
-
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 21.8
12
6
7
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
46%
1-1
100%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 21.5
6
0
7
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
38%
1-2
50%
Joel Bolomboy
· 6'9" 235 · 23.3
5
1
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
48%
0-0
-
Raul Neto
G · 6'1" 179 · 25.0
3
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 27.2
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 25.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.2
34
34
17
8
6
2
2
2
0
0
8
5-7
71%
3-5
2-4
60%
50%
2-5
40%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.6
31
16
17
5
5
1
0
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
6-15
3-5
40%
56%
1-2
50%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 27.2
31
34
15
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
4-9
60%
49%
3-8
38%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.1
30
33
22
7
5
1
2
0
4
1
6
7-7
100%
6-7
4-8
86%
52%
1-4
25%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 33.2
14
15
10
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
4-4
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 33.3
24
28
4
3
5
1
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
58%
0-6
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 31.6
20
4
9
5
1
1
0
1
1
2
3
1-1
100%
4-5
0-1
80%
52%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 26.2
18
20
6
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
53%
0-2
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.7
18
14
4
4
7
1
0
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.3
10
11
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-4
50%
59%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 37.1
4
10
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 24.3
3
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-1
0%
Patrick McCaw
G · 6'7" 185 · 21.5
3
23
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
52%
0-1
0%
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 21.8
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.