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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
May 1, 2017
9:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Rockets
126
2Spurs
99
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 29.0
35
24
14
6
3
2
0
1
0
0
6
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
4-10
40%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 31.8
31
38
23
4
2
2
2
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
48%
5-10
50%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 27.7
31
38
20
1
14
4
1
0
3
0
1
5-5
100%
3-5
5-9
60%
49%
3-8
38%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 23.0
25
22
20
13
1
0
1
2
1
3
10
4-5
80%
8-10
4-7
80%
58%
0-0
-
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.8
24
27
7
7
4
1
1
1
0
1
6
1-1
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
2-5
40%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.3
24
34
11
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
44%
3-6
50%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 30.5
23
30
13
3
0
1
1
1
3
0
3
3-3
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.6
16
23
7
5
0
1
1
0
1
0
5
3-3
100%
2-4
4-7
50%
55%
0-0
-
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.0
7
3
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
54%
1-2
50%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 23.3
7
3
1
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
59%
0-0
-
Troy Williams
F · 6'7" 218 · 22.3
5
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-2
0%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 32.6
5
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
36%
1-2
50%
Kyle Wiltjer
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.5
5
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
Isaiah Taylor
G · 6'3" 170 · 22.8
Chinanu Onuaku
C · 6'10" 245 · 20.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.8
32
39
21
11
6
0
2
1
1
0
11
8-8
100%
2-7
7-14
29%
53%
3-7
43%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34.0
29
25
4
7
0
0
0
0
1
2
5
4-6
67%
0-2
3-6
0%
54%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 31.8
25
38
4
6
1
1
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-7
7-15
29%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.0
23
29
11
4
3
0
1
0
2
0
4
4-4
100%
2-7
5-10
29%
49%
1-2
50%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.9
22
25
8
2
1
2
1
0
4
1
1
0-3
0%
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
2-9
22%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 36.8
22
19
6
6
1
2
0
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
2-2
3-5
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 27.6
21
9
11
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
3-8
1-2
38%
49%
1-3
33%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.7
16
22
7
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.6
12
4
9
2
1
2
0
0
2
2
0
3-4
75%
3-5
0-1
60%
49%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 39.8
12
15
8
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
45%
1-2
50%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24.5
11
7
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-2
0%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 20.6
9
2
4
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
0-4
0-0
0%
49%
0-0
-
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 27.7
7
5
6
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
0-1
100%
59%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 34.7
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.