Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Spurs	42%	105	104	108.3	96	95.2
	4	Rockets	58%	108	125	127.6	98	98.8

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'6" 225 · 26	29.8	16	53%	6	4	1	1	3	2	2	4	1-3	33%	6-10	60%	1-4	25%
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 30	25.9	3	38%	3	0	1	2	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
LaMarcus Aldridge F · 6'11" 260 · 32	24.6	16	57%	5	1	0	1	3	3	2	3	2-2	100%	7-13	54%	0-0	-
Dejounte Murray G · 6'4" 180 · 21	20.3	8	50%	0	3	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Pau Gasol C · 7'0" 250 · 37	18.5	8	50%	7	3	2	2	0	2	4	3	2-4	50%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%

Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 29	27.8	10	71%	2	5	1	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Jonathon Simmons F · 6'6" 195 · 28	22.6	17	65%	4	1	2	0	3	0	0	4	3-4	75%	4-7	57%	2-5	40%
David Lee F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34	17.4	2	20%	4	0	1	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 40	16.3	9	64%	1	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-1	0%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Kyle Anderson F-G · 6'8" 230 · 24	15.8	8	67%	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Dewayne Dedmon C · 7'0" 245 · 28	8.2	5	50%	5	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	1-4	25%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Bryn Forbes G · 6'3" 190 · 24	7.3	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Davis Bertans C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24	5.5	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Joel Anthony #30 · C · 6'9" 245 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Tony Parker #9 · G · 6'2" 185 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	54%	43	23	8	6	14	0	11	32	9-18	50%	37-66	56%	7-23	30%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

2 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'6" 225 · 26	29.8	16	53%	6	4	1	1	3	2	2	4	1-3	33%	6-10	60%	1-4	25%
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 30	25.9	3	38%	3	0	1	2	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
LaMarcus Aldridge F · 6'11" 260 · 32	24.6	16	57%	5	1	0	1	3	3	2	3	2-2	100%	7-13	54%	0-0	-
Dejounte Murray G · 6'4" 180 · 21	20.3	8	50%	0	3	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Pau Gasol C · 7'0" 250 · 37	18.5	8	50%	7	3	2	2	0	2	4	3	2-4	50%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%

Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 29	27.8	10	71%	2	5	1	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-5	40%
Jonathon Simmons F · 6'6" 195 · 28	22.6	17	65%	4	1	2	0	3	0	0	4	3-4	75%	4-7	57%	2-5	40%
David Lee F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34	17.4	2	20%	4	0	1	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 40	16.3	9	64%	1	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-1	0%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Kyle Anderson F-G · 6'8" 230 · 24	15.8	8	67%	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Dewayne Dedmon C · 7'0" 245 · 28	8.2	5	50%	5	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	1-4	25%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Bryn Forbes G · 6'3" 190 · 24	7.3	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Davis Bertans C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24	5.5	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Joel Anthony #30 · C · 6'9" 245 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Tony Parker #9 · G · 6'2" 185 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	54%	43	23	8	6	14	0	11	32	9-18	50%	37-66	56%	7-23	30%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

4 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Trevor Ariza F · 6'8" 215 · 32	34.7	16	89%	6	5	2	0	0	2	0	6	0-1	0%	5-6	83%	2-3	67%
James Harden G · 6'5" 220 · 28	34.5	28	67%	5	12	2	0	4	4	1	4	4-6	67%	6-7	86%	4-11	36%
Ryan Anderson F · 6'10" 240 · 29	31.7	13	59%	4	0	0	0	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-7	43%
Patrick Beverley G · 6'1" 185 · 29	25.5	10	56%	4	6	1	0	1	0	3	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Clint Capela C · 6'10" 256 · 23	25.1	8	57%	9	1	1	2	1	5	0	9	2-3	67%	3-6	50%	0-0	-

Eric Gordon G · 6'3" 215 · 28	32.1	22	85%	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	6-9	67%
Lou Williams G · 6'1" 175 · 31	31.7	13	43%	4	2	0	0	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	5-10	50%	1-5	20%
Sam Dekker F · 6'9" 230 · 23	10.1	0	0%	5	0	0	1	0	0	2	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Bobby Brown · 6'2" 175 · 33	5.5	11	79%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-2	50%
Isaiah Taylor G · 6'3" 170 · 23	2.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Montrezl Harrell F-C · 6'8" 240 · 23	2.4	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Troy Williams F · 6'7" 218 · 22	2.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Nene C-F · 6'11" 250 · 35	1.7	4	67%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Kyle Wiltjer #30 · F · 6'10" 240 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chinanu Onuaku #21 · C · 6'10" 245 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	61%	41	28	7	3	9	0	7	34	6-10	60%	31-52	60%	19-43	44%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	HOU
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	HOU

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.07 53.6%

HOU

1.23 61.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

25

38

66%

HOU

24

38

63%

Midrange

SAS

12

28

43%

HOU

7

14

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

7

10.5

23

30%

46%

HOU

19

28.5

43

44%

66%

Free Throws

SAS

9

18

50%

HOU

6

10

60%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Simmons	17	65%	8.5 / 13
K. Leonard	16	53%	8.0 / 15
L. Aldridge	16	57%	8.0 / 14
P. Mills	10	71%	5.0 / 7
M. Ginobili	9	64%	4.5 / 7
D. Murray	8	50%	4.0 / 8
P. Gasol	8	50%	4.0 / 8
K. Anderson	8	67%	4.0 / 6
D. Dedmon	5	50%	2.5 / 5
D. Green	3	38%	1.5 / 4
D. Lee	2	20%	1.0 / 5
D. Bertans	2	50%	1.0 / 2
B. Forbes	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Harden	28	67%	14.0 / 21
E. Gordon	22	85%	11.0 / 13
T. Ariza	16	89%	8.0 / 9
R. Anderson	13	59%	6.5 / 11
L. Williams	13	43%	6.5 / 15
B. Brown	11	79%	5.5 / 7
P. Beverley	10	56%	5.0 / 9
C. Capela	8	57%	4.0 / 7
Nene	4	67%	2.0 / 3
S. Dekker	0	-	0.0 / 1
T. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	4 114.0 8 111.0	SAS 108.3 HOU 127.6 +19.2
Pace	11 92.7 6 96.2	SAS 95.2 HOU 98.8 +3.6
Avg. Poss. Time	17 16.2 27 14.5	SAS 15.1 HOU 14.6 −0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 51.2% 7 51.4%	SAS 53.4% HOU 62.6% +9.2%
TO %	3 12.7% 10 13.5%	SAS 12.6% HOU 8.3% −4.3%
ORB %	2 29.2% 8 22.7%	SAS 24.4% +6.5% HOU 17.9%
FTrt	10 27.7 5 30.4	SAS 20.2 +9.7 HOU 10.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	12 53.3% 13 52.4%	SAS 52.3% HOU 56.0% +3.7%
STL %	5 8.3% 9 8.0%	SAS 8.3% +1.2% HOU 7.1%
BLK %	6 9.5% 11 7.4%	SAS 11.5% +7.0% HOU 4.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 53.9% 6 54.4%	SAS 53.6% HOU 61.3% +7.7%
Rim FG%	6 60.8% 9 57.1%	SAS 65.8% +2.6% HOU 63.2%
Mid FG%	9 41.0% 8 41.2%	SAS 42.9% HOU 50.0% +7.1%
3P %	8 35.0% 10 33.3%	SAS 30.4% HOU 44.2% +13.8%
FT %	9 77.3% 7 78.9%	SAS 50.0% HOU 60.0% +10.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 34.8% 4 38.9%	SAS 42.7% +2.7% HOU 40.0%
Mid Att. %	16 37.0% 1 15.8%	SAS 31.5% HOU 14.7% −16.7%
3P Att. %	15 28.2% 1 45.2%	SAS 25.8% HOU 45.3% +19.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.

Game Totals	SAS	HOU
Possessions	96	98
Possession Minutes	24.2	23.8
Points	104	125
Rebounds	43	41
Assists	23	28
Steals	8	7
Blocks	6	3
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (3)	7 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (3)	34 (2)
Field Goals	44-89	50-95
At-the-Rim FG	25-38	24-38
Midrange FG	12-28	7-14
2-Point FG	37-66	31-52
3-Point FG	7-23	19-43
Free Throws	9-18	6-10
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg