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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
June 1, 2017
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Cavaliers
91
1Warriors
113
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 32.4
40
37
28
15
8
0
1
2
8
3
12
8-12
67%
7-14
7-13
50%
55%
2-6
33%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 25.2
35
35
24
3
2
0
1
1
4
3
0
1-1
100%
7-18
6-12
39%
47%
3-4
75%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 28.7
34
33
15
21
1
0
1
3
1
5
16
4-4
100%
1-7
3-6
14%
44%
3-6
50%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.7
28
26
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 26.2
22
33
0
4
2
0
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
54%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 36.2
20
14
0
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-3
0%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.9
19
15
0
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 26.9
17
13
5
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
1-3
33%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 36.9
15
11
9
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
3-4
75%
3-4
0-1
75%
49%
0-2
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.0
4
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 36.4
4
4
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
0-0
0-1
-
40%
1-2
50%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.7
2
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-1
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 34.0
7
0
0-1
48%
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 22.2
Edy Tavares
C · 7'3" 265 · 25.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.7
38
36
38
9
8
0
1
0
0
2
7
7-8
88%
11-20
6-11
55%
57%
3-6
50%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 27.3
36
34
6
4
4
1
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-11
4-8
27%
50%
0-5
0%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.2
36
34
9
11
2
2
2
1
2
1
10
2-3
67%
2-7
2-5
29%
51%
1-5
20%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.2
34
34
28
6
10
3
2
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
5-11
4-8
45%
54%
6-11
55%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 33.3
14
13
8
5
0
2
0
0
0
2
3
0-1
0%
4-5
2-3
80%
50%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 33.3
24
20
7
3
1
2
1
1
0
1
2
0-2
0%
2-3
2-3
67%
60%
1-1
100%
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 26.2
18
17
4
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
55%
0-3
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 31.7
15
15
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
53%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.8
8
14
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
52%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.4
6
9
4
4
1
0
0
1
0
3
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
61%
0-0
-
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 24.4
4
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
55%
0-0
-
Patrick McCaw
G · 6'7" 185 · 21.6
3
15
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
55%
0-1
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 37.2
2
5
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 21.9
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.