Final Win Prob. pScore
164%112
121
1636%107
107
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo Bucks
116.3104113.1
ORL logo Magic
101.910597.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

MagicBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILORL
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.121
107
Q4 - 0:12.2BucksBucks turnover (shot clock violation)121
107
Q4 - 0:36.8MagicBJ Johnson makes three point pullup jump shot121
107
Q4 - 0:42.9MagicKhem Birch defensive rebound121
104
Q4 - 0:44.8BucksDonte DiVincenzo misses two point driving floating jump shot121
104
Q4 - 0:53.1BucksErsan Ilyasova defensive rebound121
104
Q4 - 0:55.5MagicKhem Birch misses two point floating jump shot121
104
Q4 - 1:03MagicVic Law defensive rebound121
104
Q4 - 1:07BucksSterling Brown misses three point jump shot121
104
Q4 - 1:17MagicMarkelle Fultz makes three point pullup jump shot121
104
Q4 - 1:26BucksKyle Korver makes three point jump shot (Donte DiVincenzo assists)121
101
Q4 - 1:42MagicWes Iwundu makes three point jump shot (Vic Law assists)118
101
Q4 - 1:52MagicBJ Johnson defensive rebound118
98
Q4 - 1:54BucksRobin Lopez misses two point turnaround hook shot118
98
Q4 - 2:13BucksErsan Ilyasova defensive rebound118
98
Q4 - 2:16MagicBJ Johnson misses two point pullup jump shot118
98
Q4 - 2:21MagicBJ Johnson defensive rebound118
98
Q4 - 2:24BucksDonte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot118
98
Q4 - 2:44MagicVic Law makes three point jump shot (Markelle Fultz assists)118
98
Q4 - 2:51MagicVic Law defensive rebound118
95
Q4 - 2:54BucksKyle Korver misses three point jump shot118
95
Q4 - 2:58BucksSterling Brown defensive rebound118
95
Q4 - 3:01MagicWes Iwundu misses two point driving floating bank jump shot118
95
Q4 - 3:14MagicKhem Birch defensive rebound118
95
Q4 - 3:19BucksKyle Korver misses two point fadeaway jump shot118
95
Q4 - 3:27MagicMarkelle Fultz turnover (lost ball) (Ersan Ilyasova steals)118
95
Q4 - 3:33Magic lineup change (Wes Iwundu, Vic Law, Khem Birch, Markelle Fultz, BJ Johnson)118
95
Q4 - 3:33Bucks lineup change (Kyle Korver, Robin Lopez, Sterling Brown, Ersan Ilyasova, Donte DiVincenzo)118
95
Q4 - 3:33Magic 60 second timeout118
95
Q4 - 3:42BucksEric Bledsoe makes three point pullup jump shot118
95
Q4 - 3:54MagicD.J. Augustin turnover (bad pass) (Eric Bledsoe steals)115
95
Q4 - 4:00BucksEric Bledsoe turnover (lost ball) (Nikola Vucevic steals)115
95
Q4 - 4:15BucksDonte DiVincenzo defensive rebound115
95
Q4 - 4:18MagicD.J. Augustin misses three point pullup jump shot115
95
Q4 - 4:34BucksEric Bledsoe makes two point driving finger roll layup (Khris Middleton assists)115
95
Q4 - 4:56MagicD.J. Augustin makes three point stepback jump shot113
95
Q4 - 5:03BucksKhris Middleton turnover (out of bounds bad pass)113
92
Q4 - 5:08BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound113
92
Q4 - 5:11MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point jump shot113
92
Q4 - 5:18Bucks lineup change (Eric Bledsoe, Brook Lopez, Pat Connaughton, Donte DiVincenzo, Khris Middleton)113
92
Q4 - 5:18Magic 60 second timeout113
92
Q4 - 5:24BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point running dunk113
92
Q4 - 5:31BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound111
92
Q4 - 5:33MagicD.J. Augustin misses two point floating jump shot111
92
Q4 - 5:53BucksBrook Lopez makes two point jump shot (Eric Bledsoe assists)111
92
Q4 - 6:07BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound109
92
Q4 - 6:08MagicEvan Fournier misses two point jump shot109
92
Q4 - 6:09MagicEvan Fournier offensive rebound109
92
Q4 - 6:11MagicMarkelle Fultz misses two point pullup jump shot109
92
Q4 - 6:23Stoppage (Out of bounds)109
92
Q4 - 6:28BucksWesley Matthews personal foul (Markelle Fultz draws the foul)109
92
Q4 - 6:32Magic lineup change (D.J. Augustin, Markelle Fultz, Evan Fournier, Nikola Vucevic, Gary Clark)109
92
Q4 - 6:32Magic 60 second timeout109
92
Q4 - 6:39BucksBrook Lopez makes three point stepback jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)109
92
Q4 - 6:48BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound106
92
Q4 - 6:51MagicTerrence Ross misses three point pullup jump shot106
92
Q4 - 7:08BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 2106
92
Q4 - 7:08BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 2105
92
Q4 - 7:08MagicNikola Vucevic shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)104
92
Q4 - 7:22MagicTerrence Ross makes three point jump shot (D.J. Augustin assists)104
92
Q4 - 7:29MagicGary Clark defensive rebound104
89
Q4 - 7:33BucksKhris Middleton misses three point jump shot104
89
Q4 - 7:49BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound104
89
Q4 - 7:52MagicNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot104
89
Q4 - 8:00BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo personal foul (Loose ball) (Gary Clark draws the foul)104
89
Q4 - 8:00MagicMagic defensive rebound104
89
Q4 - 8:01BucksKhris Middleton misses two point stepback jump shot104
89
Q4 - 8:08MagicNikola Vucevic personal foul (Loose ball) (Eric Bledsoe draws the foul)104
89
Q4 - 8:08BucksBucks offensive rebound104
89
Q4 - 8:10BucksWesley Matthews misses three point stepback bank jump shot104
89
Q4 - 8:26MagicD.J. Augustin makes three point jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)104
89
Q4 - 8:52BucksEric Bledsoe makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)104
86
Q4 - 9:03Bucks lineup change (Eric Bledsoe, Brook Lopez, Wesley Matthews, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Khris Middleton)101
86
Q4 - 9:03Bucks 60 second timeout101
86
Q4 - 9:04MagicD.J. Augustin makes two point driving finger roll layup101
86
Q4 - 9:08MagicGary Clark defensive rebound101
84
Q4 - 9:11BucksBrook Lopez misses two point driving finger roll layup101
84
Q4 - 9:27MagicD.J. Augustin makes regular free throw 2 of 2101
84
Q4 - 9:27Bucks lineup change (Eric Bledsoe, Kyle Korver, Brook Lopez, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Khris Middleton)101
83
Q4 - 9:27MagicD.J. Augustin makes regular free throw 1 of 2101
83
Q4 - 9:27BucksKyle Korver shooting foul (D.J. Augustin draws the foul)101
82
Q4 - 9:33MagicD.J. Augustin defensive rebound101
82
Q4 - 9:35BucksKyle Korver misses three point jump shot101
82
Q4 - 9:49MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point turnaround hook shot (Gary Clark assists)101
82
Q4 - 10:07BucksBrook Lopez turnover (offensive foul)101
80
Q4 - 10:07BucksBrook Lopez offensive foul (Gary Clark draws the foul)101
80
Q4 - 10:12BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound101
80
Q4 - 10:15MagicTerrence Ross misses three point jump shot101
80
Q4 - 10:21MagicTerrence Ross defensive rebound101
80
Q4 - 10:25BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot101
80
Q4 - 10:37Bucks lineup change (Kyle Korver, Brook Lopez, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Donte DiVincenzo, George Hill)101
80
Q4 - 10:37MagicD.J. Augustin personal foul (George Hill draws the foul)101
80
Q4 - 10:48MagicGary Clark makes three point jump shot (D.J. Augustin assists)101
80
Q4 - 11:11BucksDonte DiVincenzo makes two point reverse layup (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)101
77
Q4 - 11:18Stoppage (Out of bounds)99
77
Q4 - 11:22MagicTerrence Ross turnover (bad pass) (Donte DiVincenzo steals)99
77
Q4 - 11:39MagicGary Clark defensive rebound99
77
Q4 - 11:41BucksGeorge Hill misses three point jump shot99
77
Q4 - 12:00Magic lineup change (D.J. Augustin, Wes Iwundu, Terrence Ross, Nikola Vucevic, Gary Clark)99
77
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.99
77
Q3 - 0:02.3Stoppage (Out of bounds)99
77
Q3 - 0:04.1BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point driving finger roll layup99
77
Q3 - 0:20.9BucksKyle Korver defensive rebound97
77
Q3 - 0:22.4MagicTerrence Ross misses regular free throw 1 of 197
77
Q3 - 0:22.4Magic lineup change (D.J. Augustin, Wes Iwundu, Khem Birch, Terrence Ross, Gary Clark)97
77
Q3 - 0:22.4BucksKyle Korver shooting foul (Terrence Ross draws the foul)97
77
Q3 - 0:22.4MagicTerrence Ross makes three point jump shot (Khem Birch assists)97
77
Q3 - 0:33.0MagicD.J. Augustin defensive rebound97
74
Q3 - 0:35.7BucksDonte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot97
74
Q3 - 0:42.2MagicD.J. Augustin turnover (bad pass) (George Hill steals)97
74
Q3 - 0:51.8BucksKyle Korver makes three point jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)97
74
Q3 - 1:02MagicD.J. Augustin makes regular free throw 2 of 294
74
Q3 - 1:02MagicD.J. Augustin makes regular free throw 1 of 294
73
Q3 - 1:02BucksKyle Korver shooting foul (D.J. Augustin draws the foul)94
72
Q3 - 1:10BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 194
72
Q3 - 1:10MagicNikola Vucevic shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)93
72
Q3 - 1:10BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point turnaround jump shot93
72
Q3 - 1:31MagicNikola Vucevic makes three point jump shot (D.J. Augustin assists)91
72
Q3 - 1:42Stoppage (Out of bounds)91
69
Q3 - 1:42MagicMagic offensive rebound91
69
Q3 - 1:46MagicD.J. Augustin misses three point pullup jump shot91
69
Q3 - 2:01BucksKyle Korver turnover (traveling)91
69
Q3 - 2:12MagicKhem Birch makes two point cutting dunk (D.J. Augustin assists)91
69
Q3 - 2:25Magic lineup change (D.J. Augustin, Wes Iwundu, Khem Birch, Terrence Ross, Nikola Vucevic)91
67
Q3 - 2:25Bucks lineup change (Kyle Korver, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Pat Connaughton, Donte DiVincenzo, George Hill)91
67
Q3 - 2:25Magic 60 second timeout91
67
Q3 - 2:25BucksGeorge Hill personal foul (Take) (D.J. Augustin draws the foul)91
67
Q3 - 2:31BucksGeorge Hill makes two point driving finger roll layup91
67
Q3 - 2:56MagicEvan Fournier makes two point floating jump shot (Khem Birch assists)89
67
Q3 - 3:01MagicKhem Birch defensive rebound89
65
Q3 - 3:03BucksGeorge Hill misses three point pullup jump shot89
65
Q3 - 3:18MagicTerrence Ross makes three point pullup jump shot89
65
Q3 - 3:24BucksGeorge Hill turnover (back court violation)89
62
Q3 - 3:37MagicEvan Fournier makes three point jump shot (D.J. Augustin assists)89
62
Q3 - 3:48Magic lineup change (D.J. Augustin, Khem Birch, Evan Fournier, Terrence Ross, Nikola Vucevic)89
59
Q3 - 3:48Bucks lineup change (Kyle Korver, Robin Lopez, Pat Connaughton, Donte DiVincenzo, George Hill)89
59
Q3 - 3:48BucksDonte DiVincenzo turnover (out of bounds lost ball)89
59
Q3 - 3:54BucksRobin Lopez defensive rebound89
59
Q3 - 3:56MagicMarkelle Fultz misses three point jump shot89
59
Q3 - 4:14BucksGeorge Hill makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)89
59
Q3 - 4:28BucksRobin Lopez defensive rebound86
59
Q3 - 4:31MagicTerrence Ross misses two point pullup jump shot86
59
Q3 - 4:40Magic lineup change (Khem Birch, Markelle Fultz, Evan Fournier, Terrence Ross, Nikola Vucevic)86
59
Q3 - 4:40Bucks lineup change (Robin Lopez, Pat Connaughton, Donte DiVincenzo, Khris Middleton, George Hill)86
59
Q3 - 4:40MagicEvan Fournier makes technical free throw 1 of 186
59
Q3 - 4:40Bucks technical foul (Defensive three second)86
58
Q3 - 4:48MagicGary Clark defensive rebound86
58
Q3 - 4:49BucksEric Bledsoe misses two point driving layup86
58
Q3 - 5:04MagicTerrence Ross makes three point jump shot (Markelle Fultz assists)86
58
Q3 - 5:21BucksBrook Lopez makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Eric Bledsoe assists)86
55
Q3 - 5:32MagicKhem Birch makes two point tip layup84
55
Q3 - 5:32MagicKhem Birch offensive rebound84
53
Q3 - 5:36MagicMarkelle Fultz misses two point driving finger roll layup84
53
Q3 - 5:48MagicKhem Birch defensive rebound84
53
Q3 - 5:51BucksKhris Middleton misses three point stepback jump shot84
53
Q3 - 6:05MagicGary Clark makes three point jump shot (Markelle Fultz assists)84
53
Q3 - 6:18BucksKhris Middleton makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot84
50
Q3 - 6:26BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound82
50
Q3 - 6:29MagicTerrence Ross misses two point pullup jump shot82
50
Q3 - 6:46Bucks lineup change (Eric Bledsoe, Brook Lopez, Wesley Matthews, Pat Connaughton, Khris Middleton)82
50
Q3 - 6:46BucksEric Bledsoe turnover (out of bounds bad pass)82
50
Q3 - 6:50BucksEric Bledsoe defensive rebound82
50
Q3 - 6:53MagicEvan Fournier misses three point pullup jump shot82
50
Q3 - 7:05BucksEric Bledsoe makes regular free throw 2 of 282
50
Q3 - 7:05BucksEric Bledsoe makes regular free throw 1 of 281
50
Q3 - 7:05MagicMarkelle Fultz shooting foul (Eric Bledsoe draws the foul)80
50
Q3 - 7:11MagicMarkelle Fultz turnover (lost ball) (Eric Bledsoe steals)80
50
Q3 - 7:17BucksKhris Middleton turnover (bad pass) (Khem Birch steals)80
50
Q3 - 7:26Magic lineup change (Khem Birch, Markelle Fultz, Evan Fournier, Terrence Ross, Gary Clark)80
50
Q3 - 7:26Bucks 60 second timeout80
50
Q3 - 7:29BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound80
50
Q3 - 7:31MagicMarkelle Fultz misses two point pullup jump shot80
50
Q3 - 7:54BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point running dunk (Khris Middleton assists)80
50
Q3 - 7:57MagicEvan Fournier turnover (bad pass) (Eric Bledsoe steals)78
50
Q3 - 8:12BucksEric Bledsoe turnover (bad pass) (Wes Iwundu steals)78
50
Q3 - 8:26MagicNikola Vucevic makes regular free throw 2 of 278
50
Q3 - 8:26MagicNikola Vucevic makes regular free throw 1 of 278
49
Q3 - 8:26BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo shooting foul (Nikola Vucevic draws the foul)78
48
Q3 - 8:38BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 278
48
Q3 - 8:38BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 277
48
Q3 - 8:38MagicGary Clark shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)77
48
Q3 - 8:43BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound77
48
Q3 - 8:46MagicNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot77
48
Q3 - 9:01BucksKhris Middleton makes two point stepback jump shot (Eric Bledsoe assists)77
48
Q3 - 9:04Stoppage (Out of bounds)75
48
Q3 - 9:04BucksBucks offensive rebound75
48
Q3 - 9:06BucksWesley Matthews misses three point jump shot75
48
Q3 - 9:17BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound75
48
Q3 - 9:19MagicMarkelle Fultz misses two point driving layup75
48
Q3 - 9:27BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo turnover (lost ball) (Gary Clark steals)75
48
Q3 - 9:31BucksEric Bledsoe defensive rebound75
48
Q3 - 9:33MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point hook shot75
48
Q3 - 9:54BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 275
48
Q3 - 9:54BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 274
48
Q3 - 9:54MagicGary Clark shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)73
48
Q3 - 10:01BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound73
48
Q3 - 10:04MagicMarkelle Fultz misses two point pullup jump shot73
48
Q3 - 10:11BucksEric Bledsoe personal foul (Nikola Vucevic draws the foul)73
48
Q3 - 10:21MagicGary Clark defensive rebound73
48
Q3 - 10:24BucksKhris Middleton misses two point pullup jump shot73
48
Q3 - 10:36MagicEvan Fournier makes three point jump shot (Wes Iwundu assists)73
48
Q3 - 10:37MagicWes Iwundu offensive rebound73
45
Q3 - 10:38MagicWes Iwundu misses two point layup73
45
Q3 - 11:02Stoppage (Out of bounds)73
45
Q3 - 11:02MagicMagic defensive rebound73
45
Q3 - 11:02BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses three point jump shot73
45
Q3 - 11:12MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point turnaround jump shot73
45
Q3 - 11:31BucksKhris Middleton makes three point jump shot (Eric Bledsoe assists)73
43
Q3 - 11:39MagicNikola Vucevic turnover (lost ball) (Giannis Antetokounmpo steals)70
43
Q3 - 12:00Magic lineup change (Wes Iwundu, Markelle Fultz, Evan Fournier, Nikola Vucevic, Gary Clark)70
43
Q3 - 12:00Bucks lineup change (Eric Bledsoe, Brook Lopez, Wesley Matthews, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Khris Middleton)70
43
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.70
43
Q2 - 0:01.4Stoppage (Out of bounds)70
43
Q2 - 0:01.4BucksBucks defensive rebound70
43
Q2 - 0:02.2MagicWes Iwundu misses three point jump shot70
43
Q2 - 0:25.7BucksDonte DiVincenzo makes two point driving reverse layup70
43
Q2 - 0:35.5MagicWes Iwundu makes three point jump shot (Gary Clark assists)68
43
Q2 - 0:45.0BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point dunk (George Hill assists)68
40
Q2 - 0:55.2MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point turnaround jump shot (Wes Iwundu assists)66
40
Q2 - 1:00MagicWes Iwundu defensive rebound66
38
Q2 - 1:03BucksKhris Middleton misses three point pullup jump shot66
38
Q2 - 1:16MagicMagic turnover (shot clock violation)66
38
Q2 - 1:27Magic lineup change (D.J. Augustin, Wes Iwundu, Evan Fournier, Nikola Vucevic, Gary Clark)66
38
Q2 - 1:27Bucks lineup change (Kyle Korver, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Donte DiVincenzo, Khris Middleton, George Hill)66
38
Q2 - 1:27Stoppage (Out of bounds)66
38
Q2 - 1:45BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes three point pullup jump shot (Pat Connaughton assists)66
38
Q2 - 1:59MagicNikola Vucevic turnover (out of bounds lost ball)63
38
Q2 - 2:10BucksGeorge Hill turnover (bad pass) (Evan Fournier steals)63
38
Q2 - 2:23MagicMarkelle Fultz turnover (offensive foul)63
38
Q2 - 2:23MagicMarkelle Fultz offensive foul (George Hill draws the foul)63
38
Q2 - 2:31BucksGeorge Hill makes two point driving finger roll layup (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)63
38
Q2 - 2:46MagicEvan Fournier makes regular free throw 2 of 261
38
Q2 - 2:46Bucks lineup change (Kyle Korver, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Pat Connaughton, Khris Middleton, George Hill)61
37
Q2 - 2:46MagicEvan Fournier makes regular free throw 1 of 261
37
Q2 - 2:46BucksWesley Matthews personal foul (Evan Fournier draws the foul)61
36
Q2 - 2:49BucksKyle Korver personal foul (Nikola Vucevic draws the foul)61
36
Q2 - 3:02BucksPat Connaughton makes three point jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)61
36
Q2 - 3:14Magic lineup change (Wes Iwundu, Markelle Fultz, Evan Fournier, Nikola Vucevic, Gary Clark)58
36
Q2 - 3:14Bucks lineup change (Kyle Korver, Wesley Matthews, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Pat Connaughton, George Hill)58
36
Q2 - 3:14Bucks 60 second timeout58
36
Q2 - 3:20MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point hook shot58
36
Q2 - 3:38Bucks lineup change (Robin Lopez, Wesley Matthews, Pat Connaughton, Khris Middleton, George Hill)58
34
Q2 - 3:38BucksBrook Lopez turnover (offensive foul)58
34
Q2 - 3:38BucksBrook Lopez offensive foul (D.J. Augustin draws the foul)58
34
Q2 - 3:45BucksWesley Matthews defensive rebound58
34
Q2 - 3:48MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point jump shot58
34
Q2 - 3:58Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Wesley Matthews, Pat Connaughton, Khris Middleton, George Hill)58
34
Q2 - 3:58BucksPat Connaughton personal foul (Markelle Fultz draws the foul)58
34
Q2 - 4:02MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound58
34
Q2 - 4:05BucksEric Bledsoe misses two point running pullup jump shot58
34
Q2 - 4:10MagicMarkelle Fultz turnover (lost ball) (Khris Middleton steals)58
34
Q2 - 4:34BucksWesley Matthews makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)58
34
Q2 - 4:45BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound55
34
Q2 - 4:48MagicEvan Fournier misses three point jump shot55
34
Q2 - 4:54BucksKhris Middleton turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Vucevic steals)55
34
Q2 - 5:03BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound55
34
Q2 - 5:05MagicGary Clark misses three point jump shot55
34
Q2 - 5:18BucksPat Connaughton personal foul (Markelle Fultz draws the foul)55
34
Q2 - 5:30BucksBrook Lopez makes two point cutting layup (Eric Bledsoe assists)55
34
Q2 - 5:39Magic lineup change (D.J. Augustin, Markelle Fultz, Evan Fournier, Nikola Vucevic, Gary Clark)53
34
Q2 - 5:39Bucks lineup change (Eric Bledsoe, Brook Lopez, Wesley Matthews, Pat Connaughton, Khris Middleton)53
34
Q2 - 5:39MagicJames Ennis III ejected from the game (Other)53
34
Q2 - 5:39BucksMarvin Williams ejected from the game (Other)53
34
Q2 - 5:39MagicJames Ennis III technical foul (Double)53
34
Q2 - 5:39BucksMarvin Williams technical foul (Double)53
34
Q2 - 5:39Instant replay53
34
Q2 - 5:39MagicJames Ennis III personal foul (Double) (Marvin Williams draws the foul)53
34
Q2 - 5:39BucksMarvin Williams personal foul (Double) (James Ennis III draws the foul)53
34
Q2 - 5:39BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound53
34
Q2 - 5:41MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point jump shot53
34
Q2 - 6:04BucksWesley Matthews makes three point jump shot53
34
Q2 - 6:10MagicEvan Fournier turnover (lost ball) (Wesley Matthews steals)50
34
Q2 - 6:16MagicEvan Fournier defensive rebound50
34
Q2 - 6:19BucksKhris Middleton misses two point turnaround jump shot50
34
Q2 - 6:29BucksMarvin Williams defensive rebound50
34
Q2 - 6:33MagicEvan Fournier misses three point pullup jump shot50
34
Q2 - 6:52MagicJames Ennis III defensive rebound50
34
Q2 - 6:55BucksKhris Middleton misses regular free throw 1 of 150
34
Q2 - 6:55Magic lineup change (James Ennis III, D.J. Augustin, Markelle Fultz, Evan Fournier, Nikola Vucevic)50
34
Q2 - 6:55Bucks lineup change (Eric Bledsoe, Brook Lopez, Wesley Matthews, Marvin Williams, Khris Middleton)50
34
Q2 - 6:55MagicTerrence Ross shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)50
34
Q2 - 6:55BucksKhris Middleton makes two point pullup jump shot (Eric Bledsoe assists)50
34
Q2 - 7:02BucksEric Bledsoe defensive rebound48
34
Q2 - 7:04MagicD.J. Augustin misses three point pullup jump shot48
34
Q2 - 7:19BucksKhris Middleton makes three point jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)48
34
Q2 - 7:23BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound45
34
Q2 - 7:26MagicJames Ennis III misses two point fadeaway jump shot45
34
Q2 - 7:42MagicJames Ennis III defensive rebound45
34
Q2 - 7:44BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 2 of 245
34
Q2 - 7:44Magic lineup change (James Ennis III, D.J. Augustin, Evan Fournier, Terrence Ross, Nikola Vucevic)45
34
Q2 - 7:44Bucks lineup change (Eric Bledsoe, Wesley Matthews, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Marvin Williams, Khris Middleton)45
34
Q2 - 7:44BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 245
34
Q2 - 7:44MagicTerrence Ross shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)45
34
Q2 - 7:44BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo offensive rebound45
34
Q2 - 7:46BucksEric Bledsoe misses two point pullup jump shot45
34
Q2 - 8:04MagicD.J. Augustin makes three point pullup jump shot45
34
Q2 - 8:18BucksBrook Lopez makes three point jump shot (Eric Bledsoe assists)45
31
Q2 - 8:34MagicD.J. Augustin makes two point driving floating jump shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)42
31
Q2 - 8:59BucksEric Bledsoe turnover (offensive foul)42
29
Q2 - 8:59BucksEric Bledsoe offensive foul (Evan Fournier draws the foul)42
29
Q2 - 9:09MagicD.J. Augustin makes two point stepback jump shot42
29
Q2 - 9:17Stoppage (Out of bounds)42
27
Q2 - 9:19Magic lineup change (D.J. Augustin, Evan Fournier, Terrence Ross, Nikola Vucevic, Gary Clark)42
27
Q2 - 9:19Bucks lineup change (Eric Bledsoe, Brook Lopez, Wesley Matthews, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Khris Middleton)42
27
Q2 - 9:19Magic 60 second timeout42
27
Q2 - 9:27BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point running dunk42
27
Q2 - 9:30MagicD.J. Augustin turnover (bad pass) (Giannis Antetokounmpo steals)40
27
Q2 - 9:45BucksBrook Lopez makes two point driving layup (George Hill assists)40
27
Q2 - 9:57Bucks lineup change (Kyle Korver, Brook Lopez, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Khris Middleton, George Hill)38
27
Q2 - 9:57MagicKhem Birch turnover (out of bounds bad pass)38
27
Q2 - 10:10BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point driving finger roll layup38
27
Q2 - 10:29MagicTerrence Ross makes two point cutting finger roll layup (D.J. Augustin assists)36
27
Q2 - 10:42BucksPat Connaughton makes two point driving finger roll layup36
25
Q2 - 10:51BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound34
25
Q2 - 10:54MagicGiannis Antetokounmpo blocks Khem Birch's two point cutting layup34
25
Q2 - 11:02MagicGary Clark defensive rebound34
25
Q2 - 11:06BucksKyle Korver misses three point jump shot34
25
Q2 - 11:10MagicD.J. Augustin turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Korver steals)34
25
Q2 - 11:17MagicGary Clark offensive rebound34
25
Q2 - 11:18MagicKhem Birch misses two point tip layup34
25
Q2 - 11:18MagicKhem Birch offensive rebound34
25
Q2 - 11:19MagicTerrence Ross misses three point pullup jump shot34
25
Q2 - 11:30BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 134
25
Q2 - 11:30MagicKhem Birch shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)33
25
Q2 - 11:30BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point cutting layup (George Hill assists)33
25
Q2 - 11:41MagicD.J. Augustin makes two point pullup bank jump shot (Khem Birch assists)31
25
Q2 - 11:51BucksGeorge Hill personal foul (D.J. Augustin draws the foul)31
23
Q2 - 12:00Magic lineup change (D.J. Augustin, Khem Birch, Evan Fournier, Terrence Ross, Gary Clark)31
23
Q2 - 12:00Bucks lineup change (Kyle Korver, Brook Lopez, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Pat Connaughton, George Hill)31
23
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.31
23
Q1 - 0:01.9BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 231
23
Q1 - 0:01.9Bucks lineup change (Wesley Matthews, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Pat Connaughton, Donte DiVincenzo, George Hill)30
23
Q1 - 0:01.9BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 230
23
Q1 - 0:01.9MagicKhem Birch shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)29
23
Q1 - 0:05.3MagicTerrence Ross turnover (out of bounds lost ball)29
23
Q1 - 0:28.6Stoppage (Out of bounds)29
23
Q1 - 0:28.6MagicMagic defensive rebound29
23
Q1 - 0:31.7BucksKyle Korver misses three point jump shot29
23
Q1 - 0:42.9MagicD.J. Augustin makes three point stepback jump shot29
23
Q1 - 0:53.0BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes three point pullup jump shot29
20
Q1 - 1:06MagicTerrence Ross makes two point running layup (Khem Birch assists)26
20
Q1 - 1:10BucksKyle Korver turnover (bad pass) (Terrence Ross steals)26
18
Q1 - 1:29MagicTerrence Ross makes two point pullup jump shot (Wes Iwundu assists)26
18
Q1 - 1:54BucksKyle Korver makes three point jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)26
16
Q1 - 1:58BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound23
16
Q1 - 2:00MagicDonte DiVincenzo blocks Wes Iwundu's two point running layup23
16
Q1 - 2:05BucksDonte DiVincenzo turnover (bad pass) (Gary Clark steals)23
16
Q1 - 2:15MagicKhem Birch makes regular free throw 2 of 223
16
Q1 - 2:15Bucks lineup change (Kyle Korver, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Pat Connaughton, Donte DiVincenzo, George Hill)23
15
Q1 - 2:15MagicKhem Birch makes regular free throw 1 of 223
15
Q1 - 2:15BucksMarvin Williams shooting foul (Khem Birch draws the foul)23
14
Q1 - 2:18MagicD.J. Augustin defensive rebound23
14
Q1 - 2:20BucksWes Iwundu blocks George Hill's two point pullup jump shot23
14
Q1 - 2:34MagicTerrence Ross makes two point driving floating jump shot (Gary Clark assists)23
14
Q1 - 2:39BucksDonte DiVincenzo personal foul (Terrence Ross draws the foul)23
12
Q1 - 2:52Magic lineup change (D.J. Augustin, Wes Iwundu, Khem Birch, Terrence Ross, Gary Clark)23
12
Q1 - 2:52Magic 60 second timeout23
12
Q1 - 2:52BucksDonte DiVincenzo makes two point driving finger roll layup23
12
Q1 - 2:58BucksDonte DiVincenzo defensive rebound21
12
Q1 - 3:01MagicNikola Vucevic misses two point jump shot21
12
Q1 - 3:19BucksRobin Lopez makes two point turnaround hook shot (Pat Connaughton assists)21
12
Q1 - 3:31BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound19
12
Q1 - 3:34MagicNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot19
12
Q1 - 3:45Stoppage (Out of bounds)19
12
Q1 - 3:45MagicMagic defensive rebound19
12
Q1 - 3:47BucksMarvin Williams misses two point driving floating jump shot19
12
Q1 - 3:52BucksRobin Lopez defensive rebound19
12
Q1 - 3:57MagicWes Iwundu misses two point pullup jump shot19
12
Q1 - 4:11BucksGeorge Hill makes regular free throw 2 of 219
12
Q1 - 4:11Magic lineup change (D.J. Augustin, Wes Iwundu, Khem Birch, Terrence Ross, Nikola Vucevic)18
12
Q1 - 4:11BucksGeorge Hill misses regular free throw 1 of 218
12
Q1 - 4:11MagicMarkelle Fultz shooting foul (George Hill draws the foul)18
12
Q1 - 4:23Bucks lineup change (Robin Lopez, Pat Connaughton, Donte DiVincenzo, Marvin Williams, George Hill)18
12
Q1 - 4:23MagicNikola Vucevic turnover (out of bounds lost ball)18
12
Q1 - 4:28MagicKhem Birch defensive rebound18
12
Q1 - 4:32BucksBrook Lopez misses three point jump shot18
12
Q1 - 4:37MagicMarkelle Fultz turnover (bad pass) (Brook Lopez steals)18
12
Q1 - 4:43MagicMarkelle Fultz defensive rebound18
12
Q1 - 4:46BucksKhris Middleton misses two point turnaround jump shot18
12
Q1 - 5:01Magic lineup change (Wes Iwundu, Khem Birch, Markelle Fultz, Terrence Ross, Nikola Vucevic)18
12
Q1 - 5:01Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Donte DiVincenzo, Marvin Williams, Khris Middleton, George Hill)18
12
Q1 - 5:01MagicEvan Fournier turnover (out of bounds bad pass)18
12
Q1 - 5:15Stoppage (Out of bounds)18
12
Q1 - 5:17BucksKhris Middleton makes two point pullup jump shot18
12
Q1 - 5:21BucksMarvin Williams defensive rebound16
12
Q1 - 5:24MagicMarvin Williams blocks James Ennis III's two point driving layup16
12
Q1 - 5:33MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound16
12
Q1 - 5:35BucksEric Bledsoe misses three point stepback jump shot16
12
Q1 - 5:42MagicMarkelle Fultz makes two point driving layup16
12
Q1 - 5:58BucksEric Bledsoe makes two point pullup jump shot16
10
Q1 - 6:11Magic lineup change (James Ennis III, Khem Birch, Markelle Fultz, Evan Fournier, Nikola Vucevic)14
10
Q1 - 6:11MagicJames Ennis III personal foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)14
10
Q1 - 6:16BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound14
10
Q1 - 6:19MagicJames Ennis III misses regular free throw 2 of 214
10
Q1 - 6:19Bucks lineup change (Eric Bledsoe, Brook Lopez, Wesley Matthews, Marvin Williams, Khris Middleton)14
10
Q1 - 6:19MagicJames Ennis III makes regular free throw 1 of 214
10
Q1 - 6:19BucksBrook Lopez shooting foul (James Ennis III draws the foul)14
9
Q1 - 6:21MagicNikola Vucevic offensive rebound14
9
Q1 - 6:24MagicEvan Fournier misses two point driving floating jump shot14
9
Q1 - 6:45BucksKhris Middleton makes three point pullup jump shot14
9
Q1 - 6:56BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound11
9
Q1 - 7:00MagicNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot11
9
Q1 - 7:18BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo turnover (lost ball) (Markelle Fultz steals)11
9
Q1 - 7:23Bucks 60 second timeout11
9
Q1 - 7:26BucksEric Bledsoe defensive rebound11
9
Q1 - 7:28MagicNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot11
9
Q1 - 7:46BucksWesley Matthews makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)11
9
Q1 - 7:48BucksKhris Middleton offensive rebound8
9
Q1 - 7:53BucksKhris Middleton misses three point pullup jump shot8
9
Q1 - 8:12MagicEvan Fournier makes two point floating jump shot8
9
Q1 - 8:19MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound8
7
Q1 - 8:22BucksKhris Middleton misses two point driving floating bank jump shot8
7
Q1 - 8:27BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound8
7
Q1 - 8:29MagicGary Clark misses three point jump shot8
7
Q1 - 8:51BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point driving finger roll layup (Eric Bledsoe assists)8
7
Q1 - 9:02MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point turnaround hook shot6
7
Q1 - 9:22BucksBrook Lopez makes two point driving finger roll layup6
5
Q1 - 9:22BucksBrook Lopez offensive rebound4
5
Q1 - 9:27BucksWesley Matthews misses three point jump shot4
5
Q1 - 9:30BucksEric Bledsoe defensive rebound4
5
Q1 - 9:36MagicNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot4
5
Q1 - 9:39MagicNikola Vucevic defensive rebound4
5
Q1 - 9:42BucksKhris Middleton misses two point pullup jump shot4
5
Q1 - 9:56MagicNikola Vucevic makes two point jump shot (Markelle Fultz assists)4
5
Q1 - 10:09BucksEric Bledsoe makes two point driving bank jump shot4
3
Q1 - 10:19BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound2
3
Q1 - 10:21MagicEvan Fournier misses three point jump shot2
3
Q1 - 10:37BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point running finger roll layup2
3
Q1 - 10:41BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound0
3
Q1 - 10:43MagicMarkelle Fultz misses two point pullup jump shot0
3
Q1 - 10:56Khris Middleton kicked ball violation0
3
Q1 - 11:12BucksWesley Matthews turnover (out of bounds bad pass)0
3
Q1 - 11:29MagicNikola Vucevic makes three point jump shot (Markelle Fultz assists)0
3
Q1 - 11:37MagicGary Clark defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:40BucksBrook Lopez misses three point jump shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00Brook Lopez vs. Nikola Vucevic (Giannis Antetokounmpo gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Magic lineup change (James Ennis III, Markelle Fultz, Evan Fournier, Nikola Vucevic, Gary Clark)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Bucks lineup change (Eric Bledsoe, Brook Lopez, Wesley Matthews, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Khris Middleton)0
0
ClockTeamEventMILORL
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.33 66.5%
ORL
1.14 56.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
23
25
92%
ORL
6
13
46%
Midrange
MIL
6
20
30%
ORL
13
32
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
17
25.5
37
46%
69%
ORL
19
28.5
39
49%
73%
Free Throws
MIL
12
17
71%
ORL
12
14
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Antetokounmpo3592%17.5 / 19
K. Middleton1750%8.5 / 17
B. Lopez1680%8.0 / 10
E. Bledsoe1470%7.0 / 10
W. Matthews975%4.5 / 6
K. Korver956%4.5 / 8
G. Hill857%4.0 / 7
D. DiVincenzo650%3.0 / 6
P. Connaughton5125%2.5 / 2
R. Lopez250%1.0 / 2
M. Williams0-0.0 / 1
S. Brown0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Augustin2486%12.0 / 14
N. Vučević2050%10.0 / 20
T. Ross2077%10.0 / 13
E. Fournier1359%6.5 / 11
G. Clark675%3.0 / 4
W. Iwundu643%3.0 / 7
K. Birch650%3.0 / 6
M. Fultz528%2.5 / 9
V. Law3150%1.5 / 1
B. Johnson375%1.5 / 2
J. Ennis III117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
86
+5
-18
91
ORL
87
+7
-18
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.33 66.5%
ORL
1.14 56.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.6
102.3
MIL 116.3 +14.4
ORL 101.9
Pace
100.4
104.6
MIL 113.1 +15.9
ORL 97.2
Avg. Poss. Time
13.9
14.2
MIL 12.7 −2.1
ORL 14.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.7%
50.3%
MIL 66.5% +10.0%
ORL 56.5%
TO %
14.4%
13.4%
MIL 17.5%
ORL 17.4% −0.1%
ORB %
20.5%
13.8%
MIL 9.4%
ORL 13.0% +3.6%
FTrt
27.9
23.6
MIL 20.7 +4.0
ORL 16.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
64.0%
MIL 58.7%
ORL 63.2% +4.5%
STL %
7.0%
6.5%
MIL 11.5% +2.9%
ORL 8.6%
BLK %
9.6%
6.8%
MIL 6.7% +4.5%
ORL 2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.0%
53.5%
MIL 66.5% +9.6%
ORL 56.9%
Rim FG%
64.3%
50.0%
MIL 92.0% +45.8%
ORL 46.2%
Mid FG%
40.4%
42.9%
MIL 30.0%
ORL 40.6% +10.6%
3P %
35.8%
37.5%
MIL 45.9%
ORL 48.7% +2.8%
FT %
72.4%
83.8%
MIL 70.6%
ORL 85.7% +15.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.8%
20.3%
MIL 30.5% +15.0%
ORL 15.5%
Mid Att. %
25.6%
34.7%
MIL 24.4% −13.7%
ORL 38.1%
3P Att. %
42.6%
45.0%
MIL 45.1%
ORL 46.4% +1.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.4 and 2.4.
Game TotalsMILORL
Possessions104105
Possession Minutes22.125.9
Points121107
Rebounds4335
Assists2724
Steals129
Blocks31
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)18 (1)
Fouls2015
Off. Rebounds (Team)3 (2)6 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (1)29 (4)
Field Goals46-8238-84
At-the-Rim FG23-256-13
Midrange FG6-2013-32
2-Point FG29-4519-45
3-Point FG17-3719-39
Free Throws12-1712-14
Fast Break Pts1411
2nd Chance Pts79
Points in Paint5026
Pts off Turnovers2520
Bench Points3062
Biggest Lead343

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 29
31.2
17
50%
8
6
1
0
3
0
1
7
0-1
0%
4-10
40%
3-7
43%
#34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 26
30.6
35
92%
11
7
2
1
2
2
1
10
9-12
75%
10-11
91%
2-3
67%
#11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 32
29.6
16
80%
6
0
1
0
2
3
1
5
0-0
-
5-6
83%
2-4
50%
#6 · PG · 6'1" 205 · 31
25.6
14
70%
5
8
3
0
4
2
0
5
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
2-3
67%
#9 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 34
24.6
9
75%
1
0
1
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
3-6
50%
#24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 28
20.5
5
125%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
#0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 24
19.0
6
50%
2
1
1
1
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
#3 · PG · 6'3" 188 · 34
18.9
8
57%
0
3
1
0
2
2
0
0
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
#26 · SF · 6'7" 212 · 39
18.4
9
56%
1
0
1
0
2
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
3-7
43%
#42 · C · 7'0" 277 · 32
8.3
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#20 · PF · 6'9" 237 · 34
6.2
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#7 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 33
3.5
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#23 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 26
3.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 28
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#15 · PG · 5'11" 190 · 26
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#5 · PF · 6'10" 236 · 25
Inactive - Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
121
67%
43
27
12
3
18
20
3
40
12-17
71%
29-45
64%
17-37
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.