Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	8	Heat	51%	107	109	111.2	98	98.8
	15	Pacers	49%	106	100	103.1	97	96.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 31	37.9	18	56%	7	6	2	0	5	0	2	5	6-8	75%	3-10	30%	2-3	67%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 23	32.2	7	44%	5	4	2	1	0	4	0	5	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Goran Dragic #7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	32.0	20	56%	3	6	0	0	4	4	1	2	0-1	0%	7-14	50%	2-4	50%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 26	25.3	24	133%	2	2	1	0	2	2	0	2	3-3	100%	0-0	-	7-8	88%
Jae Crowder #99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 30	24.3	10	56%	8	3	1	0	0	1	1	7	2-4	50%	1-1	100%	2-6	33%

Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 21	34.7	15	44%	5	3	1	0	1	2	0	5	4-6	67%	1-6	17%	3-8	38%
Andre Iguodala #28 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 37	28.4	7	88%	2	1	1	2	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24	12.9	1	25%	2	2	1	0	1	1	1	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Kelly Olynyk #9 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	12.3	7	70%	7	0	0	1	2	0	1	6	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Solomon Hill #44 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 29	DNP - Coach's Decision
Meyers Leonard #0 · C · 7'1" 255 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Kendrick Nunn #25 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 40	DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Silva #30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Kyle Alexander #17 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 24	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Sprain
KZ Okpala #4 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 21	Inactive - Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	59%	41	27	9	4	16	15	7	34	19-28	68%	18-41	44%	18-35	51%

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8 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 31	37.9	18	56%	7	6	2	0	5	0	2	5	6-8	75%	3-10	30%	2-3	67%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 23	32.2	7	44%	5	4	2	1	0	4	0	5	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Goran Dragic #7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	32.0	20	56%	3	6	0	0	4	4	1	2	0-1	0%	7-14	50%	2-4	50%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 26	25.3	24	133%	2	2	1	0	2	2	0	2	3-3	100%	0-0	-	7-8	88%
Jae Crowder #99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 30	24.3	10	56%	8	3	1	0	0	1	1	7	2-4	50%	1-1	100%	2-6	33%

Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 21	34.7	15	44%	5	3	1	0	1	2	0	5	4-6	67%	1-6	17%	3-8	38%
Andre Iguodala #28 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 37	28.4	7	88%	2	1	1	2	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24	12.9	1	25%	2	2	1	0	1	1	1	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Kelly Olynyk #9 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	12.3	7	70%	7	0	0	1	2	0	1	6	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Solomon Hill #44 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 29	DNP - Coach's Decision
Meyers Leonard #0 · C · 7'1" 255 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Kendrick Nunn #25 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 40	DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Silva #30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Kyle Alexander #17 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 24	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Sprain
KZ Okpala #4 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 21	Inactive - Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	59%	41	27	9	4	16	15	7	34	19-28	68%	18-41	44%	18-35	51%

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15 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
T.J. Warren #1 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 27	38.4	14	47%	6	3	0	0	2	3	1	5	0-0	-	7-10	70%	0-5	0%
Malcolm Brogdon #7 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 28	37.8	17	47%	5	9	0	0	0	2	0	5	7-9	78%	2-8	25%	2-6	33%
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 28	36.6	22	61%	1	4	2	0	6	4	0	1	8-8	100%	1-3	33%	4-11	36%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 24	32.9	17	106%	8	0	1	5	3	3	1	7	0-0	-	4-5	80%	3-3	100%
Aaron Holiday #3 · SF · 6'0" 185 · 24	20.9	12	67%	1	5	2	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-3	67%

Justin Holiday #8 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 31	28.7	6	60%	7	0	5	2	1	2	1	6	1-3	33%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
JaKarr Sampson #14 · SF · 6'9" 207 · 27	17.1	8	67%	6	2	1	0	0	4	1	5	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #20 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 29	13.3	2	25%	2	0	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 28	10.2	2	25%	2	2	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Edmond Sumner #5 · PG · 6'5" 188 · 25	3.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Alize Johnson #24 · SF · 6'9" 212 · 24	0.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
TJ Leaf #22 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Naz Mitrou-Long #15 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 27	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Brian Bowen II #10 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 22	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Jeremy Lamb #26 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn Left ACL
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Left Foot Plantar Fasciitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	54%	38	25	12	7	16	23	4	34	16-20	80%	24-47	51%	12-34	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	IND
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	IND

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.18 59.2%

IND

1.09 54.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

10

21

48%

IND

14

26

54%

Midrange

MIA

8

20

40%

IND

10

21

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

18

27.0

35

51%

77%

IND

12

18.0

34

35%

53%

Free Throws

MIA

19

28

68%

IND

16

20

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Robinson	24	133%	12.0 / 9
G. Dragic	20	56%	10.0 / 18
J. Butler	18	56%	9.0 / 16
T. Herro	15	44%	7.5 / 17
J. Crowder	10	56%	5.0 / 9
B. Adebayo	7	44%	3.5 / 8
A. Iguodala	7	88%	3.5 / 4
K. Olynyk	7	70%	3.5 / 5
D. Jones	1	25%	0.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Oladipo	22	61%	11.0 / 18
M. Brogdon	17	47%	8.5 / 18
M. Turner	17	106%	8.5 / 8
T. Warren	14	47%	7.0 / 15
A. Holiday	12	67%	6.0 / 9
J. Sampson	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Holiday	6	60%	3.0 / 5
D. McDermott	2	25%	1.0 / 4
T. McConnell	2	25%	1.0 / 4
E. Sumner	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	4 113.2 12 104.7	MIA 111.2 +8.1 IND 103.1
Pace	12 96.2 11 96.3	MIA 98.8 +2.6 IND 96.2
Avg. Poss. Time	19 15.0 21 14.8	MIA 14.6 −0.4 IND 15.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 53.7% 9 53.0%	MIA 59.2% +7.3% IND 51.9%
TO %	6 12.7% 14 15.1%	MIA 16.1% IND 15.9% −0.2%
ORB %	10 19.2% 15 13.8%	MIA 17.1% +6.6% IND 10.5%
FTrt	2 32.2 13 25.2	MIA 36.8 +12.1 IND 24.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 66.0% 6 61.6%	MIA 75.0% +5.6% IND 69.4%
STL %	6 7.1% 1 9.5%	MIA 9.2% IND 12.4% +3.2%
BLK %	10 7.9% 2 11.6%	MIA 8.5% IND 17.1% +8.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.01 and 2.01.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	4 57.0% 10 55.4%	MIA 59.2% +4.9% IND 54.3%
Rim FG%	5 62.0% 11 56.7%	MIA 47.6% IND 53.8% +6.2%
Mid FG%	5 45.0% 6 43.8%	MIA 40.0% IND 47.6% +7.6%
3P %	10 35.9% 4 37.5%	MIA 51.4% +16.1% IND 35.3%
FT %	2 82.5% 9 77.8%	MIA 67.9% IND 80.0% +12.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	13 28.7% 5 32.4%	MIA 27.6% IND 32.1% +4.5%
Mid Att. %	10 28.0% 8 27.7%	MIA 26.3% IND 25.9% −0.4%
3P Att. %	6 43.3% 12 39.9%	MIA 46.1% +4.1% IND 42.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	IND
Possessions	98	97
Possession Minutes	23.8	24.2
Points	109	100
Rebounds	41	38
Assists	27	25
Steals	9	12
Blocks	4	7
Turnovers (Team)	16 (1)	16 (1)
Fouls	15	23
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (3)	4 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (1)	34 (1)
Field Goals	36-76	36-81
At-the-Rim FG	10-21	14-26
Midrange FG	8-20	10-21
2-Point FG	18-41	24-47
3-Point FG	18-35	12-34
Free Throws	19-28	16-20
Fast Break Pts	8	9
2nd Chance Pts	13	14
Points in Paint	34	40
Pts off Turnovers	17	22
Bench Points	30	18
Biggest Lead	16	5

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg