Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	14	Pacers	31%	103	115	110.6	104	107.2
	6	Heat	69%	110	124	117.0	106	102.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Malcolm Brogdon #7 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 28	42.9	34	81%	7	14	2	0	5	5	0	7	8-8	100%	7-10	70%	4-7	57%
T.J. Warren #1 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 27	40.4	23	55%	6	2	5	1	3	4	1	5	7-7	100%	8-15	53%	0-3	0%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 24	38.1	15	58%	12	1	0	3	2	4	4	8	4-8	50%	4-7	57%	1-2	50%
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 28	33.8	20	45%	4	1	1	0	3	6	0	4	1-2	50%	5-11	45%	3-10	30%
Justin Holiday #8 · SF · 6'6" 185 · 31	32.3	9	56%	3	1	1	1	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-7	43%

Aaron Holiday #3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	22.2	10	83%	1	2	1	0	1	4	0	1	1-3	33%	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Doug McDermott #20 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 29	15.8	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
JaKarr Sampson #14 · SF · 6'9" 207 · 27	9.9	2	33%	3	0	0	0	0	4	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 28	4.7	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Edmond Sumner #5 · PG · 6'5" 188 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Alize Johnson #24 · SF · 6'9" 212 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
TJ Leaf #22 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Naz Mitrou-Long #15 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 27	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Brian Bowen II #10 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 22	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Jeremy Lamb #26 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Plantar Fasciitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	59%	37	23	10	5	14	31	7	30	21-28	75%	29-51	57%	12-33	36%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

14 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Malcolm Brogdon #7 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 28	42.9	34	81%	7	14	2	0	5	5	0	7	8-8	100%	7-10	70%	4-7	57%
T.J. Warren #1 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 27	40.4	23	55%	6	2	5	1	3	4	1	5	7-7	100%	8-15	53%	0-3	0%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 24	38.1	15	58%	12	1	0	3	2	4	4	8	4-8	50%	4-7	57%	1-2	50%
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 28	33.8	20	45%	4	1	1	0	3	6	0	4	1-2	50%	5-11	45%	3-10	30%
Justin Holiday #8 · SF · 6'6" 185 · 31	32.3	9	56%	3	1	1	1	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-7	43%

Aaron Holiday #3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	22.2	10	83%	1	2	1	0	1	4	0	1	1-3	33%	3-3	100%	1-2	50%
Doug McDermott #20 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 29	15.8	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
JaKarr Sampson #14 · SF · 6'9" 207 · 27	9.9	2	33%	3	0	0	0	0	4	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 28	4.7	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Edmond Sumner #5 · PG · 6'5" 188 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Alize Johnson #24 · SF · 6'9" 212 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
TJ Leaf #22 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Naz Mitrou-Long #15 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 27	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Brian Bowen II #10 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 22	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Jeremy Lamb #26 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn ACL
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Plantar Fasciitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	59%	37	23	10	5	14	31	7	30	21-28	75%	29-51	57%	12-33	36%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

6 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 31	36.8	27	52%	8	4	3	1	5	2	4	4	17-20	85%	5-14	36%	0-2	0%
Goran Dragic #7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	35.6	24	63%	2	6	3	0	3	1	0	2	3-5	60%	3-7	43%	5-10	50%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 23	33.5	22	85%	11	5	1	0	6	3	2	9	8-9	89%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Jae Crowder #99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 30	27.5	11	50%	8	1	2	0	0	2	1	7	5-6	83%	0-0	-	2-8	25%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 26	27.4	15	83%	2	1	0	1	1	5	0	2	5-6	83%	2-3	67%	2-4	50%

Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 21	28.7	20	77%	3	1	0	0	0	3	0	3	5-5	100%	3-6	50%	3-6	50%
Andre Iguodala #28 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 37	27.7	3	75%	3	3	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Kelly Olynyk #9 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	13.5	2	50%	9	0	0	0	1	2	0	9	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24	9.2	0	0%	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-1	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Solomon Hill #44 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 29	DNP - Coach's Decision
Meyers Leonard #0 · C · 7'1" 255 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Kendrick Nunn #25 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 40	DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Silva #30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Kyle Alexander #17 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 24	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Sprain
KZ Okpala #4 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 21	Inactive - Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	60%	46	23	10	2	16	19	7	39	43-52	83%	21-42	50%	13-33	39%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	IND	MIA

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.17 58.7%

MIA

1.20 60.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

17

28

61%

MIA

14

23

61%

Midrange

IND

12

23

52%

MIA

7

19

37%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

12

18.0

33

36%

55%

MIA

13

19.5

33

39%

59%

Free Throws

IND

21

28

75%

MIA

43

52

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Brogdon	34	81%	17.0 / 21
T. Warren	23	55%	11.5 / 21
V. Oladipo	20	45%	10.0 / 22
M. Turner	15	58%	7.5 / 13
A. Holiday	10	83%	5.0 / 6
J. Holiday	9	56%	4.5 / 8
D. McDermott	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Sampson	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Butler	27	52%	13.5 / 26
G. Dragic	24	63%	12.0 / 19
B. Adebayo	22	85%	11.0 / 13
T. Herro	20	77%	10.0 / 13
D. Robinson	15	83%	7.5 / 9
J. Crowder	11	50%	5.5 / 11
A. Iguodala	3	75%	1.5 / 2
K. Olynyk	2	50%	1.0 / 2
D. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 104.7 4 113.2	IND 110.6 MIA 117.0 +6.4
Pace	11 96.3 12 96.2	IND 107.2 +4.3 MIA 102.9
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.8 19 15.0	IND 13.4 −0.6 MIA 14.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	9 53.0% 6 53.7%	IND 56.0% +2.0% MIA 54.0%
TO %	14 15.1% 6 12.7%	IND 12.7% −2.1% MIA 14.8%
ORB %	15 13.8% 10 19.2%	IND 15.2% MIA 18.9% +3.7%
FTrt	13 25.2 2 32.2	IND 33.3 MIA 69.3 +36.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 61.6% 2 66.0%	IND 56.1% MIA 67.6% +11.5%
STL %	1 9.5% 6 7.1%	IND 9.6% +0.2% MIA 9.4%
BLK %	2 11.6% 10 7.9%	IND 11.9% +8.0% MIA 3.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.01 and 2.01.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 55.4% 4 57.0%	IND 58.7% MIA 60.2% +1.5%
Rim FG%	11 56.7% 5 62.0%	IND 60.7% MIA 60.9% +0.2%
Mid FG%	6 43.8% 5 45.0%	IND 52.2% +15.4% MIA 36.8%
3P %	4 37.5% 10 35.9%	IND 36.4% MIA 39.4% +3.0%
FT %	9 77.8% 2 82.5%	IND 75.0% MIA 82.7% +7.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 32.4% 13 28.7%	IND 33.3% +2.7% MIA 30.7%
Mid Att. %	8 27.7% 10 28.0%	IND 27.4% MIA 25.3% −2.0%
3P Att. %	12 39.9% 6 43.3%	IND 39.3% MIA 44.0% +4.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	MIA
Possessions	104	106
Possession Minutes	23.3	24.7
Points	115	124
Rebounds	37	46
Assists	23	23
Steals	10	10
Blocks	5	2
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	16 (1)
Fouls	31	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (0)	7 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (1)	39 (2)
Field Goals	41-84	34-75
At-the-Rim FG	17-28	14-23
Midrange FG	12-23	7-19
2-Point FG	29-51	21-42
3-Point FG	12-33	13-33
Free Throws	21-28	43-52
Fast Break Pts	22	7
2nd Chance Pts	8	10
Points in Paint	42	38
Pts off Turnovers	17	17
Bench Points	14	25
Biggest Lead	3	20

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg