Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Pacers	31%	103	87	92.6	94	92.7
	6	Heat	69%	110	99	104.2	95	96.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 28	43.5	25	63%	8	5	5	0	4	3	0	8	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	5-11	45%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 24	42.0	22	58%	14	0	1	5	2	3	4	10	2-6	33%	7-10	70%	2-6	33%
T.J. Warren #1 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 27	39.8	21	62%	5	4	0	0	4	5	1	4	2-2	100%	5-11	45%	3-6	50%
Malcolm Brogdon #7 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 28	39.8	13	41%	4	7	1	0	2	2	0	4	1-1	100%	3-11	27%	2-5	40%
Justin Holiday #8 · SF · 6'6" 185 · 31	38.4	3	30%	2	2	0	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%

Aaron Holiday #3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	12.7	0	0%	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Edmond Sumner #5 · PG · 6'5" 188 · 25	9.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #20 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 29	8.2	3	38%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
JaKarr Sampson #14 · SF · 6'9" 207 · 27	6.0	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Alize Johnson #24 · SF · 6'9" 212 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
TJ Leaf #22 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Naz Mitrou-Long #15 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 27	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Brian Bowen II #10 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 22	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Jeremy Lamb #26 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn Left ACL
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Left Foot Plantar Fasciitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	87	51%	34	20	8	6	15	16	5	29	7-11	64%	19-43	44%	14-37	38%

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15 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Victor Oladipo #4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 28	43.5	25	63%	8	5	5	0	4	3	0	8	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	5-11	45%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 24	42.0	22	58%	14	0	1	5	2	3	4	10	2-6	33%	7-10	70%	2-6	33%
T.J. Warren #1 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 27	39.8	21	62%	5	4	0	0	4	5	1	4	2-2	100%	5-11	45%	3-6	50%
Malcolm Brogdon #7 · PG · 6'5" 229 · 28	39.8	13	41%	4	7	1	0	2	2	0	4	1-1	100%	3-11	27%	2-5	40%
Justin Holiday #8 · SF · 6'6" 185 · 31	38.4	3	30%	2	2	0	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-4	25%

Aaron Holiday #3 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	12.7	0	0%	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Edmond Sumner #5 · PG · 6'5" 188 · 25	9.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #20 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 29	8.2	3	38%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
JaKarr Sampson #14 · SF · 6'9" 207 · 27	6.0	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Goga Bitadze #88 · C · 6'11" 250 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Alize Johnson #24 · SF · 6'9" 212 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
TJ Leaf #22 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Naz Mitrou-Long #15 · SG · 6'4" 218 · 27	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Brian Bowen II #10 · SG · 6'7" 190 · 22	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Jeremy Lamb #26 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 28	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Torn Left ACL
Domantas Sabonis #11 · C · 6'10" 240 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Left Foot Plantar Fasciitis
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	87	51%	34	20	8	6	15	16	5	29	7-11	64%	19-43	44%	14-37	38%

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6 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bam Adebayo #13 · C · 6'9" 260 · 23	36.8	14	41%	19	6	1	1	6	2	6	13	2-2	100%	6-16	38%	0-0	-
Goran Dragic #7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 34	35.0	23	50%	5	3	1	0	2	3	2	3	2-4	50%	9-15	60%	1-6	17%
Jae Crowder #99 · PF · 6'6" 235 · 30	25.6	10	56%	5	2	1	0	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 26	24.0	5	28%	5	1	0	0	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-7	14%
Jimmy Butler III #22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 31	23.0	6	50%	3	2	1	1	1	1	1	2	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Tyler Herro #14 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 21	32.4	16	57%	5	4	0	1	1	1	2	3	1-2	50%	6-10	60%	1-3	33%
Andre Iguodala #28 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 37	26.2	5	83%	5	0	4	1	1	0	1	4	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Kelly Olynyk #9 · C · 7'0" 240 · 29	15.5	11	61%	8	2	0	0	1	1	2	6	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-4	25%
Kendrick Nunn #25 · SG · 6'3" 193 · 25	14.2	7	58%	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24	7.2	2	50%	2	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Solomon Hill #44 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 29	DNP - Coach's Decision
Meyers Leonard #0 · C · 7'1" 255 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem #40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 40	DNP - Coach's Decision
KZ Okpala #4 · SF · 6'9" 210 · 21	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Kyle Alexander #17 · PF · 6'11" 220 · 24	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Chris Silva #30 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Strain
Gabe Vincent #2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	49%	60	24	8	4	13	12	17	43	11-14	79%	32-61	52%	8-30	27%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	IND	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.02 51.2%

MIA

0.97 48.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

12

22

55%

MIA

20

36

56%

Midrange

IND

7

21

33%

MIA

12

25

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

14

21.0

37

38%

57%

MIA

8

12.0

30

27%

40%

Free Throws

IND

7

11

64%

MIA

11

14

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Oladipo	25	63%	12.5 / 20
M. Turner	22	58%	11.0 / 19
T. Warren	21	62%	10.5 / 17
M. Brogdon	13	41%	6.5 / 16
J. Holiday	3	30%	1.5 / 5
D. McDermott	3	38%	1.5 / 4
A. Holiday	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Sampson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Dragic	23	50%	11.5 / 23
T. Herro	16	57%	8.0 / 14
B. Adebayo	14	41%	7.0 / 17
K. Olynyk	11	61%	5.5 / 9
J. Crowder	10	56%	5.0 / 9
K. Nunn	7	58%	3.5 / 6
J. Butler	6	50%	3.0 / 6
D. Robinson	5	28%	2.5 / 9
A. Iguodala	5	83%	2.5 / 3
D. Jones	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 104.7 4 113.2	IND 92.6 MIA 104.2 +11.7
Pace	11 96.3 12 96.2	IND 92.7 MIA 96.3 +3.6
Avg. Poss. Time	21 14.8 19 15.0	IND 15.5 MIA 15.0 −0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	9 53.0% 6 53.7%	IND 50.0% +1.6% MIA 48.4%
TO %	14 15.1% 6 12.7%	IND 15.0% MIA 12.6% −2.4%
ORB %	15 13.8% 10 19.2%	IND 10.4% MIA 37.0% +26.6%
FTrt	13 25.2 2 32.2	IND 13.8 MIA 15.4 +1.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 61.6% 2 66.0%	IND 60.6% +0.6% MIA 60.0%
STL %	1 9.5% 6 7.1%	IND 8.5% +0.1% MIA 8.4%
BLK %	2 11.6% 10 7.9%	IND 9.8% +0.5% MIA 9.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.01 and 2.01.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 55.4% 4 57.0%	IND 51.2% +2.7% MIA 48.5%
Rim FG%	11 56.7% 5 62.0%	IND 54.5% MIA 55.6% +1.1%
Mid FG%	6 43.8% 5 45.0%	IND 33.3% MIA 48.0% +14.7%
3P %	4 37.5% 10 35.9%	IND 37.8% +11.1% MIA 26.7%
FT %	9 77.8% 2 82.5%	IND 63.6% MIA 78.6% +15.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 32.4% 13 28.7%	IND 27.5% MIA 39.6% +12.1%
Mid Att. %	8 27.7% 10 28.0%	IND 26.3% −1.2% MIA 27.5%
3P Att. %	12 39.9% 6 43.3%	IND 46.3% +13.3% MIA 33.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	MIA
Possessions	94	95
Possession Minutes	24.3	23.7
Points	87	99
Rebounds	34	60
Assists	20	24
Steals	8	8
Blocks	6	4
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	13 (1)
Fouls	16	12
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (1)	17 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (2)	43 (0)
Field Goals	33-80	40-91
At-the-Rim FG	12-22	20-36
Midrange FG	7-21	12-25
2-Point FG	19-43	32-61
3-Point FG	14-37	8-30
Free Throws	7-11	11-14
Fast Break Pts	9	7
2nd Chance Pts	10	16
Points in Paint	30	50
Pts off Turnovers	15	10
Bench Points	3	41
Biggest Lead	5	13

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg