Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	7	Blazers	36%	110	88	91.7	96	96.6
	3	Lakers	64%	115	111	114.4	97	96.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 29	33.2	13	38%	5	3	0	0	1	1	1	4	0-2	0%	5-11	45%	1-5	20%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	30.1	18	56%	3	1	1	0	4	1	0	3	5-5	100%	5-7	71%	1-7	14%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 26	28.6	9	45%	7	2	1	0	1	3	1	6	0-0	-	3-7	43%	1-3	33%
Carmelo Anthony #00 · SF · 6'8" 240 · 36	26.7	2	17%	0	1	0	0	3	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-1	0%
Wenyen Gabriel #35 · PF · 6'9" 205 · 23	20.9	7	44%	5	1	0	0	2	6	4	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-4	25%

Hassan Whiteside #21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 31	21.6	6	50%	9	0	1	3	2	0	1	8	4-6	67%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Gary Trent Jr. #2 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 22	20.9	8	57%	1	0	1	0	2	3	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Mario Hezonja #44 · PF · 6'8" 218 · 25	20.6	4	33%	4	1	1	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 21	15.4	11	69%	1	2	1	0	1	0	0	1	3-3	100%	1-4	25%	2-3	67%
Jaylen Hoard #6 · SF · 6'9" 213 · 21	12.0	6	75%	4	1	0	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Jaylen Adams #10 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 24	9.9	4	50%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Zach Collins #33 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Malleolar stress reaction
Nassir Little #9 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Body; Dehydration recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	47%	41	14	6	3	17	17	10	31	12-16	75%	26-56	46%	8-29	28%

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7 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 29	33.2	13	38%	5	3	0	0	1	1	1	4	0-2	0%	5-11	45%	1-5	20%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 30	30.1	18	56%	3	1	1	0	4	1	0	3	5-5	100%	5-7	71%	1-7	14%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 26	28.6	9	45%	7	2	1	0	1	3	1	6	0-0	-	3-7	43%	1-3	33%
Carmelo Anthony #00 · SF · 6'8" 240 · 36	26.7	2	17%	0	1	0	0	3	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-1	0%
Wenyen Gabriel #35 · PF · 6'9" 205 · 23	20.9	7	44%	5	1	0	0	2	6	4	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-4	25%

Hassan Whiteside #21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 31	21.6	6	50%	9	0	1	3	2	0	1	8	4-6	67%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Gary Trent Jr. #2 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 22	20.9	8	57%	1	0	1	0	2	3	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Mario Hezonja #44 · PF · 6'8" 218 · 25	20.6	4	33%	4	1	1	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 21	15.4	11	69%	1	2	1	0	1	0	0	1	3-3	100%	1-4	25%	2-3	67%
Jaylen Hoard #6 · SF · 6'9" 213 · 21	12.0	6	75%	4	1	0	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Jaylen Adams #10 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 24	9.9	4	50%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Zach Collins #33 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	DND - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Malleolar stress reaction
Nassir Little #9 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Body; Dehydration recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	47%	41	14	6	3	17	17	10	31	12-16	75%	26-56	46%	8-29	28%

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3 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 27	29.4	31	74%	11	3	1	1	2	1	3	8	2-2	100%	10-17	59%	3-4	75%
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 36	26.7	10	42%	6	7	2	0	6	1	0	6	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-3	0%
Danny Green #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 33	21.7	3	25%	2	1	4	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #1 · PG · 6'5" 204 · 28	21.7	16	89%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	4-6	67%
JaVale McGee #7 · C · 7'0" 270 · 33	12.7	10	83%	8	3	0	0	0	2	5	3	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-0	-

JR Smith #21 · SG · 6'6" 225 · 35	21.6	11	46%	0	2	0	0	4	3	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-9	33%
Kyle Kuzma #0 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 25	20.9	7	50%	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Dwight Howard #39 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	18.8	9	75%	5	0	0	1	0	5	1	4	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 31	18.8	2	20%	6	2	0	1	0	2	2	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-4	0%
Alex Caruso #4 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 26	17.2	3	38%	5	3	1	0	1	3	3	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Dion Waiters #18 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 29	15.1	4	67%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Quinn Cook #28 · PG · 6'2" 179 · 27	8.0	5	83%	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Jared Dudley #10 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 35	7.5	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Talen Horton-Tucker #5 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 20	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Devontae Cacok #12 · PF · 6'7" 240 · 24	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Kostas Antetokounmpo #37 · PF · 6'11" 195 · 23	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Rajon Rondo #9 · PG · 6'1" 186 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Thumb; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	56%	50	26	9	3	14	22	14	36	9-10	90%	30-54	56%	14-38	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	POR	LAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

0.95 47.3%

LAL

1.12 56.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

16

28

57%

LAL

23

31

74%

Midrange

POR

10

28

36%

LAL

7

23

30%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

8

12.0

29

28%

41%

LAL

14

21.0

38

37%

55%

Free Throws

POR

12

16

75%

LAL

9

10

90%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Lillard	18	56%	9.0 / 16
C. McCollum	13	38%	6.5 / 17
A. Simons	11	69%	5.5 / 8
J. Nurkić	9	45%	4.5 / 10
G. Trent	8	57%	4.0 / 7
W. Gabriel	7	44%	3.5 / 8
H. Whiteside	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Hoard	6	75%	3.0 / 4
M. Hezonja	4	33%	2.0 / 6
J. Adams	4	50%	2.0 / 4
C. Anthony	2	17%	1.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Davis	31	74%	15.5 / 21
K. Caldwell-Pope	16	89%	8.0 / 9
J. Smith	11	46%	5.5 / 12
L. James	10	42%	5.0 / 12
J. McGee	10	83%	5.0 / 6
D. Howard	9	75%	4.5 / 6
K. Kuzma	7	50%	3.5 / 7
Q. Cook	5	83%	2.5 / 3
D. Waiters	4	67%	2.0 / 3
D. Green	3	25%	1.5 / 6
A. Caruso	3	38%	1.5 / 4
M. Morris	2	20%	1.0 / 5
J. Dudley	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	13 104.5 2 116.2	POR 91.7 LAL 114.4 +22.8
Pace	4 102.0 10 97.1	POR 96.6 +0.2 LAL 96.4
Avg. Poss. Time	30 13.5 17 15.3	POR 14.9 −0.0 LAL 14.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 49.2% 2 56.1%	POR 44.7% LAL 55.4% +10.7%
TO %	15 15.7% 13 14.9%	POR 15.6% LAL 12.7% −2.9%
ORB %	6 21.4% 2 26.1%	POR 21.7% LAL 31.1% +9.4%
FTrt	8 28.3 4 29.3	POR 18.8 +7.9 LAL 10.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 47.3% 5 62.4%	POR 41.2% LAL 59.1% +17.9%
STL %	5 7.3% 3 8.3%	POR 6.3% LAL 9.3% +3.0%
BLK %	14 6.7% 3 10.9%	POR 5.6% +0.2% LAL 5.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	13 52.9% 2 58.0%	POR 47.3% LAL 56.1% +8.8%
Rim FG%	14 55.7% 1 69.2%	POR 57.1% LAL 74.2% +17.1%
Mid FG%	16 35.1% 11 41.3%	POR 35.7% +5.3% LAL 30.4%
3P %	2 37.9% 12 35.4%	POR 27.6% LAL 36.8% +9.2%
FT %	7 79.2% 13 75.8%	POR 75.0% LAL 90.0% +15.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	8 31.7% 1 35.7%	POR 32.9% LAL 33.7% +0.8%
Mid Att. %	14 33.6% 4 23.6%	POR 32.9% LAL 25.0% −7.9%
3P Att. %	16 34.7% 11 40.7%	POR 34.1% LAL 41.3% +7.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.

Game Totals	POR	LAL
Possessions	96	97
Possession Minutes	23.8	24.2
Points	88	111
Rebounds	41	50
Assists	14	26
Steals	6	9
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	14 (0)
Fouls	17	22
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (4)	14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (2)	36 (3)
Field Goals	34-85	44-92
At-the-Rim FG	16-28	23-31
Midrange FG	10-28	7-23
2-Point FG	26-56	30-54
3-Point FG	8-29	14-38
Free Throws	12-16	9-10
Fast Break Pts	13	7
2nd Chance Pts	18	20
Points in Paint	40	52
Pts off Turnovers	13	17
Bench Points	39	41
Biggest Lead	2	33

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg