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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
August 17, 2020
1:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Jazz36%106125
13Nuggets64%111135
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Donovan Mitchell
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.9
43.2
25.8
57
74%
9
7
1
1
0
5
2
7
13-13
100%
13-18
4-8
72%
47%
6-15
40%
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 32.9
43.0
18.0
19
64%
5
6
1
1
0
3
0
5
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
51%
5-12
42%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 28.1
42.2
26.6
17
62%
7
1
2
1
4
1
4
3
1-6
17%
8-11
4-6
73%
64%
0-0
-
Royce O'Neale
F · 6'6" 226 · 27.2
31.8
17.4
3
25%
7
0
1
0
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
54%
1-3
33%
Juwan Morgan
F · 6'8" 232 · 23.3
25.3
15.0
3
30%
7
1
1
0
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
1-4
25%
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 28.2
39.1
15.8
18
53%
4
3
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
6-8
2-4
75%
50%
2-9
22%
Georges Niang
F · 6'6" 231 · 27.2
19.8
18.8
7
58%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
51%
1-4
25%
Tony Bradley
C · 6'10" 248 · 22.6
10.8
18.1
0
0%
9
0
0
0
0
2
4
5
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
57%
0-0
-
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.5
9.8
19.9
1
17%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
Miye Oni
G · 6'6" 206 · 23.0
20.6
1
1-2
47%
Rayjon Tucker
G · 6'3" 209 · 22.9
18.4
0
1-3
49%
Nigel Williams-Goss
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.9
8.8
0
1-1
45%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.2
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 32.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 25.5
42.2
20.8
29
65%
10
3
2
1
1
4
1
9
3-3
100%
7-14
4-6
50%
57%
4-7
57%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 23.5
40.4
18.3
36
83%
5
9
1
1
0
3
2
3
4-4
100%
7-11
2-5
64%
50%
6-9
67%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 22.1
31.2
28.6
13
50%
8
1
0
1
1
1
1
7
0-0
-
2-6
4-7
33%
55%
3-7
43%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 35.5
29.5
19.0
8
37%
3
0
3
1
1
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-7
2-4
29%
50%
1-3
33%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.7
21.4
20.2
11
79%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
57%
3-5
60%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.4
39.9
25.5
19
65%
0
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
7-8
88%
3-6
3-5
50%
54%
2-5
40%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.1
29.3
26.7
14
74%
3
4
1
1
1
1
0
3
0-1
0%
4-6
3-6
67%
51%
2-3
67%
PJ Dozier
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.8
20.3
24.7
3
50%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 30.5
10.8
19.3
2
100%
6
2
1
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-1
3-5
100%
58%
0-0
-
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 24.6
15.4
0
1-3
50%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 29.1
13.1
0
1-1
44%
Bol Bol
C · 7'2" 208 · 20.8
12.7
0
1-3
54%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.0
1.7
0
0-0
52%
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.4
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 29.6
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.9
Tyler Cook
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.