Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, August 19, 2020

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Jazz	36%	106	124	139.3	89	84.2
	12	Nuggets	64%	111	105	119.3	88	94.4

Scoring Opportunities

UTA

+14

-6

DEN

+16

-10

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.28 63.9%

DEN

1.11 55.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

15 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Royce O'Neale #23 · SF · 6'6" 226 · 27	35.3	9	113%	7	8	1	2	0	3	0	7	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-4	75%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 28	34.2	19	73%	7	3	0	2	1	5	3	4	5-8	63%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
Joe Ingles #2 · SG · 6'8" 220 · 33	33.9	18	75%	2	6	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	4-9	44%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'2" 215 · 24	33.9	30	100%	1	8	1	0	3	1	0	1	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	6-7	86%
Juwan Morgan #16 · PF · 6'8" 232 · 23	14.3	5	63%	2	0	0	0	0	4	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%

Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 28	28.7	26	65%	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	4	4-4	100%	5-9	56%	4-9	44%
Georges Niang #31 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 27	21.2	7	35%	3	1	0	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-6	17%
Emmanuel Mudiay #15 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 24	14.2	5	36%	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-2	50%
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 23	11.4	3	75%	7	1	1	1	0	0	4	3	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Miye Oni #81 · SG · 6'6" 206 · 23	4.2	2	33%	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Jarrell Brantley #5 · PF · 6'5" 250 · 24	4.2	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Rayjon Tucker #6 · SG · 6'3" 209 · 23	2.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Nigel Williams-Goss #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 26	2.4	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 33	INACTIVE
Justin Wright-Foreman #3 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 23	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Ed Davis #17 · C · 6'10" 245 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; MCL injury
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	64%	36	32	5	7	6	18	11	25	14-17	82%	25-43	58%	20-44	45%

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15 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Royce O'Neale #23 · SF · 6'6" 226 · 27	35.3	9	113%	7	8	1	2	0	3	0	7	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-4	75%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 28	34.2	19	73%	7	3	0	2	1	5	3	4	5-8	63%	7-10	70%	0-0	-
Joe Ingles #2 · SG · 6'8" 220 · 33	33.9	18	75%	2	6	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-3	100%	4-9	44%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'2" 215 · 24	33.9	30	100%	1	8	1	0	3	1	0	1	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	6-7	86%
Juwan Morgan #16 · PF · 6'8" 232 · 23	14.3	5	63%	2	0	0	0	0	4	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%

Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 28	28.7	26	65%	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	4	4-4	100%	5-9	56%	4-9	44%
Georges Niang #31 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 27	21.2	7	35%	3	1	0	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-6	17%
Emmanuel Mudiay #15 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 24	14.2	5	36%	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-2	50%
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 23	11.4	3	75%	7	1	1	1	0	0	4	3	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Miye Oni #81 · SG · 6'6" 206 · 23	4.2	2	33%	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Jarrell Brantley #5 · PF · 6'5" 250 · 24	4.2	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Rayjon Tucker #6 · SG · 6'3" 209 · 23	2.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Nigel Williams-Goss #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 26	2.4	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 33	INACTIVE
Justin Wright-Foreman #3 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 23	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Ed Davis #17 · C · 6'10" 245 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; MCL injury
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	64%	36	32	5	7	6	18	11	25	14-17	82%	25-43	58%	20-44	45%

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12 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 22	32.9	28	78%	6	0	0	1	0	1	0	6	2-3	67%	4-8	50%	6-9	67%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 25	31.6	28	54%	11	6	0	0	2	3	5	6	7-10	70%	9-19	47%	1-2	50%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 23	30.4	14	54%	3	4	0	0	3	3	0	3	1-1	100%	5-11	45%	1-2	50%
Torrey Craig #3 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 30	27.6	0	0%	2	2	0	0	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	18.1	5	50%	2	0	1	0	2	2	2	0	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%

Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 26	27.3	8	50%	3	2	0	2	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-7	29%
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 25	23.3	10	71%	1	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	18.8	5	50%	1	2	0	0	1	1	1	0	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Mason Plumlee #7 · C · 7'0" 254 · 30	12.7	0	0%	8	2	0	0	0	2	3	5	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Troy Daniels #30 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29	5.4	5	83%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	4.2	2	100%	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tyler Cook #25 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 23	4.2	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Keita Bates-Diop #6 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	3.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Noah Vonleh #32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 25	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Muscle strain
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fracture
Will Barton #5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	55%	41	22	1	4	10	19	13	28	18-23	78%	24-54	44%	13-27	48%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	UTA	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

UTA

1.28 63.9%

DEN

1.11 55.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

UTA

72%

DEN

39%

Midrange

UTA

29%

DEN

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

UTA

30.0

45%

68%

DEN

19.5

48%

72%

Free Throws

UTA

82%

DEN

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell	30	100%	15.0 / 15
J. Clarkson	26	65%	13.0 / 20
R. Gobert	19	73%	9.5 / 13
J. Ingles	18	75%	9.0 / 12
R. O'Neale	9	113%	4.5 / 4
G. Niang	7	35%	3.5 / 10
J. Morgan	5	63%	2.5 / 4
E. Mudiay	5	36%	2.5 / 7
T. Bradley	3	75%	1.5 / 2
M. Oni	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Brantley	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Porter	28	78%	14.0 / 18
N. Jokić	28	54%	14.0 / 26
J. Murray	14	54%	7.0 / 13
M. Morris	10	71%	5.0 / 7
J. Grant	8	50%	4.0 / 8
P. Millsap	5	50%	2.5 / 5
P. Dozier	5	50%	2.5 / 5
T. Daniels	5	83%	2.5 / 3
B. Bol	2	100%	1.0 / 1
T. Craig	0	-	0.0 / 2
M. Plumlee	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	1 121.2 5 113.1	UTA 139.3 +20.0 DEN 119.3
Pace	16 92.2 15 94.5	UTA 84.2 DEN 94.4 +10.2
Avg. Poss. Time	15 15.6 18 15.3	UTA 17.1 DEN 15.3 −1.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 58.3% 4 54.5%	UTA 63.2% +9.5% DEN 53.7%
TO %	1 11.9% 10 13.9%	UTA 7.8% −3.8% DEN 11.6%
ORB %	4 22.8% 3 23.0%	UTA 28.2% DEN 34.2% +6.0%
FTrt	7 28.4 12 26.0	UTA 19.5 DEN 28.4 +8.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 53.8% 9 58.0%	UTA 71.1% +11.6% DEN 59.5%
STL %	10 6.6% 12 6.5%	UTA 5.6% +4.5% DEN 1.1%
BLK %	16 6.3% 9 8.0%	UTA 13.0% +3.7% DEN 9.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 59.8% 6 56.6%	UTA 63.9% +8.6% DEN 55.3%
Rim FG%	6 60.7% 8 59.3%	UTA 72.4% +33.3% DEN 39.1%
Mid FG%	8 43.1% 2 46.6%	UTA 28.6% DEN 48.4% +19.8%
3P %	1 42.1% 3 37.9%	UTA 45.5% DEN 48.1% +2.6%
FT %	12 77.3% 3 81.6%	UTA 82.4% +4.1% DEN 78.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 34.2% 10 30.7%	UTA 33.3% +4.9% DEN 28.4%
Mid Att. %	2 20.2% 13 30.1%	UTA 16.1% −22.2% DEN 38.3%
3P Att. %	3 45.5% 13 39.2%	UTA 50.6% +17.2% DEN 33.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	UTA	DEN
Possessions	89	88
Possession Minutes	25.4	22.4
Points	124	105
Rebounds	36	41
Assists	32	22
Steals	5	1
Blocks	7	4
Turnovers (Team)	6 (2)	10 (2)
Fouls	18	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (3)	13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (5)	28 (2)
Field Goals	45-87	37-81
At-the-Rim FG	21-29	9-23
Midrange FG	4-14	15-31
2-Point FG	25-43	24-54
3-Point FG	20-44	13-27
Free Throws	14-17	18-23
Fast Break Pts	5	5
2nd Chance Pts	13	11
Points in Paint	48	28
Pts off Turnovers	16	9
Bench Points	43	30
Biggest Lead	31	3

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg