Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, August 21, 2020

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	13	Nuggets	39%	109	87	93.5	93	95.8
	10	Jazz	61%	113	124	131.9	94	92.1

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+18

-17

UTA

+15

-10

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

0.92 45.8%

UTA

1.25 62.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

13 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	31.7	15	54%	5	6	0	1	2	1	0	5	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	2-6	33%
Torrey Craig #3 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 30	27.5	8	80%	4	0	0	0	3	4	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 23	26.8	12	38%	5	6	1	1	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	3-8	38%	2-8	25%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	16.8	8	80%	2	1	0	1	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-2	100%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 22	15.5	7	58%	5	0	0	0	2	3	1	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-2	50%

Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 26	25.5	6	43%	5	1	0	2	2	4	1	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-5	40%
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 25	24.3	4	29%	0	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	21.2	7	35%	6	2	0	0	3	5	0	6	3-3	100%	2-5	40%	0-4	0%
Troy Daniels #30 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29	13.7	1	10%	2	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Mason Plumlee #7 · C · 7'0" 254 · 30	13.2	6	75%	6	0	0	0	1	1	5	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Keita Bates-Diop #6 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	12.0	2	25%	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	8.7	11	61%	2	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	4-4	100%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Noah Vonleh #32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 25	3.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Tyler Cook #25 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 23	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Muscle Strain
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fracture
Will Barton #5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	87	46%	45	20	2	5	17	24	16	29	9-11	82%	21-50	42%	12-38	32%

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13 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	31.7	15	54%	5	6	0	1	2	1	0	5	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	2-6	33%
Torrey Craig #3 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 30	27.5	8	80%	4	0	0	0	3	4	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 23	26.8	12	38%	5	6	1	1	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	3-8	38%	2-8	25%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	16.8	8	80%	2	1	0	1	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-2	100%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 22	15.5	7	58%	5	0	0	0	2	3	1	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-2	50%

Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 26	25.5	6	43%	5	1	0	2	2	4	1	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-5	40%
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 25	24.3	4	29%	0	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	21.2	7	35%	6	2	0	0	3	5	0	6	3-3	100%	2-5	40%	0-4	0%
Troy Daniels #30 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29	13.7	1	10%	2	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Mason Plumlee #7 · C · 7'0" 254 · 30	13.2	6	75%	6	0	0	0	1	1	5	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Keita Bates-Diop #6 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	12.0	2	25%	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	8.7	11	61%	2	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	4-4	100%	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Noah Vonleh #32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 25	3.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Tyler Cook #25 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 23	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hip; Muscle Strain
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fracture
Will Barton #5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	87	46%	45	20	2	5	17	24	16	29	9-11	82%	21-50	42%	12-38	32%

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10 Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 28	31.7	24	71%	14	0	1	0	1	3	5	9	2-5	40%	11-15	73%	0-0	-
Royce O'Neale #23 · PF · 6'6" 226 · 27	27.7	3	50%	8	4	1	0	4	2	2	6	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 24	27.5	20	59%	4	1	1	1	0	0	0	4	8-9	89%	3-7	43%	2-6	33%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 33	24.6	27	96%	0	4	1	0	0	3	0	0	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	7-8	88%
Joe Ingles #2 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 33	21.6	2	33%	2	8	1	0	0	2	0	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%

Jordan Clarkson #00 · SG · 6'5" 194 · 28	24.3	11	42%	3	4	2	0	0	0	0	3	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	1-6	17%
Juwan Morgan #16 · PF · 6'8" 232 · 23	22.3	1	25%	4	3	1	0	0	4	1	3	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Georges Niang #31 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 27	15.6	16	89%	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	4-6	67%
Emmanuel Mudiay #15 · PG · 6'3" 200 · 24	9.8	7	70%	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Miye Oni #81 · SG · 6'6" 206 · 23	9.8	5	83%	4	0	0	0	1	2	2	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Jarrell Brantley #5 · PF · 6'5" 250 · 24	8.7	1	17%	2	2	0	1	1	3	1	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Rayjon Tucker #6 · SG · 6'3" 209 · 23	8.7	5	50%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Tony Bradley #13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 23	7.6	2	50%	3	0	1	0	0	0	1	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Justin Wright-Foreman #3 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 23	INACTIVE
Nigel Williams-Goss #0 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 26	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Ed Davis #17 · C · 6'10" 245 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; MCL injury
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	124	63%	50	27	9	2	10	20	13	37	20-26	77%	25-47	53%	18-37	49%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	UTA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

0.92 45.8%

UTA

1.25 62.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

42%

UTA

68%

Midrange

DEN

42%

UTA

36%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

18.0

32%

47%

UTA

27.0

49%

73%

Free Throws

DEN

82%

UTA

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	15	54%	7.5 / 14
J. Murray	12	38%	6.0 / 16
B. Bol	11	61%	5.5 / 9
T. Craig	8	80%	4.0 / 5
P. Millsap	8	80%	4.0 / 5
M. Porter	7	58%	3.5 / 6
P. Dozier	7	35%	3.5 / 10
J. Grant	6	43%	3.0 / 7
M. Plumlee	6	75%	3.0 / 4
M. Morris	4	29%	2.0 / 7
K. Bates-Diop	2	25%	1.0 / 4
T. Daniels	1	10%	0.5 / 5
N. Vonleh	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Conley	27	96%	13.5 / 14
R. Gobert	24	71%	12.0 / 17
D. Mitchell	20	59%	10.0 / 17
G. Niang	16	89%	8.0 / 9
J. Clarkson	11	42%	5.5 / 13
E. Mudiay	7	70%	3.5 / 5
M. Oni	5	83%	2.5 / 3
R. Tucker	5	50%	2.5 / 5
R. O'Neale	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Ingles	2	33%	1.0 / 3
T. Bradley	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Morgan	1	25%	0.5 / 2
J. Brantley	1	17%	0.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 113.1 1 121.2	DEN 93.5 UTA 131.9 +38.4
Pace	15 94.5 16 92.2	DEN 95.8 +3.7 UTA 92.1
Avg. Poss. Time	18 15.3 15 15.6	DEN 15.0 −0.6 UTA 15.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	4 54.5% 1 58.3%	DEN 44.3% UTA 61.9% +17.6%
TO %	10 13.9% 1 11.9%	DEN 15.5% UTA 10.3% −5.2%
ORB %	3 23.0% 4 22.8%	DEN 30.2% UTA 31.0% +0.8%
FTrt	12 26.0 7 28.4	DEN 12.5 UTA 31.0 +18.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 58.0% 11 53.8%	DEN 60.6% UTA 62.8% +2.2%
STL %	12 6.5% 10 6.6%	DEN 2.2% UTA 9.6% +7.4%
BLK %	9 8.0% 16 6.3%	DEN 10.6% +6.6% UTA 4.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 56.6% 1 59.8%	DEN 45.8% UTA 62.6% +16.8%
Rim FG%	8 59.3% 6 60.7%	DEN 42.3% UTA 68.0% +25.7%
Mid FG%	2 46.6% 8 43.1%	DEN 41.7% +5.3% UTA 36.4%
3P %	3 37.9% 1 42.1%	DEN 31.6% UTA 48.6% +17.0%
FT %	3 81.6% 12 77.3%	DEN 81.8% +4.9% UTA 76.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 30.7% 4 34.2%	DEN 29.5% UTA 29.8% +0.2%
Mid Att. %	13 30.1% 2 20.2%	DEN 27.3% UTA 26.2% −1.1%
3P Att. %	13 39.2% 3 45.5%	DEN 43.2% UTA 44.0% +0.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	UTA
Possessions	93	94
Possession Minutes	23.3	24.5
Points	87	124
Rebounds	45	50
Assists	20	27
Steals	2	9
Blocks	5	2
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	10 (1)
Fouls	24	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (2)	13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (1)	37 (0)
Field Goals	33-88	43-84
At-the-Rim FG	11-26	17-25
Midrange FG	10-24	8-22
2-Point FG	21-50	25-47
3-Point FG	12-38	18-37
Free Throws	9-11	20-26
Fast Break Pts	8	8
2nd Chance Pts	10	22
Points in Paint	32	48
Pts off Turnovers	8	16
Bench Points	37	48
Biggest Lead	1	39

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg