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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
September 5, 2020
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Nuggets23%107110
1Clippers77%118101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.5
40.2
30.7
5
23%
7
2
2
1
3
0
2
5
3-4
75%
1-4
2-5
25%
52%
0-5
0%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 23.5
40.0
37.5
27
58%
3
6
2
1
1
3
0
3
4-5
80%
7-13
6-11
54%
49%
3-8
38%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 25.5
37.3
34.4
26
73%
18
4
0
1
3
6
1
17
2-2
100%
6-12
6-12
50%
55%
4-5
80%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 35.6
31.7
20.1
13
57%
6
1
0
1
0
1
4
2
1-1
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
48%
2-5
40%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.0
29.4
24.4
13
73%
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
4-7
57%
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.2
17.6
21.2
10
53%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.7
16.9
24.8
3
31%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-2
2-3
50%
54%
0-2
0%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 22.2
16.3
22.9
11
55%
7
0
2
1
0
0
4
3
0-0
-
4-5
3-5
80%
52%
1-5
20%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 30.5
10.6
10.8
2
50%
2
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
56%
0-0
-
PJ Dozier
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.9
7.2
0
1-2
45%
Keita Bates-Diop
F · 6'9" 223 · 24.6
3.8
0
0-1
47%
Bol Bol
C · 7'2" 208 · 20.8
2.5
0
0-1
50%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 29.1
2.4
0
0-0
42%
Tyler Cook
F · 6'9" 245 · 23.0
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 29.7
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.0
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.3
41.9
34.2
22
52%
8
3
2
1
2
4
3
5
4-5
80%
3-9
4-9
33%
48%
4-10
40%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 29.2
38.8
34.1
13
32%
10
8
3
2
1
4
4
6
5-7
71%
4-14
7-13
29%
53%
0-3
0%
Marcus Morris Sr.
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.0
31.2
23.6
11
51%
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
2-5
40%
Ivica Zubac
C · 7'1" 240 · 23.5
20.3
25.7
15
77%
9
0
0
0
0
1
4
5
3-4
75%
6-8
4-6
75%
60%
0-0
-
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.2
15.2
13.6
2
50%
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 33.9
29.4
22.4
13
40%
4
7
0
1
1
1
1
3
1-1
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
47%
0-6
0%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 30.2
26.1
18.0
10
83%
11
0
0
0
0
1
3
8
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
53%
2-3
67%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 26.6
17.9
17.9
10
53%
3
0
2
0
0
0
1
2
4-8
50%
3-6
4-7
50%
60%
0-0
-
Landry Shamet
G · 6'5" 188 · 23.5
10.0
24.4
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 30.4
9.2
16.3
3
50%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
1-3
33%
Terance Mann
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.9
0.1
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
54%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 31.5
4.0
0
0-0
47%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 29.1
2.9
0
0-0
50%
Amir Coffey
G-F · 6'8" 210 · 23.2
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 35.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.