Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	8	Nuggets	37%	105	114	115.2	99	101.3
	5	Lakers	63%	110	126	128.6	98	95.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jerami Grant #9 · SF · 6'7" 213 · 27	37.4	9	38%	4	3	0	0	1	2	0	4	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	1-6	17%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	29.0	21	75%	1	5	0	0	3	4	0	1	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	3-5	60%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	25.4	21	62%	6	2	0	1	4	5	4	2	5-7	71%	8-14	57%	0-0	-
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	25.4	5	36%	2	0	0	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	20.8	5	50%	6	1	1	0	1	3	0	6	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-1	100%

Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 22	29.0	14	54%	10	4	1	0	2	2	1	9	7-8	88%	2-3	67%	1-6	17%
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 25	20.9	8	50%	1	3	1	1	1	2	0	1	2-4	50%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Mason Plumlee #7 · C · 7'0" 254 · 31	20.6	9	75%	4	3	0	0	0	2	3	1	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	12.0	6	60%	3	2	0	0	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Torrey Craig #3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 30	10.3	6	60%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Troy Daniels #30 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29	5.1	8	133%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-2	100%
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	4.1	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Keita Bates-Diop #6 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyler Cook #25 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 23	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Noah Vonleh #32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 25	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fracture
Will Barton #5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	58%	37	23	3	2	16	26	9	28	23-28	82%	32-57	56%	9-26	35%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

8 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jerami Grant #9 · SF · 6'7" 213 · 27	37.4	9	38%	4	3	0	0	1	2	0	4	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	1-6	17%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	29.0	21	75%	1	5	0	0	3	4	0	1	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	3-5	60%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	25.4	21	62%	6	2	0	1	4	5	4	2	5-7	71%	8-14	57%	0-0	-
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	25.4	5	36%	2	0	0	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	20.8	5	50%	6	1	1	0	1	3	0	6	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-1	100%

Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 22	29.0	14	54%	10	4	1	0	2	2	1	9	7-8	88%	2-3	67%	1-6	17%
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 25	20.9	8	50%	1	3	1	1	1	2	0	1	2-4	50%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Mason Plumlee #7 · C · 7'0" 254 · 31	20.6	9	75%	4	3	0	0	0	2	3	1	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	12.0	6	60%	3	2	0	0	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Torrey Craig #3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 30	10.3	6	60%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Troy Daniels #30 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29	5.1	8	133%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-2	100%
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	4.1	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Keita Bates-Diop #6 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyler Cook #25 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 23	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Noah Vonleh #32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 25	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fracture
Will Barton #5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	58%	37	23	3	2	16	26	9	28	23-28	82%	32-57	56%	9-26	35%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

5 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 28	32.8	37	66%	10	4	0	0	3	3	3	7	12-15	80%	11-18	61%	1-3	33%
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 36	30.9	15	63%	6	12	0	0	3	2	1	5	3-4	75%	6-9	67%	0-2	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #1 · PG · 6'5" 204 · 28	30.0	18	75%	1	1	1	1	0	2	0	1	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	3-5	60%
Danny Green #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 33	23.4	8	40%	5	1	2	1	0	3	2	3	1-1	100%	2-6	33%	1-4	25%
JaVale McGee #7 · C · 7'0" 270 · 33	10.7	0	0%	0	0	0	1	2	4	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%

Kyle Kuzma #0 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 25	24.4	11	69%	4	0	0	0	1	2	2	2	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-2	50%
Alex Caruso #4 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 27	22.3	5	50%	2	4	0	1	0	4	1	1	3-5	60%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Rajon Rondo #9 · PG · 6'1" 186 · 35	21.8	7	50%	1	9	2	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-1	100%
Dwight Howard #39 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	16.4	13	72%	3	0	2	2	2	4	1	2	5-8	63%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 31	16.1	9	113%	1	1	2	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-4	75%
Jared Dudley #10 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 35	4.1	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
JR Smith #21 · SG · 6'6" 225 · 35	4.1	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Quinn Cook #28 · PG · 6'2" 179 · 27	2.8	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Kostas Antetokounmpo #37 · PF · 6'11" 195 · 23	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Talen Horton-Tucker #5 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 20	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Devontae Cacok #12 · PF · 6'7" 240 · 24	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Dion Waiters #18 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Sore left groin
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	62%	34	33	10	6	11	28	10	24	27-37	73%	33-57	58%	11-26	42%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAL

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.16 58.2%

LAL

1.24 61.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

23

36

64%

LAL

21

33

64%

Midrange

DEN

9

21

43%

LAL

12

24

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

9

13.5

26

35%

52%

LAL

11

16.5

26

42%

63%

Free Throws

DEN

23

28

82%

LAL

27

37

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Murray	21	75%	10.5 / 14
N. Jokić	21	62%	10.5 / 17
M. Porter	14	54%	7.0 / 13
J. Grant	9	38%	4.5 / 12
M. Plumlee	9	75%	4.5 / 6
M. Morris	8	50%	4.0 / 8
T. Daniels	8	133%	4.0 / 3
P. Dozier	6	60%	3.0 / 5
T. Craig	6	60%	3.0 / 5
G. Harris	5	36%	2.5 / 7
P. Millsap	5	50%	2.5 / 5
B. Bol	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Davis	37	66%	18.5 / 28
K. Caldwell-Pope	18	75%	9.0 / 12
L. James	15	63%	7.5 / 12
D. Howard	13	72%	6.5 / 9
K. Kuzma	11	69%	5.5 / 8
M. Morris	9	113%	4.5 / 4
D. Green	8	40%	4.0 / 10
R. Rondo	7	50%	3.5 / 7
A. Caruso	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. Smith	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. McGee	0	-	0.0 / 1
Q. Cook	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 113.1 2 116.2	DEN 115.2 LAL 128.6 +13.4
Pace	15 94.5 10 97.1	DEN 101.3 +5.9 LAL 95.4
Avg. Poss. Time	18 15.3 17 15.3	DEN 14.2 −0.9 LAL 15.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	4 54.5% 2 56.1%	DEN 54.8% LAL 59.6% +4.8%
TO %	10 13.9% 13 14.9%	DEN 14.4% LAL 10.8% −3.6%
ORB %	3 23.0% 2 26.1%	DEN 27.3% +1.0% LAL 26.3%
FTrt	12 26.0 4 29.3	DEN 33.7 LAL 44.6 +10.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 58.0% 5 62.4%	DEN 56.1% LAL 75.0% +18.9%
STL %	12 6.5% 3 8.3%	DEN 3.0% LAL 10.2% +7.2%
BLK %	9 8.0% 3 10.9%	DEN 3.5% LAL 10.5% +7.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 56.6% 2 58.0%	DEN 58.2% LAL 61.8% +3.6%
Rim FG%	8 59.3% 1 69.2%	DEN 63.9% +0.3% LAL 63.6%
Mid FG%	2 46.6% 11 41.3%	DEN 42.9% LAL 50.0% +7.1%
3P %	3 37.9% 12 35.4%	DEN 34.6% LAL 42.3% +7.7%
FT %	3 81.6% 13 75.8%	DEN 82.1% +9.1% LAL 73.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 30.7% 1 35.7%	DEN 43.4% +3.6% LAL 39.8%
Mid Att. %	13 30.1% 4 23.6%	DEN 25.3% −3.6% LAL 28.9%
3P Att. %	13 39.2% 11 40.7%	DEN 31.3% LAL 31.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.

Game Totals	DEN	LAL
Possessions	99	98
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.6
Points	114	126
Rebounds	37	34
Assists	23	33
Steals	3	10
Blocks	2	6
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	11 (1)
Fouls	26	28
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (6)	10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (2)	24 (5)
Field Goals	41-83	44-83
At-the-Rim FG	23-36	21-33
Midrange FG	9-21	12-24
2-Point FG	32-57	33-57
3-Point FG	9-26	11-26
Free Throws	23-28	27-37
Fast Break Pts	10	16
2nd Chance Pts	13	12
Points in Paint	52	54
Pts off Turnovers	17	22
Bench Points	53	48
Biggest Lead	2	27

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg