Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	9	Nuggets	34%	105	103	106.2	97	102.8
	5	Lakers	66%	111	105	109.4	96	90.8

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	44.2	25	57%	6	4	2	2	5	1	0	6	7-8	88%	6-10	60%	2-9	22%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	38.6	30	58%	6	9	4	0	2	4	1	5	11-12	92%	8-16	50%	1-4	25%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	28.1	6	43%	8	1	0	0	3	2	3	5	2-3	67%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	24.7	3	25%	2	1	0	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-3	33%
Jerami Grant #9 · SF · 6'7" 213 · 27	24.6	7	88%	0	1	3	0	3	4	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-1	100%

Torrey Craig #3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 30	23.3	3	75%	2	1	1	1	0	3	0	2	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 22	19.9	15	75%	4	0	0	0	2	5	2	2	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	2-4	50%
PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	14.1	3	38%	1	1	1	1	0	1	0	1	1-5	20%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 25	13.0	9	90%	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Mason Plumlee #7 · C · 7'0" 254 · 31	9.4	2	50%	1	4	0	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Troy Daniels #30 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29	DNP - Coach's Decision
Keita Bates-Diop #6 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyler Cook #25 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 23	INACTIVE
Noah Vonleh #32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 25	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fracture
Will Barton #5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	56%	31	22	12	4	19	22	7	24	25-33	76%	27-50	54%	8-24	33%

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9 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	44.2	25	57%	6	4	2	2	5	1	0	6	7-8	88%	6-10	60%	2-9	22%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	38.6	30	58%	6	9	4	0	2	4	1	5	11-12	92%	8-16	50%	1-4	25%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	28.1	6	43%	8	1	0	0	3	2	3	5	2-3	67%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	24.7	3	25%	2	1	0	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-3	33%
Jerami Grant #9 · SF · 6'7" 213 · 27	24.6	7	88%	0	1	3	0	3	4	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-1	100%

Torrey Craig #3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 30	23.3	3	75%	2	1	1	1	0	3	0	2	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 22	19.9	15	75%	4	0	0	0	2	5	2	2	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	2-4	50%
PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	14.1	3	38%	1	1	1	1	0	1	0	1	1-5	20%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 25	13.0	9	90%	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Mason Plumlee #7 · C · 7'0" 254 · 31	9.4	2	50%	1	4	0	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Troy Daniels #30 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29	DNP - Coach's Decision
Keita Bates-Diop #6 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyler Cook #25 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 23	INACTIVE
Noah Vonleh #32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 25	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fracture
Will Barton #5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	56%	31	22	12	4	19	22	7	24	25-33	76%	27-50	54%	8-24	33%

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5 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 28	39.3	31	60%	9	2	1	2	1	4	2	7	7-7	100%	9-19	47%	2-4	50%
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 36	36.4	26	62%	11	4	0	2	6	2	2	9	3-4	75%	7-12	58%	3-8	38%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #1 · PG · 6'5" 204 · 28	31.4	11	79%	2	1	1	1	2	4	0	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	3-5	60%
Danny Green #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 33	28.3	11	42%	5	1	3	1	1	1	3	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	3-10	30%
JaVale McGee #7 · C · 7'0" 270 · 33	11.8	3	50%	5	2	0	0	2	2	3	2	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-

Alex Caruso #4 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 27	28.8	9	64%	2	2	2	1	1	3	0	2	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	1-4	25%
Rajon Rondo #9 · PG · 6'1" 186 · 35	21.1	3	50%	4	9	1	0	5	3	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Kyle Kuzma #0 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 25	20.9	8	50%	3	1	0	0	4	4	1	2	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Dwight Howard #39 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	12.8	3	150%	2	0	1	0	0	5	0	2	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 31	9.2	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jared Dudley #10 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 35	DNP - Coach's Decision
Quinn Cook #28 · PG · 6'2" 179 · 27	DNP - Coach's Decision
JR Smith #21 · SG · 6'6" 225 · 35	DNP - Coach's Decision
Kostas Antetokounmpo #37 · PF · 6'11" 195 · 23	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Talen Horton-Tucker #5 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 20	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Devontae Cacok #12 · PF · 6'7" 240 · 24	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Dion Waiters #18 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Groin; Sore left groin
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	57%	44	23	9	7	23	30	13	31	18-19	95%	24-47	51%	13-36	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.12 56.0%

LAL

1.14 57.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

15

25

60%

LAL

13

20

65%

Midrange

DEN

12

25

48%

LAL

11

27

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

8

12.0

24

33%

50%

LAL

13

19.5

36

36%

54%

Free Throws

DEN

25

33

76%

LAL

18

19

95%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	30	58%	15.0 / 26
J. Murray	25	57%	12.5 / 22
M. Porter	15	75%	7.5 / 10
M. Morris	9	90%	4.5 / 5
J. Grant	7	88%	3.5 / 4
P. Millsap	6	43%	3.0 / 7
G. Harris	3	25%	1.5 / 6
T. Craig	3	75%	1.5 / 2
P. Dozier	3	38%	1.5 / 4
M. Plumlee	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Davis	31	60%	15.5 / 26
L. James	26	62%	13.0 / 21
K. Caldwell-Pope	11	79%	5.5 / 7
D. Green	11	42%	5.5 / 13
A. Caruso	9	64%	4.5 / 7
K. Kuzma	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. McGee	3	50%	1.5 / 3
R. Rondo	3	50%	1.5 / 3
D. Howard	3	150%	1.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 113.1 2 116.2	DEN 106.2 LAL 109.4 +3.2
Pace	15 94.5 10 97.1	DEN 102.8 +11.9 LAL 90.8
Avg. Poss. Time	18 15.3 17 15.3	DEN 14.0 −1.8 LAL 15.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	4 54.5% 2 56.1%	DEN 52.7% +0.3% LAL 52.4%
TO %	10 13.9% 13 14.9%	DEN 19.2% −1.6% LAL 20.8%
ORB %	3 23.0% 2 26.1%	DEN 18.4% LAL 35.1% +16.7%
FTrt	12 26.0 4 29.3	DEN 44.6 +21.7 LAL 22.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 58.0% 5 62.4%	DEN 62.9% +0.7% LAL 62.2%
STL %	12 6.5% 3 8.3%	DEN 12.4% +3.0% LAL 9.4%
BLK %	9 8.0% 3 10.9%	DEN 8.5% LAL 14.0% +5.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 56.6% 2 58.0%	DEN 56.0% LAL 57.1% +1.1%
Rim FG%	8 59.3% 1 69.2%	DEN 60.0% LAL 65.0% +5.0%
Mid FG%	2 46.6% 11 41.3%	DEN 48.0% +7.3% LAL 40.7%
3P %	3 37.9% 12 35.4%	DEN 33.3% LAL 36.1% +2.8%
FT %	3 81.6% 13 75.8%	DEN 75.8% LAL 94.7% +18.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 30.7% 1 35.7%	DEN 33.8% +9.7% LAL 24.1%
Mid Att. %	13 30.1% 4 23.6%	DEN 33.8% LAL 32.5% −1.3%
3P Att. %	13 39.2% 11 40.7%	DEN 32.4% LAL 43.4% +10.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.

Game Totals	DEN	LAL
Possessions	97	96
Possession Minutes	22.7	25.4
Points	103	105
Rebounds	31	44
Assists	22	23
Steals	12	9
Blocks	4	7
Turnovers (Team)	19 (2)	23 (1)
Fouls	22	30
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (6)	13 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	24 (5)	31 (1)
Field Goals	35-74	37-83
At-the-Rim FG	15-25	13-20
Midrange FG	12-25	11-27
2-Point FG	27-50	24-47
3-Point FG	8-24	13-36
Free Throws	25-33	18-19
Fast Break Pts	5	8
2nd Chance Pts	12	16
Points in Paint	38	34
Pts off Turnovers	19	15
Bench Points	32	23
Biggest Lead	5	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg