Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	9	Nuggets	33%	105	107	108.1	99	104.9
	3	Lakers	67%	112	117	118.2	99	93.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jerami Grant #9 · SF · 6'7" 213 · 27	45.6	20	50%	9	1	1	1	1	4	0	9	4-4	100%	5-10	50%	2-8	25%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	43.1	19	50%	4	8	1	0	5	3	2	2	5-5	100%	7-13	54%	0-4	0%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	30.7	13	50%	4	1	0	0	1	3	1	3	10-11	91%	0-3	0%	1-5	20%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	29.9	20	67%	7	5	3	0	1	5	2	5	1-1	100%	8-12	67%	1-4	25%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	13.2	3	38%	2	1	0	0	3	4	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%

Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 25	28.0	10	50%	2	7	0	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Mason Plumlee #7 · C · 7'0" 254 · 31	18.1	7	50%	5	0	0	0	0	2	4	1	1-1	100%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 22	17.1	10	63%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-2	0%	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Torrey Craig #3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 30	7.5	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	6.8	5	83%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Troy Daniels #30 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29	DNP - Coach's Decision
Keita Bates-Diop #6 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyler Cook #25 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 23	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Noah Vonleh #32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 25	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fracture
Will Barton #5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	53%	36	23	5	2	11	25	9	27	23-26	88%	30-60	50%	8-30	27%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

9 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jerami Grant #9 · SF · 6'7" 213 · 27	45.6	20	50%	9	1	1	1	1	4	0	9	4-4	100%	5-10	50%	2-8	25%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	43.1	19	50%	4	8	1	0	5	3	2	2	5-5	100%	7-13	54%	0-4	0%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	30.7	13	50%	4	1	0	0	1	3	1	3	10-11	91%	0-3	0%	1-5	20%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	29.9	20	67%	7	5	3	0	1	5	2	5	1-1	100%	8-12	67%	1-4	25%
Gary Harris #14 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 26	13.2	3	38%	2	1	0	0	3	4	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-3	33%

Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 25	28.0	10	50%	2	7	0	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Mason Plumlee #7 · C · 7'0" 254 · 31	18.1	7	50%	5	0	0	0	0	2	4	1	1-1	100%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · PF · 6'10" 218 · 22	17.1	10	63%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-2	0%	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Torrey Craig #3 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 30	7.5	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
PJ Dozier #35 · PG · 6'6" 205 · 24	6.8	5	83%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Bol Bol #10 · C · 7'2" 208 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Troy Daniels #30 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29	DNP - Coach's Decision
Keita Bates-Diop #6 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyler Cook #25 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 23	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Noah Vonleh #32 · PF · 6'9" 245 · 25	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · SF · 6'9" 215 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Foot; Fracture
Will Barton #5 · SF · 6'6" 190 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	53%	36	23	5	2	11	25	9	27	23-26	88%	30-60	50%	8-30	27%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

3 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James #23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 36	40.0	38	68%	16	10	1	0	2	2	3	13	7-8	88%	14-21	67%	1-4	25%
Dwight Howard #39 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35	35.1	9	64%	9	0	0	2	2	5	2	7	3-6	50%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Anthony Davis #3 · PF · 6'10" 253 · 28	34.7	27	68%	5	3	2	1	1	3	0	5	9-9	100%	6-12	50%	2-4	50%
Danny Green #14 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 33	28.1	11	61%	0	2	0	2	0	1	0	0	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #1 · PG · 6'5" 204 · 28	26.4	2	50%	1	0	2	0	1	5	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%

Alex Caruso #4 · PG · 6'5" 186 · 27	25.6	11	79%	2	4	1	1	3	2	0	2	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	0-1	0%
Kyle Kuzma #0 · PF · 6'8" 221 · 25	20.7	8	57%	3	1	0	1	0	3	0	3	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Markieff Morris #88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 31	14.2	3	50%	3	0	0	1	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Rajon Rondo #9 · PG · 6'1" 186 · 35	12.8	8	80%	3	4	0	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
JaVale McGee #7 · C · 7'0" 270 · 33	2.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Quinn Cook #28 · PG · 6'2" 179 · 28	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jared Dudley #10 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 35	DNP - Coach's Decision
JR Smith #21 · SG · 6'6" 225 · 35	DNP - Coach's Decision
Kostas Antetokounmpo #37 · PF · 6'11" 195 · 23	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Talen Horton-Tucker #5 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 20	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Devontae Cacok #12 · PF · 6'7" 240 · 24	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Dion Waiters #18 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Sore left groin
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	64%	43	24	6	8	13	26	5	38	24-29	83%	33-53	62%	9-24	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAL

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.05 52.5%

LAL

1.27 63.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

20

35

57%

LAL

18

25

72%

Midrange

DEN

10

25

40%

LAL

15

28

54%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

8

12.0

30

27%

40%

LAL

9

13.5

24

38%

56%

Free Throws

DEN

23

26

88%

LAL

24

29

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Grant	20	50%	10.0 / 20
N. Jokić	20	67%	10.0 / 15
J. Murray	19	50%	9.5 / 19
P. Millsap	13	50%	6.5 / 13
M. Morris	10	50%	5.0 / 10
M. Porter	10	63%	5.0 / 8
M. Plumlee	7	50%	3.5 / 7
P. Dozier	5	83%	2.5 / 3
G. Harris	3	38%	1.5 / 4
T. Craig	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	38	68%	19.0 / 28
A. Davis	27	68%	13.5 / 20
D. Green	11	61%	5.5 / 9
A. Caruso	11	79%	5.5 / 7
D. Howard	9	64%	4.5 / 7
K. Kuzma	8	57%	4.0 / 7
R. Rondo	8	80%	4.0 / 5
M. Morris	3	50%	1.5 / 3
K. Caldwell-Pope	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. McGee	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 113.1 2 116.2	DEN 108.1 LAL 118.2 +10.1
Pace	15 94.5 10 97.1	DEN 104.9 +11.1 LAL 93.7
Avg. Poss. Time	18 15.3 17 15.3	DEN 13.7 −1.6 LAL 15.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	4 54.5% 2 56.1%	DEN 46.7% LAL 60.4% +13.7%
TO %	10 13.9% 13 14.9%	DEN 9.8% −3.7% LAL 13.5%
ORB %	3 23.0% 2 26.1%	DEN 19.1% +3.5% LAL 15.6%
FTrt	12 26.0 4 29.3	DEN 28.9 LAL 37.7 +8.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 58.0% 5 62.4%	DEN 60.5% +3.4% LAL 57.1%
STL %	12 6.5% 3 8.3%	DEN 5.1% LAL 6.1% +1.0%
BLK %	9 8.0% 3 10.9%	DEN 3.8% LAL 13.3% +9.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 56.6% 2 58.0%	DEN 52.5% LAL 63.6% +11.1%
Rim FG%	8 59.3% 1 69.2%	DEN 57.1% LAL 72.0% +14.9%
Mid FG%	2 46.6% 11 41.3%	DEN 40.0% LAL 53.6% +13.6%
3P %	3 37.9% 12 35.4%	DEN 26.7% LAL 37.5% +10.8%
FT %	3 81.6% 13 75.8%	DEN 88.5% +5.7% LAL 82.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 30.7% 1 35.7%	DEN 38.9% +6.4% LAL 32.5%
Mid Att. %	13 30.1% 4 23.6%	DEN 27.8% −8.6% LAL 36.4%
3P Att. %	13 39.2% 11 40.7%	DEN 33.3% +2.2% LAL 31.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.

Game Totals	DEN	LAL
Possessions	99	99
Possession Minutes	22.7	25.3
Points	107	117
Rebounds	36	43
Assists	23	24
Steals	5	6
Blocks	2	8
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	13 (1)
Fouls	25	26
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (5)	5 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (5)	38 (2)
Field Goals	38-90	42-77
At-the-Rim FG	20-35	18-25
Midrange FG	10-25	15-28
2-Point FG	30-60	33-53
3-Point FG	8-30	9-24
Free Throws	23-26	24-29
Fast Break Pts	15	18
2nd Chance Pts	16	3
Points in Paint	50	52
Pts off Turnovers	22	11
Bench Points	32	30
Biggest Lead	5	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg