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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
October 6, 2020
9:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Lakers46%108102
8Heat54%11096
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 27.6
41.5
35.5
22
62%
9
4
1
1
4
2
0
9
4-4
100%
6-12
7-13
50%
54%
2-4
50%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 35.8
38.6
37.8
28
66%
12
8
1
1
0
6
2
10
10-12
83%
6-11
8-13
55%
56%
2-5
40%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.6
31.6
29.8
15
63%
3
5
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
51%
3-8
38%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 33.3
20.8
20.5
10
63%
2
1
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
45%
2-6
33%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.8
7.8
15.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
61%
0-0
-
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 31.1
30.0
19.8
9
48%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
3-3
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
2-7
29%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 34.6
28.2
25.4
2
14%
7
5
1
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
46%
0-2
0%
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 26.6
22.3
24.4
7
70%
2
0
0
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
49%
1-2
50%
Kyle Kuzma
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.2
19.0
22.1
9
65%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
2-5
100%
52%
2-5
40%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 35.1
2.6
0
0-0
41%
Talen Horton-Tucker
G · 6'4" 235 · 19.9
2.3
0
0-0
48%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 32.7
0.5
0
0-0
64%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 35.2
Devontae Cacok
F-C · 6'7" 240 · 24.0
Kostas Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 195 · 22.9
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.8
Quinn Cook
G · 6'2" 179 · 27.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 31.1
43.5
41.3
22
55%
10
9
3
2
1
3
3
7
6-7
86%
8-14
7-14
57%
48%
0-3
0%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 20.7
37.3
36.3
21
53%
7
3
1
1
0
3
1
6
2-4
50%
5-11
4-8
45%
49%
3-7
43%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 30.3
34.6
30.2
8
51%
7
2
1
1
1
0
1
6
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
53%
2-7
29%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 23.2
33.4
11.8
15
74%
7
1
1
0
0
3
2
5
3-5
60%
6-8
2-4
75%
54%
0-0
-
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.5
32.7
31.6
17
88%
1
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
6-6
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
64%
3-6
50%
Kendrick Nunn
G · 6'3" 193 · 25.2
25.9
19.6
6
27%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
49%
2-6
33%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 36.7
20.1
20.3
3
50%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
59%
1-1
100%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 29.5
12.4
26.7
4
41%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
56%
0-2
0%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.6
9.3
0
1-1
58%
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 29.6
4.7
0
0-0
43%
Chris Silva
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.0
3.5
0
0-1
53%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 23.6
1.2
0
0-0
63%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 40.3
0.9
0
0-0
44%
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.3
KZ Okpala
F · 6'9" 210 · 21.4
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 34.4
Kyle Alexander
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.