FinalWin Prob.pScore
343%108
106
657%110
93
ORTG#PossPace
LAL logo LAL
112.89493.0
MIA logo MIA
100.09394.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventLALMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.106
100%
93
0%
Q4 - 0:15.0HeatSolomon Hill makes three point jump shot106
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0LakersDwight Howard makes three point jump shot (Alex Caruso assists)106
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.3HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point putback layup103
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.3HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound103
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.2HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot103
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.6LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)103
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound103
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:48.9LakersQuinn Cook misses three point pullup jump shot103
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.7HeatSolomon Hill makes two point driving floating jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)103
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 1:06HeatHeat defensive rebound103
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:08LakersJared Dudley misses three point jump shot103
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:27HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point running pullup jump shot (Solomon Hill assists)103
99.9%
86
0.1%
Q4 - 1:30LakersRajon Rondo turnover (lost ball) (Solomon Hill steals)103
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:47HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point cutting layup (Duncan Robinson assists)103
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 2:05LakersLeBron James makes two point driving layup103
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:08LakersLeBron James offensive rebound101
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:10LakersLeBron James misses three point stepback jump shot101
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:24HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Take) (LeBron James draws the foul)101
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:38HeatTyler Herro makes three point running pullup jump shot101
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:44HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound101
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:45LakersRajon Rondo misses two point driving floating bank jump shot101
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:08LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound101
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:09HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot101
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:15LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)101
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:23LakersLeBron James makes two point pullup jump shot101
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:46HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)99
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:49LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)99
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 3:59HeatDuncan Robinson makes technical free throw 1 of 199
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 3:59LakersLeBron James technical foul99
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 3:59LakersLeBron James makes two point cutting dunk (Alex Caruso assists)99
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 4:14HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)97
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 4:38LakersLeBron James turnover (out of bounds bad pass)97
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 4:41HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Rajon Rondo steals)97
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 4:48HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound97
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 4:49LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot97
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 5:10HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Tyler Herro assists)97
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 5:26LakersLeBron James makes three point jump shot (Rajon Rondo assists)97
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 5:43HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Duncan Robinson assists)94
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 5:58LakersLakers turnover (shot clock violation)94
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 5:59LakersLeBron James offensive rebound94
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 5:59LakersKelly Olynyk blocks Anthony Davis's two point cutting layup94
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 6:12HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (LeBron James draws the foul)94
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 6:25HeatKelly Olynyk makes two point putback layup94
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 6:25HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound94
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 6:26HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point tip layup94
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 6:26HeatKelly Olynyk offensive rebound94
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 6:27HeatGoran Dragic misses three point stepback jump shot94
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 6:45HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound94
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 6:46LakersAnthony Davis misses two point turnaround jump shot94
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 6:51LakersAnthony Davis offensive rebound94
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 6:52LakersKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot94
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 7:10LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound94
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 7:11HeatBam Adebayo misses two point reverse layup94
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 7:36LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 294
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 7:36LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 293
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 7:36HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)92
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 7:44LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound92
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 7:45HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point driving reverse layup92
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 8:10LakersAnthony Davis makes two point tip layup92
99.6%
69
0.4%
Q4 - 8:10LakersAnthony Davis offensive rebound90
99.4%
69
0.6%
Q4 - 8:11LakersDanny Green misses two point driving floating jump shot90
99.3%
69
0.7%
Q4 - 8:38HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)90
99.5%
69
0.5%
Q4 - 8:46HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound90
99.6%
67
0.4%
Q4 - 8:47LakersKyle Kuzma misses two point driving dunk90
99.6%
67
0.4%
Q4 - 9:07HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)90
99.5%
67
0.5%
Q4 - 9:21LakersDanny Green makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)90
99.6%
65
0.4%
Q4 - 9:35HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 287
99.4%
65
0.6%
Q4 - 9:35HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 287
99.5%
64
0.5%
Q4 - 9:35LakersKyle Kuzma shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)87
99.5%
63
0.5%
Q4 - 9:39HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound87
99.5%
63
0.5%
Q4 - 9:40LakersRajon Rondo misses two point driving layup87
99.6%
63
0.4%
Q4 - 9:57LakersLeBron James defensive rebound87
99.6%
63
0.4%
Q4 - 9:58HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving floating bank jump shot87
99.6%
63
0.4%
Q4 - 10:18LakersAnthony Davis turnover (double dribble)87
99.4%
63
0.6%
Q4 - 10:18LakersAnthony Davis offensive rebound87
99.5%
63
0.5%
Q4 - 10:20LakersBam Adebayo blocks Anthony Davis's two point turnaround jump shot87
99.4%
63
0.6%
Q4 - 10:33HeatKelly Olynyk personal foul (LeBron James draws the foul)87
99.5%
63
0.5%
Q4 - 10:56HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Goran Dragic assists)87
99.5%
63
0.5%
Q4 - 11:09HeatKelly Olynyk defensive rebound87
99.5%
61
0.5%
Q4 - 11:10LakersMarkieff Morris misses two point pullup jump shot87
99.5%
61
0.5%
Q4 - 11:27HeatKelly Olynyk makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)87
99.6%
61
0.4%
Q4 - 11:36HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound87
99.7%
58
0.3%
Q4 - 11:39LakersLeBron James misses two point jump shot87
99.7%
58
0.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.87
99.8%
58
0.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound87
99.7%
58
0.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatKelly Olynyk misses two point turnaround jump shot87
99.8%
58
0.2%
Q3 - 0:16.4HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound87
99.6%
58
0.4%
Q3 - 0:18.6LakersBam Adebayo blocks Alex Caruso's two point cutting dunk87
99.6%
58
0.4%
Q3 - 0:33.8HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 287
99.7%
58
0.3%
Q3 - 0:33.8HeatGoran Dragic misses regular free throw 1 of 287
99.7%
57
0.3%
Q3 - 0:33.8LakersLeBron James personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)87
99.7%
57
0.3%
Q3 - 0:35.1HeatGoran Dragic offensive rebound87
99.7%
57
0.3%
Q3 - 0:36.2HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot87
99.7%
57
0.3%
Q3 - 0:48.1LakersRajon Rondo makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)87
99.7%
57
0.3%
Q3 - 1:10HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)84
99.4%
57
0.6%
Q3 - 1:23HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound84
99.6%
54
0.4%
Q3 - 1:24LakersLeBron James misses three point jump shot84
99.6%
54
0.4%
Q3 - 1:49HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving finger roll layup84
99.7%
54
0.3%
Q3 - 2:01LakersKyle Kuzma turnover84
99.5%
52
0.5%
Q3 - 2:01HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)84
99.6%
52
0.4%
Q3 - 2:10HeatJae Crowder personal foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)82
99.5%
52
0.5%
Q3 - 2:19HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving floating jump shot82
99.5%
52
0.5%
Q3 - 2:28HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound82
99.6%
50
0.4%
Q3 - 2:29LakersLeBron James misses three point stepback jump shot82
99.6%
50
0.4%
Q3 - 2:52HeatJae Crowder makes regular free throw 2 of 282
99.7%
50
0.3%
Q3 - 2:52HeatJae Crowder makes regular free throw 1 of 282
99.7%
49
0.3%
Q3 - 2:52LakersKyle Kuzma shooting foul (Jae Crowder draws the foul)82
99.7%
48
0.3%
Q3 - 3:01LakersRajon Rondo turnover (bad pass) (Goran Dragic steals)82
99.6%
48
0.4%
Q3 - 3:14HeatJae Crowder makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)82
99.7%
48
0.3%
Q3 - 3:29LakersRajon Rondo makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)82
99.7%
46
0.3%
Q3 - 3:53HeatGoran Dragic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)79
99.6%
46
0.4%
Q3 - 4:12LakersLeBron James makes two point pullup jump shot79
99.4%
46
0.6%
Q3 - 4:33LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound77
99.4%
46
0.6%
Q3 - 4:34HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot77
99.3%
46
0.7%
Q3 - 4:47LakersKyle Kuzma makes two point cutting layup (Anthony Davis assists)77
99.2%
46
0.8%
Q3 - 4:54LakersLeBron James defensive rebound75
99.1%
46
0.9%
Q3 - 4:55HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot75
99.1%
46
0.9%
Q3 - 5:03HeatJae Crowder offensive rebound75
98.7%
46
1.3%
Q3 - 5:04HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot75
98.8%
46
1.2%
Q3 - 5:25LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point cutting layup (LeBron James assists)75
98.7%
46
1.3%
Q3 - 5:46HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)73
98.5%
46
1.5%
Q3 - 5:50LakersRajon Rondo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)73
98.7%
44
1.3%
Q3 - 5:52LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound73
98.9%
44
1.1%
Q3 - 5:53HeatBam Adebayo misses two point layup73
98.8%
44
1.2%
Q3 - 6:11LakersDanny Green makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Rajon Rondo assists)73
98.4%
44
1.6%
Q3 - 6:19HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)71
98.1%
44
1.9%
Q3 - 6:38HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 171
98.1%
44
1.9%
Q3 - 6:38LakersAnthony Davis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)71
98.2%
43
1.8%
Q3 - 6:46HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound71
98.6%
41
1.4%
Q3 - 6:47LakersRajon Rondo misses three point jump shot71
98.7%
41
1.3%
Q3 - 7:02HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot71
98.6%
41
1.4%
Q3 - 7:18HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound71
98.8%
39
1.2%
Q3 - 7:19LakersAlex Caruso misses three point jump shot71
98.9%
39
1.1%
Q3 - 7:35LakersLeBron James defensive rebound71
99.0%
39
1.0%
Q3 - 7:36HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot71
98.9%
39
1.1%
Q3 - 7:44LakersLeBron James makes two point cutting layup (Alex Caruso assists)71
98.8%
39
1.2%
Q3 - 7:52LakersDanny Green defensive rebound69
98.6%
39
1.4%
Q3 - 7:53HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot69
98.6%
39
1.4%
Q3 - 8:05LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)69
98.2%
39
1.8%
Q3 - 8:05HeatHeat defensive rebound69
98.2%
39
1.8%
Q3 - 8:06LakersAnthony Davis misses two point driving floating bank jump shot69
98.3%
39
1.7%
Q3 - 8:25HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk69
98.5%
39
1.5%
Q3 - 8:34HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound69
98.7%
37
1.3%
Q3 - 8:35LakersDanny Green misses three point jump shot69
98.8%
37
1.2%
Q3 - 8:47HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds lost ball)69
98.9%
37
1.1%
Q3 - 8:57LakersAlex Caruso turnover (offensive foul)69
98.7%
37
1.3%
Q3 - 8:57LakersAlex Caruso offensive foul (Charge) (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)69
98.9%
37
1.1%
Q3 - 9:17LakersLakers defensive rebound69
98.7%
37
1.3%
Q3 - 9:18HeatJae Crowder misses two point jump shot69
98.6%
37
1.4%
Q3 - 9:29LakersDanny Green makes three point jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)69
98.5%
37
1.5%
Q3 - 9:52LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound66
98.1%
37
1.9%
Q3 - 9:53HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot66
98.0%
37
2.0%
Q3 - 10:02HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound66
97.4%
37
2.6%
Q3 - 10:03LakersAlex Caruso misses two point driving layup66
97.5%
37
2.5%
Q3 - 10:20HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 266
97.8%
37
2.2%
Q3 - 10:20HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 266
97.8%
36
2.2%
Q3 - 10:20LakersAnthony Davis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)66
97.6%
36
2.4%
Q3 - 10:29HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound66
97.7%
36
2.3%
Q3 - 10:29LakersLeBron James misses regular free throw 1 of 166
97.8%
36
2.2%
Q3 - 10:29HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)66
97.9%
36
2.1%
Q3 - 10:34HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Alex Caruso steals)64
97.5%
36
2.5%
Q3 - 10:50HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound64
97.0%
36
3.0%
Q3 - 10:51LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot64
97.2%
36
2.8%
Q3 - 11:07LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound64
97.1%
36
2.9%
Q3 - 11:08HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating bank jump shot64
97.0%
36
3.0%
Q3 - 11:25HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound64
96.7%
36
3.3%
Q3 - 11:26LakersAnthony Davis misses three point jump shot64
96.9%
36
3.1%
Q3 - 11:40LakersDanny Green defensive rebound64
97.1%
36
2.9%
Q3 - 11:44HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot64
97.0%
36
3.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.64
96.7%
36
3.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0LakersLakers offensive rebound64
97.2%
36
2.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0LakersAnthony Davis misses three point jump shot64
96.9%
36
3.1%
Q2 - 0:20.4HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)64
96.6%
36
3.4%
Q2 - 0:36.7HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound64
97.2%
34
2.8%
Q2 - 0:37.6LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot64
97.2%
34
2.8%
Q2 - 0:42.1LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound64
97.4%
34
2.6%
Q2 - 0:43.5HeatAnthony Davis blocks Kendrick Nunn's two point driving layup64
97.3%
34
2.7%
Q2 - 0:49.6LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (LeBron James assists)64
97.2%
34
2.8%
Q2 - 0:55.0LakersLakers offensive rebound61
96.2%
34
3.8%
Q2 - 0:55.0LakersJimmy Butler blocks LeBron James's two point running layup61
96.0%
34
4.0%
Q2 - 0:59.4HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (bad pass) (LeBron James steals)61
96.2%
34
3.8%
Q2 - 1:13LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Rajon Rondo assists)61
95.5%
34
4.5%
Q2 - 1:32LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound58
94.0%
34
6.0%
Q2 - 1:33HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving floating bank jump shot58
93.8%
34
6.2%
Q2 - 1:57LakersAlex Caruso makes two point running layup (LeBron James assists)58
93.5%
34
6.5%
Q2 - 2:01LakersLeBron James defensive rebound56
91.7%
34
8.3%
Q2 - 2:02HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot56
91.4%
34
8.6%
Q2 - 2:16LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point putback layup56
90.8%
34
9.2%
Q2 - 2:17LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope offensive rebound54
89.7%
34
10.3%
Q2 - 2:18LakersLeBron James misses two point tip layup54
88.9%
34
11.1%
Q2 - 2:18LakersLeBron James offensive rebound54
89.7%
34
10.3%
Q2 - 2:19LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point running layup54
88.9%
34
11.1%
Q2 - 2:22LakersRajon Rondo defensive rebound54
89.7%
34
10.3%
Q2 - 2:24HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving bank jump shot54
89.4%
34
10.6%
Q2 - 2:36HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound54
88.6%
34
11.4%
Q2 - 2:36LakersAnthony Davis misses regular free throw 1 of 154
88.7%
34
11.3%
Q2 - 2:36HeatAndre Iguodala shooting foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)54
89.6%
34
10.4%
Q2 - 2:37LakersLakers offensive rebound52
87.3%
34
12.7%
Q2 - 2:39LakersAnthony Davis misses regular free throw 2 of 252
86.1%
34
13.9%
Q2 - 2:39LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 252
87.1%
34
12.9%
Q2 - 2:39HeatJae Crowder personal foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)51
86.8%
34
13.2%
Q2 - 2:55LakersLeBron James defensive rebound51
85.9%
34
14.1%
Q2 - 2:57HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 251
85.7%
34
14.3%
Q2 - 2:57HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 251
84.7%
34
15.3%
Q2 - 2:57LakersAlex Caruso personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)51
83.6%
34
16.4%
Q2 - 3:05LakersRajon Rondo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)51
82.7%
34
17.3%
Q2 - 3:15LakersRajon Rondo defensive rebound51
84.5%
34
15.5%
Q2 - 3:16HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot51
84.0%
34
16.0%
Q2 - 3:29HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound51
82.8%
34
17.2%
Q2 - 3:30LakersAnthony Davis misses two point turnaround hook shot51
83.4%
34
16.6%
Q2 - 3:40LakersAlex Caruso defensive rebound51
84.6%
34
15.4%
Q2 - 3:40HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 151
84.3%
34
15.7%
Q2 - 3:40LakersLeBron James shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)51
83.2%
34
16.8%
Q2 - 4:01LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 251
84.9%
32
15.1%
Q2 - 4:01LakersAnthony Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 250
84.7%
32
15.3%
Q2 - 4:01HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)49
84.4%
32
15.6%
Q2 - 4:03HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (bad pass)49
83.4%
32
16.6%
Q2 - 4:19LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 1 of 149
81.9%
32
18.1%
Q2 - 4:19HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)48
81.6%
32
18.4%
Q2 - 4:26LakersAlex Caruso defensive rebound46
78.3%
32
21.7%
Q2 - 4:27HeatAnthony Davis blocks Kendrick Nunn's two point driving layup46
77.7%
32
22.3%
Q2 - 4:39LakersDanny Green personal foul (Jae Crowder draws the foul)46
76.4%
32
23.6%
Q2 - 4:45LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (offensive foul)46
76.4%
32
23.6%
Q2 - 4:45LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope offensive foul (Charge) (Jae Crowder draws the foul)46
78.4%
32
21.6%
Q2 - 5:00HeatJae Crowder makes two point driving layup (Jimmy Butler assists)46
78.4%
32
21.6%
Q2 - 5:12LakersAnthony Davis makes two point floating jump shot46
79.4%
30
20.6%
Q2 - 5:22HeatJae Crowder makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)44
77.9%
30
22.1%
Q2 - 5:31LakersRajon Rondo makes two point driving layup44
81.1%
27
18.9%
Q2 - 5:53HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)42
79.7%
27
20.3%
Q2 - 5:54HeatHeat offensive rebound42
77.6%
27
22.4%
Q2 - 5:55HeatDanny Green blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup42
79.1%
27
20.9%
Q2 - 6:18LakersRajon Rondo makes two point driving layup42
76.8%
27
23.2%
Q2 - 6:23LakersRajon Rondo defensive rebound40
75.2%
27
24.8%
Q2 - 6:24HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot40
74.5%
27
25.5%
Q2 - 6:26HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound40
72.7%
27
27.3%
Q2 - 6:28HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot40
74.5%
27
25.5%
Q2 - 6:36HeatJae Crowder defensive rebound40
72.8%
27
27.2%
Q2 - 6:40LakersDanny Green misses three point jump shot40
73.5%
27
26.5%
Q2 - 6:50LakersDanny Green offensive rebound40
75.3%
27
24.7%
Q2 - 6:51LakersAnthony Davis misses three point jump shot40
73.6%
27
26.4%
Q2 - 7:08HeatJae Crowder personal foul (LeBron James draws the foul)40
74.1%
27
25.9%
Q2 - 7:13LakersKyle Kuzma defensive rebound40
74.1%
27
25.9%
Q2 - 7:14HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot40
73.5%
27
26.5%
Q2 - 7:40LakersAlex Caruso makes two point tip layup40
72.0%
27
28.0%
Q2 - 7:40LakersAlex Caruso offensive rebound38
70.0%
27
30.0%
Q2 - 7:41LakersAlex Caruso misses two point driving floating jump shot38
68.4%
27
31.6%
Q2 - 7:57HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jae Crowder assists)38
70.0%
27
30.0%
Q2 - 8:11HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound38
71.5%
25
28.5%
Q2 - 8:12LakersMarkieff Morris misses three point jump shot38
72.2%
25
27.8%
Q2 - 8:25HeatBam Adebayo turnover (traveling)38
73.7%
25
26.3%
Q2 - 8:41LakersMarkieff Morris makes three point jump shot (Danny Green assists)38
71.6%
25
28.4%
Q2 - 8:53LakersLakers defensive rebound35
67.4%
25
32.6%
Q2 - 8:54HeatGoran Dragic misses two point layup35
66.7%
25
33.3%
Q2 - 9:07LakersMarkieff Morris personal foul (Take) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)35
64.2%
25
35.8%
Q2 - 9:08HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound35
64.2%
25
35.8%
Q2 - 9:09LakersDanny Green misses two point driving bank jump shot35
64.9%
25
35.1%
Q2 - 9:29HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)35
66.6%
25
33.4%
Q2 - 9:44HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound35
68.7%
23
31.3%
Q2 - 9:45LakersMarkieff Morris misses two point tip layup35
69.4%
23
30.6%
Q2 - 9:46LakersMarkieff Morris offensive rebound35
70.9%
23
29.1%
Q2 - 9:46LakersLeBron James misses regular free throw 2 of 235
69.0%
23
31.0%
Q2 - 9:46LakersLeBron James misses regular free throw 1 of 235
70.2%
23
29.8%
Q2 - 9:46HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)35
71.6%
23
28.4%
Q2 - 9:50LakersLeBron James defensive rebound35
70.9%
23
29.1%
Q2 - 9:51HeatJae Crowder misses two point driving layup35
70.2%
23
29.8%
Q2 - 10:00LakersLeBron James makes two point driving layup35
68.7%
23
31.3%
Q2 - 10:11HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Markieff Morris draws the foul)33
66.1%
23
33.9%
Q2 - 10:15LakersDanny Green defensive rebound33
66.1%
23
33.9%
Q2 - 10:16HeatJimmy Butler misses two point tip layup33
65.3%
23
34.7%
Q2 - 10:16HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound33
63.7%
23
36.3%
Q2 - 10:17HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point driving layup33
65.3%
23
34.7%
Q2 - 10:30HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound33
63.7%
23
36.3%
Q2 - 10:31HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot33
65.4%
23
34.6%
Q2 - 10:40LakersRajon Rondo personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)33
63.7%
23
36.3%
Q2 - 10:41HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound33
63.7%
23
36.3%
Q2 - 10:42HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot33
65.4%
23
34.6%
Q2 - 11:08LakersRajon Rondo makes three point pullup jump shot33
63.1%
23
36.9%
Q2 - 11:16HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 230
58.5%
23
41.5%
Q2 - 11:16HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 230
58.8%
22
41.2%
Q2 - 11:16LakersLeBron James shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)30
56.9%
22
43.1%
Q2 - 11:27LakersRajon Rondo makes two point driving finger roll layup30
58.7%
22
41.3%
Q2 - 11:44HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup (Jimmy Butler assists)28
56.3%
22
43.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.28
58.7%
20
41.3%
Q1 - 0:05.4LakersMarkieff Morris defensive rebound28
60.1%
20
39.9%
Q1 - 0:05.4HeatJae Crowder misses regular free throw 2 of 228
59.9%
20
40.1%
Q1 - 0:05.4HeatJae Crowder misses regular free throw 1 of 228
58.4%
20
41.6%
Q1 - 0:05.4LakersKyle Kuzma personal foul (Jae Crowder draws the foul)28
56.7%
20
43.3%
Q1 - 0:18.9HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound28
58.4%
20
41.6%
Q1 - 0:20.0LakersAlex Caruso misses three point jump shot28
58.9%
20
41.1%
Q1 - 0:39.8LakersLakers defensive rebound28
60.2%
20
39.8%
Q1 - 0:41.8HeatGoran Dragic misses three point stepback jump shot28
59.6%
20
40.4%
Q1 - 0:58.2LakersLeBron James makes regular free throw 1 of 128
58.4%
20
41.6%
Q1 - 0:58.2HeatJae Crowder shooting foul (LeBron James draws the foul)27
57.8%
20
42.2%
Q1 - 1:04LakersLeBron James defensive rebound25
53.4%
20
46.6%
Q1 - 1:04HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 225
53.2%
20
46.8%
Q1 - 1:04HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 225
51.7%
20
48.3%
Q1 - 1:04LakersAnthony Davis personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)25
52.3%
19
47.7%
Q1 - 1:09LakersMarkieff Morris personal foul (Andre Iguodala draws the foul)25
53.9%
19
46.1%
Q1 - 1:22LakersAnthony Davis makes two point stepback jump shot25
53.9%
19
46.1%
Q1 - 1:38HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)23
51.1%
19
48.9%
Q1 - 1:59LakersAnthony Davis makes two point alley-oop layup (LeBron James assists)23
56.1%
16
43.9%
Q1 - 2:17HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)21
53.2%
16
46.8%
Q1 - 2:20LakersRajon Rondo makes two point driving finger roll layup21
51.0%
16
49.0%
Q1 - 2:30LakersRajon Rondo defensive rebound19
48.7%
16
51.3%
Q1 - 2:31HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot19
48.1%
16
51.9%
Q1 - 2:57LakersAnthony Davis makes two point putback dunk19
46.6%
16
53.4%
Q1 - 3:00LakersAnthony Davis offensive rebound17
44.3%
16
55.7%
Q1 - 3:02LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot17
42.4%
16
57.6%
Q1 - 3:24HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot17
44.2%
16
55.8%
Q1 - 3:33HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound17
48.2%
13
51.8%
Q1 - 3:34LakersKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot17
49.0%
13
51.0%
Q1 - 3:52HeatTyler Herro turnover (offensive foul)17
50.7%
13
49.3%
Q1 - 3:52HeatTyler Herro offensive foul (Charge) (LeBron James draws the foul)17
48.2%
13
51.8%
Q1 - 4:12LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point running layup17
48.0%
13
52.0%
Q1 - 4:15HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)15
46.2%
13
53.8%
Q1 - 4:25LakersRajon Rondo makes two point cutting layup (LeBron James assists)15
43.7%
13
56.3%
Q1 - 4:41LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound13
42.0%
13
58.0%
Q1 - 4:41HeatJae Crowder misses three point jump shot13
41.3%
13
58.7%
Q1 - 4:57HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound13
39.6%
13
60.4%
Q1 - 4:58LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot13
40.3%
13
59.7%
Q1 - 5:19HeatTyler Herro makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)13
41.8%
13
58.2%
Q1 - 5:44LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)13
43.6%
11
56.4%
Q1 - 5:58HeatJae Crowder makes regular free throw 3 of 313
45.8%
11
54.2%
Q1 - 5:58HeatJae Crowder makes regular free throw 2 of 313
46.2%
10
53.8%
Q1 - 5:58HeatJae Crowder makes regular free throw 1 of 313
46.7%
9
53.3%
Q1 - 5:58LakersDanny Green shooting foul (Jae Crowder draws the foul)13
47.2%
8
52.8%
Q1 - 6:21LakersLeBron James makes two point running layup13
49.3%
8
50.7%
Q1 - 6:26LakersLeBron James defensive rebound11
47.2%
8
52.8%
Q1 - 6:27HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot11
46.7%
8
53.3%
Q1 - 6:50LakersDanny Green makes three point jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)11
45.4%
8
54.6%
Q1 - 6:56LakersDanny Green offensive rebound8
41.5%
8
58.5%
Q1 - 6:57LakersDanny Green misses three point jump shot8
40.2%
8
59.8%
Q1 - 7:26HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)8
41.5%
8
58.5%
Q1 - 7:36LakersAnthony Davis turnover (lost ball) (Jae Crowder steals)8
44.9%
5
55.1%
Q1 - 7:55LakersAnthony Davis defensive rebound8
47.0%
5
53.0%
Q1 - 7:56HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot8
46.4%
5
53.6%
Q1 - 8:13LakersAnthony Davis turnover (offensive foul)8
45.0%
5
55.0%
Q1 - 8:13LakersAnthony Davis offensive foul (Charge) (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)8
47.0%
5
53.0%
Q1 - 8:17LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound8
47.0%
5
53.0%
Q1 - 8:18HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving reverse layup8
46.4%
5
53.6%
Q1 - 8:30HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound8
44.9%
5
55.1%
Q1 - 8:31LakersLeBron James misses three point jump shot8
45.6%
5
54.4%
Q1 - 8:43HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)8
47.0%
5
53.0%
Q1 - 8:55LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 2 of 28
44.9%
5
55.1%
Q1 - 8:55LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 1 of 27
44.6%
5
55.4%
Q1 - 8:55HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)6
44.2%
5
55.8%
Q1 - 9:08HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)6
43.2%
5
56.8%
Q1 - 9:21LakersLeBron James makes two point driving layup6
46.5%
2
53.5%
Q1 - 9:27LakersLeBron James defensive rebound4
45.1%
2
54.9%
Q1 - 9:28HeatAlex Caruso blocks Bam Adebayo's two point cutting layup4
44.4%
2
55.6%
Q1 - 9:40HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound4
42.9%
2
57.1%
Q1 - 9:42LakersDanny Green misses three point pullup jump shot4
43.6%
2
56.4%
Q1 - 9:47LakersLeBron James defensive rebound4
45.1%
2
54.9%
Q1 - 9:48HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot4
44.4%
2
55.6%
Q1 - 9:59LakersLeBron James makes two point running dunk (Alex Caruso assists)4
42.9%
2
57.1%
Q1 - 10:02HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Anthony Davis steals)2
41.2%
2
58.8%
Q1 - 10:15LakersLakers turnover (shot clock violation)2
39.3%
2
60.7%
Q1 - 10:15LakersLakers offensive rebound2
41.2%
2
58.8%
Q1 - 10:17LakersAnthony Davis misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot2
39.9%
2
60.1%
Q1 - 10:39HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)2
41.3%
2
58.7%
Q1 - 10:52HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound2
39.3%
2
60.7%
Q1 - 10:53LakersKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point pullup bank jump shot2
39.9%
2
60.1%
Q1 - 11:01LakersLeBron James defensive rebound2
41.1%
2
58.9%
Q1 - 11:02HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot2
40.5%
2
59.5%
Q1 - 11:10HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound2
39.3%
2
60.7%
Q1 - 11:11LakersAnthony Davis misses two point stepback jump shot2
39.8%
2
60.2%
Q1 - 11:25HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)2
41.1%
2
58.9%
Q1 - 11:48LakersAnthony Davis makes two point jump shot (LeBron James assists)2
42.8%
0
57.2%
Q1 - 12:00Anthony Davis vs. Bam Adebayo (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope gains possession)0
41.1%
0
58.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
1.08 54.1%
MIA
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
LAL
26
36
72%
MIA
15
25
60%
Midrange
LAL
6
18
33%
MIA
10
26
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
LAL
11
16.5
35
31%
47%
MIA
10
15.0
28
36%
54%
Free Throws
LAL
9
14
64%
MIA
13
22
59%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2870%14.0 / 20
A. Davis1948%9.5 / 20
R. Rondo1986%9.5 / 11
K. Caldwell-Pope1761%8.5 / 14
D. Green1155%5.5 / 10
A. Caruso429%2.0 / 7
M. Morris338%1.5 / 4
D. Howard3150%1.5 / 1
K. Kuzma225%1.0 / 4
Q. Cook0-0.0 / 1
J. Dudley0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo2566%12.5 / 19
J. Butler1255%6.0 / 11
J. Crowder1250%6.0 / 12
D. Robinson1063%5.0 / 8
K. Olynyk964%4.5 / 7
K. Nunn850%4.0 / 8
T. Herro735%3.5 / 10
G. Dragic528%2.5 / 9
S. Hill5125%2.5 / 2
A. Iguodala0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

LAL
82
+16
-12
98
MIA
80
+11
-13
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
1.08 54.1%
MIA
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
116.2
113.2
LAL 112.8 +12.8
MIA 100.0
Pace
97.1
96.2
LAL 93.0
MIA 94.0 +1.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
15.0
LAL 15.5
MIA 15.3 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
56.1%
53.7%
LAL 54.5% +3.9%
MIA 50.6%
TO %
14.9%
12.7%
LAL 12.8% +1.7%
MIA 14.5%
ORB %
26.1%
19.2%
LAL 27.3% +6.4%
MIA 20.9%
FTrt
29.3
32.2
LAL 15.7
MIA 27.8 +12.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.4%
66.0%
LAL 53.5%
MIA 71.4% +17.9%
STL %
8.3%
7.1%
LAL 5.3% +1.0%
MIA 4.3%
BLK %
10.9%
7.9%
LAL 7.8% +0.4%
MIA 7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
58.0%
57.0%
LAL 54.1% +3.0%
MIA 51.1%
Rim FG%
69.2%
62.0%
LAL 72.2% +12.2%
MIA 60.0%
Mid FG%
41.3%
45.0%
LAL 33.3%
MIA 38.5% +5.2%
3P %
35.4%
35.9%
LAL 31.4%
MIA 35.7% +4.3%
FT %
75.8%
82.5%
LAL 64.3% +5.2%
MIA 59.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.7%
28.7%
LAL 40.4% +8.8%
MIA 31.6%
Mid Att. %
23.6%
28.0%
LAL 20.2% +12.7%
MIA 32.9%
3P Att. %
40.7%
43.3%
LAL 39.3% +3.9%
MIA 35.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.
Game TotalsLALMIA
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points10693
Rebounds4641
Assists2325
Steals54
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)12 (2)13 (2)
Fouls2218
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (3)32 (2)
Field Goals43-8935-79
At-the-Rim FG26-3615-25
Midrange FG6-1810-26
2-Point FG32-5425-51
3-Point FG11-3510-28
Free Throws9-1413-22
Fast Break Pts168
2nd Chance Pts185
Points in Paint5244
Pts off Turnovers2014
Bench Points2727
Biggest Lead360

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#23 · SF · 6'9" 250 · 36
41.2
28
70%
14
10
1
0
1
3
3
11
1-4
25%
12-15
80%
1-5
20%
#3 · C · 6'10" 253 · 28
35.1
19
48%
15
3
1
2
3
4
4
11
5-7
71%
7-14
50%
0-3
0%
#1 · PG · 6'5" 204 · 28
33.4
17
61%
2
0
1
0
2
5
1
1
3-3
100%
4-6
67%
2-7
29%
#4 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 27
32.7
4
29%
3
5
1
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-2
0%
#14 · PF · 6'6" 215 · 33
24.6
11
55%
5
1
0
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
3-7
43%
#9 · PG · 6'1" 186 · 35
30.4
19
86%
4
4
1
0
4
1
0
4
0-0
-
5-7
71%
3-4
75%
#0 · PF · 6'9" 221 · 25
21.9
2
25%
1
0
0
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
#88 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 31
16.6
3
38%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
#28 · PG · 6'2" 179 · 28
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#10 · SF · 6'7" 240 · 35
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#39 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35
1.1
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
#7 · C · 7'0" 270 · 33
DNP – Coach's Decision
#21 · SG · 6'6" 225 · 35
DNP – Coach's Decision
#5 · SG · 6'4" 235 · 20
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#12 · PF · 6'7" 240 · 24
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#37 · PF · 6'11" 195 · 23
Inactive - Coach's Decision
#18 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 29
Inactive - Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
54%
46
23
5
4
12
22
12
34
9-14
64%
32-54
59%
11-35
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.