Final Win Prob. pScore
1426%100
94
274%110
114
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
105.68994.2
BOS logo Celtics
126.79086.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.94
114
Q4 - 0:13.4CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound94
114
Q4 - 0:15.0HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot94
114
Q4 - 0:32.4CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 294
114
Q4 - 0:32.4CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 294
113
Q4 - 0:32.4HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)94
112
Q4 - 0:47.6HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Jayson Tatum steals)94
112
Q4 - 0:59.4CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 294
112
Q4 - 0:59.4CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 294
111
Q4 - 0:59.4CelticsJaylen Brown technical foul (Double)94
110
Q4 - 0:59.4HeatCaleb Martin technical foul (Double)94
110
Q4 - 0:59.4HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Loose ball) (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)94
110
Q4 - 0:59.4CelticsCeltics defensive rebound94
110
Q4 - 1:00HeatBam Adebayo misses two point stepback jump shot94
110
Q4 - 1:13HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound94
110
Q4 - 1:14HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot94
110
Q4 - 1:30CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 294
110
Q4 - 1:30CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 294
109
Q4 - 1:30Instant replay (Challenge: Stands)94
108
Q4 - 1:30Heat 60 second timeout94
108
Q4 - 1:30HeatDelon Wright shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)94
108
Q4 - 1:40HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot94
108
Q4 - 1:47CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 292
108
Q4 - 1:47CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 292
107
Q4 - 1:47HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)92
106
Q4 - 2:08CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound92
106
Q4 - 2:09HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point fadeaway jump shot92
106
Q4 - 2:29CelticsKristaps Porzingis turnover (offensive foul)92
106
Q4 - 2:29CelticsKristaps Porzingis offensive foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)92
106
Q4 - 2:52HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)92
106
Q4 - 2:59HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound90
106
Q4 - 3:00CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot90
106
Q4 - 3:07Stoppage (Out of bounds)90
106
Q4 - 3:07CelticsCeltics offensive rebound90
106
Q4 - 3:10CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot90
106
Q4 - 3:15HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)90
106
Q4 - 3:21HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving hook shot90
106
Q4 - 3:36CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)88
106
Q4 - 3:57Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis, Derrick White, Jrue Holiday, Jayson Tatum)88
103
Q4 - 3:57Celtics 60 second timeout88
103
Q4 - 3:58HeatDelon Wright makes three point running pullup jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)88
103
Q4 - 4:02HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound85
103
Q4 - 4:03CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving layup85
103
Q4 - 4:26HeatDelon Wright makes three point pullup jump shot85
103
Q4 - 4:39CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (offensive foul)82
103
Q4 - 4:39CelticsJayson Tatum offensive foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)82
103
Q4 - 4:57HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Delon Wright assists)82
103
Q4 - 5:08HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound79
103
Q4 - 5:09CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point tip layup79
103
Q4 - 5:09CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound79
103
Q4 - 5:10CelticsJrue Holiday misses two point driving layup79
103
Q4 - 5:35HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point cutting layup (Tyler Herro assists)79
103
Q4 - 5:48CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes two point stepback jump shot77
103
Q4 - 6:14HeatCaleb Martin makes two point cutting layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)77
101
Q4 - 6:27CelticsJaylen Brown personal foul (Loose ball) (Delon Wright draws the foul)75
101
Q4 - 6:27CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (bad pass)75
101
Q4 - 6:40HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot75
101
Q4 - 6:56Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis, Jrue Holiday, Al Horford, Jayson Tatum)73
101
Q4 - 6:56Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Delon Wright, Caleb Martin)73
101
Q4 - 6:56CelticsCeltics turnover (shot clock violation)73
101
Q4 - 6:56CelticsCeltics offensive rebound73
101
Q4 - 6:57CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot73
101
Q4 - 7:23HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Delon Wright assists)73
101
Q4 - 7:49CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point jump shot70
101
Q4 - 8:03Celtics lineup change (Sam Hauser, Jrue Holiday, Payton Pritchard, Al Horford, Jayson Tatum)70
99
Q4 - 8:03Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Haywood Highsmith, Bam Adebayo, Delon Wright, Caleb Martin)70
99
Q4 - 8:03Celtics 60 second timeout70
99
Q4 - 8:04CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound70
99
Q4 - 8:05HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot70
99
Q4 - 8:08CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)70
99
Q4 - 8:23HeatKevin Love defensive rebound70
99
Q4 - 8:24CelticsPayton Pritchard misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot70
99
Q4 - 8:51HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Kevin Love assists)70
99
Q4 - 9:13CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Sam Hauser assists)68
99
Q4 - 9:25HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)68
96
Q4 - 9:45HeatDelon Wright makes three point running jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)68
96
Q4 - 9:50CelticsDerrick White turnover (lost ball) (Delon Wright steals)65
96
Q4 - 10:06HeatDelon Wright makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)65
96
Q4 - 10:15CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)62
96
Q4 - 10:35CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)62
96
Q4 - 10:56HeatDelon Wright makes three point running jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)62
93
Q4 - 11:01CelticsDerrick White turnover (bad pass) (Delon Wright steals)59
93
Q4 - 11:13HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Sam Hauser steals)59
93
Q4 - 11:38CelticsAl Horford makes two point driving bank hook shot (Jayson Tatum assists)59
93
Q4 - 12:00Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Sam Hauser, Payton Pritchard, Al Horford, Jayson Tatum)59
91
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.59
91
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound59
91
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point pullup jump shot59
91
Q3 - 0:02.9CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving floating jump shot59
91
Q3 - 0:10.7HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Kevin Love assists)59
89
Q3 - 0:31.0Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, Sam Hauser, Payton Pritchard, Al Horford)57
89
Q3 - 0:31.0Heat lineup change (Kevin Love, Haywood Highsmith, Bam Adebayo, Delon Wright, Duncan Robinson)57
89
Q3 - 0:31.9Heat 60 second timeout57
89
Q3 - 0:31.9CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot57
89
Q3 - 0:33.4Jump ball. Jaylen Brown vs. Nikola Jovic (Derrick White gains possession)57
86
Q3 - 0:47.4CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound57
86
Q3 - 0:48.1HeatKristaps Porzingis blocks Delon Wright's two point driving layup57
86
Q3 - 1:02CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving floating jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)57
86
Q3 - 1:09CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound57
84
Q3 - 1:10HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot57
84
Q3 - 1:23HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound57
84
Q3 - 1:25CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses two point jump shot57
84
Q3 - 1:35CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound57
84
Q3 - 1:36HeatNikola Jovic misses three point pullup jump shot57
84
Q3 - 1:55CelticsDerrick White makes two point pullup jump shot (Kristaps Porzingis assists)57
84
Q3 - 2:14Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)57
82
Q3 - 2:14Celtics challenge timeout57
82
Q3 - 2:14HeatNikola Jovic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)57
82
Q3 - 2:20Heat lineup change (Kevin Love, Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Delon Wright, Duncan Robinson)57
82
Q3 - 2:20CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 257
82
Q3 - 2:20CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 257
81
Q3 - 2:20HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)57
80
Q3 - 2:33CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound57
80
Q3 - 2:35HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot57
80
Q3 - 2:58Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis, Derrick White, Payton Pritchard, Al Horford)57
80
Q3 - 2:58Heat 60 second timeout57
80
Q3 - 3:00CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)57
80
Q3 - 3:08CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound57
77
Q3 - 3:09HeatNikola Jovic misses two point driving layup57
77
Q3 - 3:28CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes three point stepback jump shot57
77
Q3 - 3:42Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis, Jrue Holiday, Payton Pritchard, Al Horford)57
74
Q3 - 3:42Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kevin Love, Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Delon Wright)57
74
Q3 - 3:42HeatNikola Jovic personal foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)57
74
Q3 - 3:53CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound57
74
Q3 - 3:54HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot57
74
Q3 - 4:05HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound57
74
Q3 - 4:06CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot57
74
Q3 - 4:17Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin)57
74
Q3 - 4:17HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)57
74
Q3 - 4:42HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound57
74
Q3 - 4:43CelticsJrue Holiday misses two point driving layup57
74
Q3 - 5:00HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)57
74
Q3 - 5:24HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound54
74
Q3 - 5:24CelticsJrue Holiday misses two point hook shot54
74
Q3 - 5:38Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis, Jrue Holiday, Al Horford, Jayson Tatum)54
74
Q3 - 5:38Stoppage (Out of bounds)54
74
Q3 - 5:40CelticsJrue Holiday offensive rebound54
74
Q3 - 5:41CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point stepback jump shot54
74
Q3 - 5:58CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound54
74
Q3 - 5:59HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot54
74
Q3 - 6:20CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)54
74
Q3 - 6:39CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound54
71
Q3 - 6:40HeatCaleb Martin misses three point stepback jump shot54
71
Q3 - 6:41HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound54
71
Q3 - 6:43HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot54
71
Q3 - 7:05Heat 60 second timeout54
71
Q3 - 7:06CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)54
71
Q3 - 7:17CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound54
68
Q3 - 7:18HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot54
68
Q3 - 7:36CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving finger roll layup (Derrick White assists)54
68
Q3 - 7:53HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Jrue Holiday steals)54
66
Q3 - 8:02CelticsDerrick White turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)54
66
Q3 - 8:20HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup54
66
Q3 - 8:26CelticsKristaps Porzingis turnover (out of bounds bad pass)52
66
Q3 - 8:45HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)52
66
Q3 - 8:48HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound49
66
Q3 - 8:50HeatNikola Jovic misses three point running pullup jump shot49
66
Q3 - 8:56HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound49
66
Q3 - 8:57CelticsDerrick White misses three point pullup jump shot49
66
Q3 - 9:07HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)49
66
Q3 - 9:30HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)49
66
Q3 - 9:38Stoppage (Out of bounds)47
66
Q3 - 9:47HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound47
66
Q3 - 9:48CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot47
66
Q3 - 9:51CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound47
66
Q3 - 9:54CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot47
66
Q3 - 10:08Stoppage (Out of bounds)47
66
Q3 - 10:08CelticsCeltics defensive rebound47
66
Q3 - 10:11HeatJaylen Brown blocks Tyler Herro's three point jump shot47
66
Q3 - 10:16HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound47
66
Q3 - 10:18CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point running jump shot47
66
Q3 - 10:25CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound47
66
Q3 - 10:26HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot47
66
Q3 - 10:48CelticsJrue Holiday makes three point stepback jump shot47
66
Q3 - 10:55CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound47
63
Q3 - 10:58HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot47
63
Q3 - 11:15CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)47
63
Q3 - 11:25CelticsKristaps Porzingis offensive rebound47
60
Q3 - 11:27CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point pullup jump shot47
60
Q3 - 11:43HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)47
60
Q3 - 12:00Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis, Derrick White, Jrue Holiday, Jayson Tatum)45
60
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin)45
60
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.45
60
Q2 - 0:00.0CelticsCeltics offensive rebound45
60
Q2 - 0:00.0CelticsJrue Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot45
60
Q2 - 0:02.9HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup45
60
Q2 - 0:07.0Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, Jrue Holiday, Al Horford, Jayson Tatum)43
60
Q2 - 0:07.0Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson)43
60
Q2 - 0:07.9CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Take) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)43
60
Q2 - 0:09.4CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving floating jump shot43
60
Q2 - 0:30.9HeatCaleb Martin makes two point stepback jump shot43
58
Q2 - 0:48.1CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)41
58
Q2 - 1:07HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)41
55
Q2 - 1:18HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound38
55
Q2 - 1:19CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot38
55
Q2 - 1:44CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound38
55
Q2 - 1:46HeatTyler Herro misses three point running jump shot38
55
Q2 - 1:50HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound38
55
Q2 - 1:51CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving layup38
55
Q2 - 2:00CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound38
55
Q2 - 2:01HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point running layup38
55
Q2 - 2:06HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound38
55
Q2 - 2:09CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot38
55
Q2 - 2:29CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound38
55
Q2 - 2:30HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot38
55
Q2 - 2:47CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes three point jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)38
55
Q2 - 3:01HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 238
52
Q2 - 3:01Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Caleb Martin)37
52
Q2 - 3:01HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 237
52
Q2 - 3:01CelticsDerrick White shooting foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)36
52
Q2 - 3:16CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (out of bounds bad pass)36
52
Q2 - 3:20CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound36
52
Q2 - 3:23HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot36
52
Q2 - 3:29Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis, Derrick White, Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum)36
52
Q2 - 3:29CelticsJrue Holiday turnover (out of bounds bad pass)36
52
Q2 - 3:30CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound36
52
Q2 - 3:31HeatKristaps Porzingis blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup36
52
Q2 - 3:38HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound36
52
Q2 - 3:40CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot36
52
Q2 - 3:48CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound36
52
Q2 - 3:49HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot36
52
Q2 - 4:13CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point running layup36
52
Q2 - 4:18HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Jayson Tatum steals)36
50
Q2 - 4:31HeatNikola Jovic offensive rebound36
50
Q2 - 4:36HeatTyler Herro misses three point running jump shot36
50
Q2 - 4:42HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound36
50
Q2 - 4:43CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point fadeaway jump shot36
50
Q2 - 4:57HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)36
50
Q2 - 5:12HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound34
50
Q2 - 5:13CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot34
50
Q2 - 5:27Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin)34
50
Q2 - 5:27Celtics 60 second timeout34
50
Q2 - 5:28HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot34
50
Q2 - 5:34HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound32
50
Q2 - 5:36CelticsJrue Holiday misses two point driving layup32
50
Q2 - 5:54CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound32
50
Q2 - 5:56HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot32
50
Q2 - 6:02HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound32
50
Q2 - 6:03CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses two point turnaround jump shot32
50
Q2 - 6:22CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound32
50
Q2 - 6:23HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot32
50
Q2 - 6:34CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point jump shot32
50
Q2 - 6:53HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 232
48
Q2 - 6:53Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis, Derrick White, Jrue Holiday, Jayson Tatum)31
48
Q2 - 6:53HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 231
48
Q2 - 6:53CelticsKristaps Porzingis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)30
48
Q2 - 7:03CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 230
48
Q2 - 7:03Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis, Jrue Holiday, Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum)30
47
Q2 - 7:03Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Haywood Highsmith, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin)30
47
Q2 - 7:03CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 230
47
Q2 - 7:03HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)30
46
Q2 - 7:11CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound30
46
Q2 - 7:12HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot30
46
Q2 - 7:30CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point stepback jump shot30
46
Q2 - 7:48CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound30
44
Q2 - 7:49HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot30
44
Q2 - 8:04CelticsAl Horford makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jrue Holiday assists)30
44
Q2 - 8:21CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound30
42
Q2 - 8:22HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot30
42
Q2 - 8:37CelticsSam Hauser makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)30
42
Q2 - 8:57HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)30
39
Q2 - 9:15CelticsPayton Pritchard makes two point driving reverse layup27
39
Q2 - 9:16CelticsPayton Pritchard offensive rebound27
37
Q2 - 9:18CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot27
37
Q2 - 9:30HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Duncan Robinson assists)27
37
Q2 - 9:44CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 225
37
Q2 - 9:44CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 225
36
Q2 - 9:44HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)25
35
Q2 - 9:49HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Jrue Holiday steals)25
35
Q2 - 10:02Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Haywood Highsmith, Bam Adebayo, Delon Wright, Duncan Robinson)25
35
Q2 - 10:02Heat 60 second timeout25
35
Q2 - 10:04CelticsSam Hauser makes three point jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)25
35
Q2 - 10:18Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Haywood Highsmith, Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson)25
32
Q2 - 10:18HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)25
32
Q2 - 10:46CelticsSam Hauser makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)25
32
Q2 - 10:53Stoppage (Out of bounds)25
29
Q2 - 11:01HeatKevin Love makes two point tip layup25
29
Q2 - 11:01HeatKevin Love offensive rebound23
29
Q2 - 11:02HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving finger roll layup23
29
Q2 - 11:18CelticsSam Hauser makes three point jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)23
29
Q2 - 11:38HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving floating bank jump shot23
26
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.21
26
Q1 - 0:01.0CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound21
26
Q1 - 0:02.0HeatJrue Holiday blocks Duncan Robinson's three point jump shot21
26
Q1 - 0:06.6HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound21
26
Q1 - 0:08.6CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot21
26
Q1 - 0:25.3HeatKevin Love makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)21
26
Q1 - 0:39.6HeatKevin Love defensive rebound19
26
Q1 - 0:42.8CelticsAl Horford misses two point floating jump shot19
26
Q1 - 0:55.6HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point running layup (Haywood Highsmith assists)19
26
Q1 - 1:00HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound17
26
Q1 - 1:01CelticsJrue Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot17
26
Q1 - 1:04CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound17
26
Q1 - 1:06CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot17
26
Q1 - 1:20CelticsCeltics offensive rebound17
26
Q1 - 1:21CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot17
26
Q1 - 1:25CelticsSam Hauser offensive rebound17
26
Q1 - 1:27CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot17
26
Q1 - 1:44HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Delon Wright assists)17
26
Q1 - 2:00HeatKevin Love defensive rebound14
26
Q1 - 2:01CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot14
26
Q1 - 2:06HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (out of bounds bad pass)14
26
Q1 - 2:24CelticsPayton Pritchard makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)14
26
Q1 - 2:39Celtics lineup change (Sam Hauser, Jrue Holiday, Payton Pritchard, Al Horford, Jayson Tatum)14
23
Q1 - 2:39HeatKevin Love turnover (out of bounds bad pass)14
23
Q1 - 3:02HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound14
23
Q1 - 3:04CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot14
23
Q1 - 3:14Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Sam Hauser, Payton Pritchard, Al Horford, Jayson Tatum)14
23
Q1 - 3:14Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kevin Love, Haywood Highsmith, Delon Wright, Duncan Robinson)14
23
Q1 - 3:14Celtics 60 second timeout14
23
Q1 - 3:15HeatDelon Wright makes two point driving layup14
23
Q1 - 3:28HeatDelon Wright defensive rebound12
23
Q1 - 3:29CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot12
23
Q1 - 3:35CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound12
23
Q1 - 3:36CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot12
23
Q1 - 3:45Jump ball. Al Horford vs. Haywood Highsmith (Derrick White gains possession)12
23
Q1 - 3:45Celtics lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, Derrick White, Payton Pritchard, Al Horford, Jayson Tatum)12
23
Q1 - 3:45Heat lineup change (Kevin Love, Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Delon Wright, Duncan Robinson)12
23
Q1 - 3:57CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound12
23
Q1 - 3:59HeatDerrick White blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving floating jump shot12
23
Q1 - 4:06CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)12
23
Q1 - 4:21HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup12
23
Q1 - 4:39CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes three point jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)10
23
Q1 - 4:49CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound10
20
Q1 - 4:50HeatNikola Jovic misses two point jump shot10
20
Q1 - 5:04CelticsPayton Pritchard makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)10
20
Q1 - 5:15Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Delon Wright)10
17
Q1 - 5:15Stoppage (Out of bounds)10
17
Q1 - 5:29HeatNikola Jovic makes two point running layup10
17
Q1 - 5:34HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound8
17
Q1 - 5:36CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving layup8
17
Q1 - 5:46CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound8
17
Q1 - 5:48HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot8
17
Q1 - 5:57CelticsPayton Pritchard personal foul (Loose ball) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)8
17
Q1 - 5:57HeatHeat offensive rebound8
17
Q1 - 5:58HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot8
17
Q1 - 6:15Stoppage (Out of bounds)8
17
Q1 - 6:15HeatHeat defensive rebound8
17
Q1 - 6:16CelticsNikola Jovic blocks Jaylen Brown's two point running layup8
17
Q1 - 6:23CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound8
17
Q1 - 6:25HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot8
17
Q1 - 6:45HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound8
17
Q1 - 6:45CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 28
17
Q1 - 6:45Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo)8
17
Q1 - 6:45CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 28
17
Q1 - 6:45HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)8
17
Q1 - 6:55Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis, Derrick White, Payton Pritchard, Al Horford)8
17
Q1 - 6:55HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)8
17
Q1 - 7:07HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot8
17
Q1 - 7:20HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound6
17
Q1 - 7:22CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot6
17
Q1 - 7:47HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 26
17
Q1 - 7:47HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 25
17
Q1 - 7:47CelticsKristaps Porzingis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)4
17
Q1 - 7:56HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound4
17
Q1 - 7:57CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot4
17
Q1 - 8:10HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway bank jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)4
17
Q1 - 8:26CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)2
17
Q1 - 8:31CelticsJrue Holiday offensive rebound2
14
Q1 - 8:33CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot2
14
Q1 - 8:44HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot2
14
Q1 - 9:01CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes two point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)0
14
Q1 - 9:11HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Kristaps Porzingis steals)0
12
Q1 - 9:25CelticsJrue Holiday makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)0
12
Q1 - 9:40CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound0
9
Q1 - 9:42HeatTyler Herro misses two point stepback jump shot0
9
Q1 - 10:05Heat 60 second timeout0
9
Q1 - 10:05CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup (Jaylen Brown assists)0
9
Q1 - 10:17CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound0
7
Q1 - 10:18HeatJrue Holiday blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point driving dunk0
7
Q1 - 10:37CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes two point turnaround jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)0
7
Q1 - 10:48CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound0
5
Q1 - 10:51HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot0
5
Q1 - 11:12CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving dunk0
5
Q1 - 11:19CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound0
3
Q1 - 11:21HeatBam Adebayo misses two point stepback jump shot0
3
Q1 - 11:39CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)0
3
Q1 - 11:41CelticsJayson Tatum offensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:42CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving dunk0
0
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Kristaps Porzingis (Jaylen Brown gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis, Derrick White, Jrue Holiday, Jayson Tatum)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin)0
0
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.08 54.0%
BOS
1.21 60.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
16
81%
BOS
7
18
39%
Midrange
MIA
13
28
46%
BOS
10
15
67%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
12
18.0
37
32%
49%
BOS
22
33.0
49
45%
67%
Free Throws
MIA
6
6
100%
BOS
14
16
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo2460%12.0 / 20
D. Wright17121%8.5 / 7
J. Jaquez1650%8.0 / 16
T. Herro1142%5.5 / 13
N. Jović1050%5.0 / 10
K. Love788%3.5 / 4
D. Robinson563%2.5 / 4
C. Martin433%2.0 / 6
H. Highsmith0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Tatum2352%11.5 / 22
D. White2083%10.0 / 12
K. Porziņģis1869%9.0 / 13
J. Brown1761%8.5 / 14
S. Hauser12100%6.0 / 6
A. Horford1063%5.0 / 8
P. Pritchard857%4.0 / 7
J. Holiday638%3.0 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
80
+7
-9
87
BOS
80
+14
-10
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.08 54.0%
BOS
1.21 60.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.7
116.8
MIA 105.6
BOS 126.7 +21.0
Pace
91.6
92.6
MIA 94.2 +7.7
BOS 86.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
16.5
MIA 15.3 −1.4
BOS 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.7%
55.5%
MIA 54.3%
BOS 61.0% +6.7%
TO %
11.4%
11.0%
MIA 11.6%
BOS 11.0% −0.6%
ORB %
13.3%
23.7%
MIA 12.8%
BOS 25.6% +12.8%
FTrt
14.8
23.0
MIA 7.4
BOS 19.5 +12.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.6%
60.5%
MIA 60.5%
BOS 69.2% +8.7%
STL %
5.0%
6.7%
MIA 4.5%
BOS 6.7% +2.2%
BLK %
3.3%
10.2%
MIA 3.0%
BOS 13.6% +10.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
56.8%
MIA 54.0%
BOS 60.6% +6.6%
Rim FG%
72.3%
69.2%
MIA 81.3% +42.4%
BOS 38.9%
Mid FG%
40.5%
41.0%
MIA 46.4%
BOS 66.7% +20.3%
3P %
32.9%
36.0%
MIA 32.4%
BOS 44.9% +12.5%
FT %
81.7%
81.2%
MIA 100.0% +12.5%
BOS 87.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
20.4%
29.4%
MIA 19.8%
BOS 22.0% +2.2%
Mid Att. %
37.7%
22.7%
MIA 34.6%
BOS 18.3% −16.3%
3P Att. %
41.9%
48.0%
MIA 45.7%
BOS 59.8% +14.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.7 and 2.7.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions8990
Possession Minutes22.725.0
Points94114
Rebounds3444
Assists2327
Steals46
Blocks16
Turnovers (Team)9 (2)10 (1)
Fouls1310
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (2)10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)34 (2)
Field Goals38-8139-82
At-the-Rim FG13-167-18
Midrange FG13-2810-15
2-Point FG26-4417-33
3-Point FG12-3722-49
Free Throws6-614-16
Fast Break Pts136
2nd Chance Pts511
Points in Paint4424
Pts off Turnovers1718
Bench Points2930
Biggest Lead034

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 27
36.5
24
60%
6
3
0
0
2
4
0
6
4-4
100%
10-16
63%
0-2
0%
#11 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 23
35.6
16
50%
4
4
1
0
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
8-14
57%
0-2
0%
#14 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 24
34.3
11
42%
4
4
1
0
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
25%
3-9
33%
#16 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 29
28.5
4
33%
4
2
0
0
0
4
2
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 21
25.7
10
50%
6
0
0
1
1
1
1
5
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
2-6
33%
#4 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 32
25.6
17
121%
1
3
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
5-5
100%
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27
25.6
0
0%
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-4
0%
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 30
15.1
5
63%
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
#42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 36
13.1
7
88%
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
#22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 35
NWT - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; MCL Sprain
#2 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 30
DND - Injury/Illness | Neck; Spasm
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 31
NWT - Injury/Illness | Right Shoulder; Surgery
#31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27
DNP – Coach's Decision
#88 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 36
DNP – Coach's Decision
#25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
54%
34
23
4
1
9
13
5
29
6-6
100%
26-44
59%
12-37
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.