Final Win Prob. pScore
163%109
104
1537%104
84
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo Celtics
122.48584.4
MIA logo Heat
97.78686.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.104
84
Q4 - 0:18.0CelticsCeltics turnover (8-second violation)104
84
Q4 - 0:24.8CelticsSvi Mykhailiuk defensive rebound104
84
Q4 - 0:28.7HeatPatty Mills misses three point jump shot104
84
Q4 - 0:45.7HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound104
84
Q4 - 0:48.2CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot104
84
Q4 - 1:01CelticsOshae Brissett defensive rebound104
84
Q4 - 1:06HeatOrlando Robinson misses three point jump shot104
84
Q4 - 1:21CelticsLuke Kornet makes regular free throw 2 of 2104
84
Q4 - 1:21Celtics lineup change (Luke Kornet, Payton Pritchard, Svi Mykhailiuk, Oshae Brissett, Sam Hauser)103
84
Q4 - 1:21CelticsLuke Kornet makes regular free throw 1 of 2103
84
Q4 - 1:21HeatThomas Bryant personal foul (Luke Kornet draws the foul)102
84
Q4 - 1:33HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Orlando Robinson assists)102
84
Q4 - 1:42HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound102
81
Q4 - 1:45CelticsDerrick White misses two point stepback jump shot102
81
Q4 - 2:13HeatThomas Bryant makes two point floating jump shot102
81
Q4 - 2:16HeatThomas Bryant offensive rebound102
79
Q4 - 2:18HeatPatty Mills misses two point fadeaway jump shot102
79
Q4 - 2:29Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Patty Mills, Nikola Jovic, Thomas Bryant, Orlando Robinson)102
79
Q4 - 2:29Celtics lineup change (Luke Kornet, Payton Pritchard, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, Sam Hauser)102
79
Q4 - 2:29CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (offensive foul)102
79
Q4 - 2:29CelticsJaylen Brown offensive foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)102
79
Q4 - 2:49CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound102
79
Q4 - 2:52HeatPatty Mills misses three point jump shot102
79
Q4 - 3:03CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)102
79
Q4 - 3:16HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound102
79
Q4 - 3:21CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup bank jump shot102
79
Q4 - 3:42Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Al Horford, Jrue Holiday, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White)102
79
Q4 - 3:42Celtics 60 second timeout102
79
Q4 - 3:42CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound102
79
Q4 - 3:43HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot102
79
Q4 - 3:57CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point fadeaway jump shot102
79
Q4 - 4:22HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)100
79
Q4 - 4:38CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 2100
77
Q4 - 4:38CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses regular free throw 1 of 299
77
Q4 - 4:38HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)99
77
Q4 - 4:59HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot99
77
Q4 - 5:17CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 299
75
Q4 - 5:17Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Jrue Holiday, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, Kristaps Porzingis)98
75
Q4 - 5:17CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 298
75
Q4 - 5:17HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)97
75
Q4 - 5:38HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running pullup jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)97
75
Q4 - 5:43HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound97
73
Q4 - 5:50CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot97
73
Q4 - 6:20HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround hook shot (Patty Mills assists)97
73
Q4 - 6:32HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound97
71
Q4 - 6:34CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot97
71
Q4 - 6:59HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 197
71
Q4 - 6:59Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, Kristaps Porzingis)97
70
Q4 - 6:59Heat 60 second timeout97
70
Q4 - 6:59CelticsKristaps Porzingis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)97
70
Q4 - 6:59HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)97
70
Q4 - 7:15CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point fadeaway jump shot97
68
Q4 - 7:37CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound95
68
Q4 - 7:39HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving hook shot95
68
Q4 - 7:56CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jayson Tatum assists)95
68
Q4 - 8:17HeatPatty Mills makes regular free throw 1 of 193
68
Q4 - 8:17Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Jrue Holiday, Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis)93
67
Q4 - 8:17CelticsPayton Pritchard shooting foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)93
67
Q4 - 8:17HeatPatty Mills makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)93
67
Q4 - 8:27CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot93
64
Q4 - 8:42HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Jaylen Brown steals)91
64
Q4 - 8:50Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Patty Mills, Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)91
64
Q4 - 8:50Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford, Jrue Holiday, Jaylen Brown)91
64
Q4 - 8:50CelticsSam Hauser personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)91
64
Q4 - 8:58HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound91
64
Q4 - 9:00CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot91
64
Q4 - 9:20CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound91
64
Q4 - 9:22HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot91
64
Q4 - 9:50CelticsAl Horford makes two point putback layup91
64
Q4 - 9:50CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound89
64
Q4 - 9:52CelticsJrue Holiday misses two point driving layup89
64
Q4 - 9:58HeatPatty Mills personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)89
64
Q4 - 10:22HeatPatty Mills makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)89
64
Q4 - 10:32CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 289
61
Q4 - 10:32CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 288
61
Q4 - 10:32HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)87
61
Q4 - 10:41CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound87
61
Q4 - 10:44CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot87
61
Q4 - 10:58CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound87
61
Q4 - 11:01HeatJrue Holiday blocks Nikola Jovic's two point driving floating jump shot87
61
Q4 - 11:10CelticsJrue Holiday turnover (bad pass) (Patty Mills steals)87
61
Q4 - 11:13CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound87
61
Q4 - 11:16HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot87
61
Q4 - 11:25HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound87
61
Q4 - 11:27CelticsJrue Holiday misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot87
61
Q4 - 11:38CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound87
61
Q4 - 11:41HeatPatty Mills misses three point jump shot87
61
Q4 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Patty Mills, Nikola Jovic, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)87
61
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.87
61
Q3 - 0:01.0HeatHeat offensive rebound87
61
Q3 - 0:01.5HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot87
61
Q3 - 0:10.0Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)87
61
Q3 - 0:10.7CelticsJayson Tatum makes technical free throw 1 of 187
61
Q3 - 0:10.7HeatTyler Herro technical foul86
61
Q3 - 0:10.7CelticsSam Hauser personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)86
61
Q3 - 0:28.5HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound86
61
Q3 - 0:31.9CelticsJrue Holiday misses three point stepback jump shot86
61
Q3 - 0:36.8CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound86
61
Q3 - 0:39.1HeatNikola Jovic misses two point pullup jump shot86
61
Q3 - 0:47.8HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound86
61
Q3 - 0:49.9CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot86
61
Q3 - 1:08HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point cutting layup (Nikola Jovic assists)86
61
Q3 - 1:33CelticsJrue Holiday makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)86
59
Q3 - 1:45HeatNikola Jovic makes two point driving layup (Tyler Herro assists)83
59
Q3 - 2:14CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)83
57
Q3 - 2:35Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford, Jrue Holiday, Sam Hauser)80
57
Q3 - 2:35Heat 60 second timeout80
57
Q3 - 2:35HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)80
57
Q3 - 2:43HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound80
57
Q3 - 2:47CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot80
57
Q3 - 2:52CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound80
57
Q3 - 2:54HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving finger roll layup80
57
Q3 - 3:16CelticsAl Horford makes two point alley-oop dunk (Derrick White assists)80
57
Q3 - 3:27Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Thomas Bryant, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin)78
57
Q3 - 3:27Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, Sam Hauser)78
57
Q3 - 3:27HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)78
57
Q3 - 3:34CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound78
57
Q3 - 3:35HeatKristaps Porzingis blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup78
57
Q3 - 3:46CelticsDerrick White makes two point pullup jump shot78
57
Q3 - 4:03HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)76
57
Q3 - 4:25CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving layup76
55
Q3 - 4:47HeatTyler Herro makes two point running jump shot74
55
Q3 - 4:54Jump ball. Jaime Jaquez Jr. vs. Kristaps Porzingis (Nikola Jovic gains possession)74
53
Q3 - 4:54HeatHeat defensive rebound74
53
Q3 - 4:55CelticsJaime Jaquez Jr. blocks Kristaps Porzingis's two point fadeaway jump shot74
53
Q3 - 5:10CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound74
53
Q3 - 5:12HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot74
53
Q3 - 5:35CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point hook shot (Derrick White assists)74
53
Q3 - 5:43Stoppage (Out of bounds)72
53
Q3 - 5:43CelticsCeltics defensive rebound72
53
Q3 - 5:43HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot72
53
Q3 - 6:03HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound72
53
Q3 - 6:06CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot72
53
Q3 - 6:25Celtics lineup change (Al Horford, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, Kristaps Porzingis, Sam Hauser)72
53
Q3 - 6:25Celtics 60 second timeout72
53
Q3 - 6:25HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running dunk (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)72
53
Q3 - 6:28HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound72
51
Q3 - 6:31CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot72
51
Q3 - 6:58HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)72
51
Q3 - 7:15CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving floating jump shot (Derrick White assists)72
48
Q3 - 7:22CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound70
48
Q3 - 7:25HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot70
48
Q3 - 7:28HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound70
48
Q3 - 7:30HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot70
48
Q3 - 7:47HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound70
48
Q3 - 7:51CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point stepback jump shot70
48
Q3 - 8:03CelticsCeltics offensive rebound70
48
Q3 - 8:03CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 1 of 170
48
Q3 - 8:03HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Away from play) (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)70
48
Q3 - 8:03Stoppage (Out of bounds)70
48
Q3 - 8:20HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)70
48
Q3 - 8:27HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound70
45
Q3 - 8:29CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point floating jump shot70
45
Q3 - 8:51Stoppage (Out of bounds)70
45
Q3 - 8:51CelticsCeltics defensive rebound70
45
Q3 - 8:52HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point fadeaway jump shot70
45
Q3 - 8:53HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound70
45
Q3 - 8:55HeatKristaps Porzingis blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point driving reverse layup70
45
Q3 - 9:11HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound70
45
Q3 - 9:14CelticsJrue Holiday misses three point stepback jump shot70
45
Q3 - 9:28HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup70
45
Q3 - 9:33HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound70
43
Q3 - 9:37HeatCaleb Martin misses three point running jump shot70
43
Q3 - 9:41HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound70
43
Q3 - 9:44CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses two point jump shot70
43
Q3 - 9:59HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)70
43
Q3 - 10:02HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Jaylen Brown steals)70
43
Q3 - 10:27CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point cutting dunk (Kristaps Porzingis assists)70
43
Q3 - 10:39HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)68
43
Q3 - 10:46HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound68
41
Q3 - 10:47HeatJaylen Brown blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s three point jump shot68
41
Q3 - 11:03CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup68
41
Q3 - 11:13HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup (Caleb Martin assists)66
41
Q3 - 11:34CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)66
39
Q3 - 11:40Stoppage (Out of bounds)63
39
Q3 - 11:40CelticsCeltics offensive rebound63
39
Q3 - 11:43CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot63
39
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)63
39
Q3 - 12:00Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Jrue Holiday, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, Kristaps Porzingis)63
39
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.63
39
Q2 - 0:00.1CelticsCeltics offensive rebound63
39
Q2 - 0:00.9CelticsDerrick White misses three point pullup jump shot63
39
Q2 - 0:02.4CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound63
39
Q2 - 0:04.9HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot63
39
Q2 - 0:14.9CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 3 of 363
39
Q2 - 0:14.0Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo)62
39
Q2 - 0:14.9CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 2 of 362
39
Q2 - 0:14.9CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 362
39
Q2 - 0:14.9HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)61
39
Q2 - 0:31.7HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot61
39
Q2 - 0:50.5HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound61
37
Q2 - 0:52.7CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving finger roll layup61
37
Q2 - 1:10HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 261
37
Q2 - 1:10HeatNikola Jovic misses regular free throw 1 of 261
36
Q2 - 1:10CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)61
36
Q2 - 1:26Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)61
36
Q2 - 1:26Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Al Horford, Jrue Holiday, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White)61
36
Q2 - 1:26Heat 60 second timeout61
36
Q2 - 1:26CelticsDerrick White makes two point tip layup61
36
Q2 - 1:27CelticsDerrick White offensive rebound59
36
Q2 - 1:28CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point running layup59
36
Q2 - 1:31HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (bad pass) (Kristaps Porzingis steals)59
36
Q2 - 1:41CelticsDerrick White makes two point cutting layup (Kristaps Porzingis assists)59
36
Q2 - 1:53CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound57
36
Q2 - 1:55HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving hook shot57
36
Q2 - 2:09CelticsDerrick White makes three point pullup jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)57
36
Q2 - 2:23HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)54
36
Q2 - 2:44CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup (Jrue Holiday assists)54
33
Q2 - 3:02HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 252
33
Q2 - 3:02HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 252
32
Q2 - 3:02CelticsJayson Tatum shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)52
31
Q2 - 3:19Stoppage (Out of bounds)52
31
Q2 - 3:19HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound52
31
Q2 - 3:22CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot52
31
Q2 - 3:32CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound52
31
Q2 - 3:33HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot52
31
Q2 - 3:49Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)52
31
Q2 - 3:49CelticsDerrick White makes two point tip layup52
31
Q2 - 3:49CelticsDerrick White offensive rebound50
31
Q2 - 3:54CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 150
31
Q2 - 3:54HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)50
31
Q2 - 3:54CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point cutting layup (Jrue Holiday assists)50
31
Q2 - 3:56CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound48
31
Q2 - 3:57HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup48
31
Q2 - 4:18CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)48
31
Q2 - 4:34HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 145
31
Q2 - 4:34CelticsJrue Holiday shooting foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)45
30
Q2 - 4:34HeatNikola Jovic makes two point driving layup (Haywood Highsmith assists)45
30
Q2 - 4:46CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 245
28
Q2 - 4:46CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 244
28
Q2 - 4:46HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)43
28
Q2 - 5:02HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)43
28
Q2 - 5:15Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Jrue Holiday, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, Kristaps Porzingis)43
28
Q2 - 5:15CelticsPayton Pritchard personal foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)43
28
Q2 - 5:23HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound43
28
Q2 - 5:24HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot43
28
Q2 - 5:38CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes two point putback layup43
28
Q2 - 5:39CelticsKristaps Porzingis offensive rebound41
28
Q2 - 5:40CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot41
28
Q2 - 5:49CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound41
28
Q2 - 5:50HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot41
28
Q2 - 6:01CelticsPayton Pritchard turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jovic steals)41
28
Q2 - 6:23HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot41
28
Q2 - 6:37Stoppage (Out of bounds)41
25
Q2 - 6:37HeatHeat defensive rebound41
25
Q2 - 6:38CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot41
25
Q2 - 6:58HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 241
25
Q2 - 6:58Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo)41
24
Q2 - 6:58Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, Kristaps Porzingis)41
24
Q2 - 6:58HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 241
24
Q2 - 6:58CelticsSam Hauser shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)41
23
Q2 - 7:10CelticsSam Hauser makes two point cutting layup (Jayson Tatum assists)41
23
Q2 - 7:32HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 239
23
Q2 - 7:32Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)39
22
Q2 - 7:32HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 239
22
Q2 - 7:32CelticsSam Hauser shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)39
21
Q2 - 7:44CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point stepback jump shot39
21
Q2 - 8:02HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot37
21
Q2 - 8:16CelticsPayton Pritchard makes two point putback layup37
19
Q2 - 8:18CelticsPayton Pritchard offensive rebound35
19
Q2 - 8:21CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot35
19
Q2 - 8:31HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)35
19
Q2 - 8:49CelticsPayton Pritchard makes two point driving layup (Jayson Tatum assists)35
16
Q2 - 9:09HeatCaleb Martin turnover (out of bounds bad pass)33
16
Q2 - 9:26CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 3 of 333
16
Q2 - 9:26Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)32
16
Q2 - 9:26Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Jrue Holiday, Kristaps Porzingis, Sam Hauser)32
16
Q2 - 9:26CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 332
16
Q2 - 9:26CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 331
16
Q2 - 9:26HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)30
16
Q2 - 9:49HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)30
16
Q2 - 10:00HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound30
14
Q2 - 10:03CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot30
14
Q2 - 10:12HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point driving layup (Duncan Robinson assists)30
14
Q2 - 10:33CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot30
12
Q2 - 10:51CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound27
12
Q2 - 10:53HeatCaleb Martin misses two point pullup jump shot27
12
Q2 - 11:06Stoppage (Out of bounds)27
12
Q2 - 11:08Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson, Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)27
12
Q2 - 11:08Heat 60 second timeout27
12
Q2 - 11:11CelticsSam Hauser makes three point pullup jump shot (Al Horford assists)27
12
Q2 - 11:26HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)24
12
Q2 - 11:45CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point pullup jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)24
12
Q2 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson, Kevin Love, Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)21
12
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.21
12
Q1 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound21
12
Q1 - 0:01.4HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot21
12
Q1 - 0:03.8CelticsPayton Pritchard personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)21
12
Q1 - 0:18.3HeatKevin Love defensive rebound21
12
Q1 - 0:20.2CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 2 of 221
12
Q1 - 0:20.0Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro, Kevin Love, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)21
12
Q1 - 0:20.2CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 1 of 221
12
Q1 - 0:20.2HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)21
12
Q1 - 0:22.2CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound21
12
Q1 - 0:23.0HeatJrue Holiday blocks Haywood Highsmith's two point driving layup21
12
Q1 - 0:39.6Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)21
12
Q1 - 0:39.6CelticsAl Horford makes two point floating jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)21
12
Q1 - 0:48.1Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson, Kevin Love, Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)19
12
Q1 - 0:48.1HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds step)19
12
Q1 - 1:04HeatKevin Love defensive rebound19
12
Q1 - 1:07CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot19
12
Q1 - 1:22HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point floating jump shot19
12
Q1 - 1:46CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot19
10
Q1 - 1:56HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (out of bounds bad pass)17
10
Q1 - 1:56HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound17
10
Q1 - 1:59CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot17
10
Q1 - 2:20HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point driving layup17
10
Q1 - 2:30Stoppage (Out of bounds)17
8
Q1 - 2:44CelticsPayton Pritchard makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)17
8
Q1 - 2:52HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (bad pass) (Jrue Holiday steals)14
8
Q1 - 2:52Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro, Kevin Love, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)14
8
Q1 - 2:52Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford, Jrue Holiday, Sam Hauser)14
8
Q1 - 2:52Celtics 60 second timeout14
8
Q1 - 2:52Stoppage (Out of bounds)14
8
Q1 - 2:52HeatHeat defensive rebound14
8
Q1 - 2:53CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot14
8
Q1 - 3:08CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound14
8
Q1 - 3:08HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 214
8
Q1 - 3:08Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)14
8
Q1 - 3:08Celtics lineup change (Luke Kornet, Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford, Jrue Holiday)14
8
Q1 - 3:08HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 214
8
Q1 - 3:08CelticsJaylen Brown shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)14
8
Q1 - 3:21HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound14
8
Q1 - 3:23CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point pullup jump shot14
8
Q1 - 3:45HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup14
8
Q1 - 3:46HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound14
6
Q1 - 3:47HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup14
6
Q1 - 3:57CelticsPayton Pritchard turnover (out of bounds step)14
6
Q1 - 4:09CelticsLuke Kornet defensive rebound14
6
Q1 - 4:12HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot14
6
Q1 - 4:19HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound14
6
Q1 - 4:21CelticsDerrick White misses two point driving floating jump shot14
6
Q1 - 4:35Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson, Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)14
6
Q1 - 4:35HeatCaleb Martin turnover (out of bounds lost ball)14
6
Q1 - 4:46CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point pullup jump shot14
6
Q1 - 5:13HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)12
6
Q1 - 5:17HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound12
3
Q1 - 5:21HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot12
3
Q1 - 5:26HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound12
3
Q1 - 5:31HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot12
3
Q1 - 5:43Celtics lineup change (Luke Kornet, Payton Pritchard, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White)12
3
Q1 - 5:43CelticsKristaps Porzingis personal foul (Loose ball) (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)12
3
Q1 - 5:43HeatHeat defensive rebound12
3
Q1 - 5:43CelticsPayton Pritchard misses two point driving layup12
3
Q1 - 5:48Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo)12
3
Q1 - 5:48HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)12
3
Q1 - 5:54CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound12
3
Q1 - 5:56HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup12
3
Q1 - 6:20CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point tip dunk12
3
Q1 - 6:21CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound10
3
Q1 - 6:23CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot10
3
Q1 - 6:23CelticsPayton Pritchard offensive rebound10
3
Q1 - 6:28CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot10
3
Q1 - 6:36CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound10
3
Q1 - 6:38HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot10
3
Q1 - 6:53Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, Kristaps Porzingis)10
3
Q1 - 6:53Heat 60 second timeout10
3
Q1 - 6:53Stoppage (Out of bounds)10
3
Q1 - 6:53HeatHeat defensive rebound10
3
Q1 - 6:56CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point pullup jump shot10
3
Q1 - 7:06CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound10
3
Q1 - 7:08HeatNikola Jovic misses two point driving floating jump shot10
3
Q1 - 7:18HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound10
3
Q1 - 7:20CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot10
3
Q1 - 7:37CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound10
3
Q1 - 7:40HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot10
3
Q1 - 7:57CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup10
3
Q1 - 8:05CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound8
3
Q1 - 8:07HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot8
3
Q1 - 8:30HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound8
3
Q1 - 8:32CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point running jump shot8
3
Q1 - 8:34CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound8
3
Q1 - 8:38HeatNikola Jovic misses two point driving floating jump shot8
3
Q1 - 8:58CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)8
3
Q1 - 9:11HeatTyler Herro turnover (traveling)5
3
Q1 - 9:28CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jrue Holiday assists)5
3
Q1 - 9:35CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound3
3
Q1 - 9:37HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot3
3
Q1 - 9:49CelticsJrue Holiday turnover (out of bounds step)3
3
Q1 - 9:50CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound3
3
Q1 - 9:52CelticsNikola Jovic blocks Jaylen Brown's two point hook shot3
3
Q1 - 10:04HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 13
3
Q1 - 10:04CelticsKristaps Porzingis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)3
2
Q1 - 10:04HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot3
2
Q1 - 10:14CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)3
0
Q1 - 10:27CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 10:29HeatJayson Tatum blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup0
0
Q1 - 10:40HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 10:43CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving finger roll layup0
0
Q1 - 11:00CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:03HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot0
0
Q1 - 11:15Stoppage (Out of bounds)0
0
Q1 - 11:15HeatHeat defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:15CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot0
0
Q1 - 11:19CelticsDerrick White offensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:23CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point stepback jump shot0
0
Q1 - 11:34CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:37HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00Kristaps Porzingis vs. Bam Adebayo (Tyler Herro gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Jrue Holiday, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, Kristaps Porzingis)0
0
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.13 56.5%
MIA
0.99 49.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
16
21
76%
MIA
10
14
71%
Midrange
BOS
12
24
50%
MIA
13
35
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
11
16.5
37
30%
45%
MIA
9
13.5
28
32%
48%
Free Throws
BOS
15
21
71%
MIA
11
14
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Tatum2255%11.0 / 20
J. Brown2255%11.0 / 20
K. Porziņģis1875%9.0 / 12
D. White1657%8.0 / 14
A. Horford964%4.5 / 7
P. Pritchard770%3.5 / 5
S. Hauser542%2.5 / 6
J. Holiday330%1.5 / 5
L. Kornet2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo2050%10.0 / 20
N. Jović1563%7.5 / 12
T. Herro1544%7.5 / 17
J. Jaquez1243%6.0 / 14
H. Highsmith857%4.0 / 7
P. Mills758%3.5 / 6
C. Martin563%2.5 / 4
T. Bryant2100%1.0 / 1
O. Robinson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
80
+13
-5
93
MIA
74
+11
-12
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.13 56.5%
MIA
0.99 49.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
116.8
100.7
BOS 122.4 +24.7
MIA 97.7
Pace
92.6
91.6
BOS 84.4
MIA 86.6 +2.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
14.9
BOS 17.1
MIA 16.6 −0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.5%
50.7%
BOS 54.3% +6.9%
MIA 47.4%
TO %
11.0%
11.4%
BOS 6.2% −6.4%
MIA 12.6%
ORB %
23.7%
13.3%
BOS 27.0% +5.6%
MIA 21.4%
FTrt
23.0
14.8
BOS 25.6 +7.4
MIA 18.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.5%
59.6%
BOS 56.4%
MIA 65.6% +9.2%
STL %
6.7%
5.0%
BOS 4.7% +2.4%
MIA 2.3%
BLK %
10.2%
3.3%
BOS 12.2% +7.8%
MIA 4.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.8%
51.8%
BOS 56.5% +7.1%
MIA 49.4%
Rim FG%
69.2%
72.3%
BOS 76.2% +4.8%
MIA 71.4%
Mid FG%
41.0%
40.5%
BOS 50.0% +12.9%
MIA 37.1%
3P %
36.0%
32.9%
BOS 29.7%
MIA 32.1% +2.4%
FT %
81.2%
81.7%
BOS 71.4%
MIA 78.6% +7.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.4%
20.4%
BOS 25.6% +7.4%
MIA 18.2%
Mid Att. %
22.7%
37.7%
BOS 29.3% −16.2%
MIA 45.5%
3P Att. %
48.0%
41.9%
BOS 45.1% +8.8%
MIA 36.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.7 and 2.7.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions8586
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points10484
Rebounds4336
Assists2221
Steals42
Blocks62
Turnovers (Team)5 (1)12 (0)
Fouls1614
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)27 (6)
Field Goals39-8232-77
At-the-Rim FG16-2110-14
Midrange FG12-2413-35
2-Point FG28-4523-49
3-Point FG11-379-28
Free Throws15-2111-14
Fast Break Pts26
2nd Chance Pts1711
Points in Paint4234
Pts off Turnovers244
Bench Points2317
Biggest Lead290

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 26
38.8
22
55%
11
6
0
1
0
3
0
11
8-12
67%
4-9
44%
2-7
29%
#4 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 34
34.5
3
30%
2
6
1
2
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
#7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 28
32.7
22
55%
8
3
2
1
1
2
2
6
0-1
0%
11-16
69%
0-4
0%
#9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 30
30.9
16
57%
5
3
0
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
5-7
71%
2-7
29%
#8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 29
27.4
18
75%
5
2
1
2
0
3
1
4
5-6
83%
2-4
50%
3-5
60%
#11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 26
25.4
7
70%
3
1
0
0
2
3
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
#42 · C · 6'8" 240 · 38
22.2
9
64%
6
1
0
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
3-3
100%
1-4
25%
#30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 26
20.0
5
42%
0
0
0
0
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-5
20%
#40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 29
5.3
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
#50 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 27
1.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 26
1.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#44 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 22
#27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 20
#88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 25
#26 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 25
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
56%
43
22
4
6
5
16
10
33
15-21
71%
28-45
62%
11-37
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.