Final Win Prob. pScore
1721%100
84
179%111
118
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
88.49599.3
BOS logo Celtics
124.29591.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.84
118
Q4 - 0:00.2CelticsCeltics turnover (shot clock violation)84
118
Q4 - 0:24.2HeatThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 184
118
Q4 - 0:24.2CelticsXavier Tillman shooting foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)83
118
Q4 - 0:24.2HeatThomas Bryant makes two point driving floating jump shot83
118
Q4 - 0:41.5Celtics 60 second timeout81
118
Q4 - 0:41.5CelticsJaden Springer turnover (traveling)81
118
Q4 - 0:46.5CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound81
118
Q4 - 0:48.8HeatDelon Wright misses three point stepback jump shot81
118
Q4 - 1:07CelticsOshae Brissett makes two point cutting dunk (Svi Mykhailiuk assists)81
118
Q4 - 1:16CelticsOshae Brissett defensive rebound81
116
Q4 - 1:17HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point turnaround hook shot81
116
Q4 - 1:27CelticsOshae Brissett makes two point putback layup81
116
Q4 - 1:28CelticsOshae Brissett offensive rebound81
114
Q4 - 1:29CelticsOshae Brissett misses two point cutting layup81
114
Q4 - 1:51HeatThomas Bryant makes two point driving layup81
114
Q4 - 2:04CelticsJaden Springer makes two point running layup79
114
Q4 - 2:10HeatThomas Bryant turnover (bad pass) (Svi Mykhailiuk steals)79
112
Q4 - 2:29HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound79
112
Q4 - 2:31CelticsSvi Mykhailiuk misses three point running pullup jump shot79
112
Q4 - 2:37CelticsXavier Tillman defensive rebound79
112
Q4 - 2:38HeatXavier Tillman blocks Delon Wright's two point driving layup79
112
Q4 - 3:01CelticsPayton Pritchard makes two point driving layup79
112
Q4 - 3:08CelticsOshae Brissett offensive rebound79
110
Q4 - 3:10CelticsPayton Pritchard misses two point pullup jump shot79
110
Q4 - 3:18CelticsSvi Mykhailiuk offensive rebound79
110
Q4 - 3:19CelticsSvi Mykhailiuk misses three point jump shot79
110
Q4 - 3:34HeatNikola Jovic makes two point cutting layup (Thomas Bryant assists)79
110
Q4 - 3:38Stoppage (Out of bounds)77
110
Q4 - 3:51CelticsSvi Mykhailiuk turnover (offensive foul)77
110
Q4 - 3:51CelticsSvi Mykhailiuk offensive foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)77
110
Q4 - 4:08HeatNikola Jovic personal foul (Jaden Springer draws the foul)77
110
Q4 - 4:11CelticsJaden Springer defensive rebound77
110
Q4 - 4:13HeatThomas Bryant misses three point jump shot77
110
Q4 - 4:27HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound77
110
Q4 - 4:28CelticsOshae Brissett misses two point driving layup77
110
Q4 - 4:51HeatThomas Bryant makes two point cutting layup (Nikola Jovic assists)77
110
Q4 - 4:58CelticsJaden Springer personal foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)75
110
Q4 - 5:20Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jaden Springer, Xavier Tillman, Oshae Brissett, Svi Mykhailiuk)75
110
Q4 - 5:20Heat lineup change (Delon Wright, Patty Mills, Thomas Bryant, Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic)75
110
Q4 - 5:20Heat 60 second timeout75
110
Q4 - 5:21CelticsSam Hauser makes three point pullup jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)75
110
Q4 - 5:45HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup75
107
Q4 - 5:58CelticsXavier Tillman makes two point driving bank jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)73
107
Q4 - 6:17HeatCaleb Martin makes two point pullup jump shot73
105
Q4 - 6:44CelticsSam Hauser makes three point jump shot (Xavier Tillman assists)71
105
Q4 - 6:52HeatThomas Bryant turnover (bad pass) (Xavier Tillman steals)71
102
Q4 - 7:06HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound71
102
Q4 - 7:06CelticsPayton Pritchard misses regular free throw 2 of 271
102
Q4 - 7:06Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Sam Hauser, Jaden Springer, Xavier Tillman, Svi Mykhailiuk)71
102
Q4 - 7:06CelticsPayton Pritchard makes regular free throw 1 of 271
102
Q4 - 7:06HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Payton Pritchard draws the foul)71
101
Q4 - 7:22CelticsLuke Kornet defensive rebound71
101
Q4 - 7:23HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot71
101
Q4 - 7:33HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound71
101
Q4 - 7:34CelticsPayton Pritchard misses two point pullup jump shot71
101
Q4 - 7:58CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound71
101
Q4 - 8:00HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot71
101
Q4 - 8:03Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Thomas Bryant, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Haywood Highsmith)71
101
Q4 - 8:03Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Sam Hauser, Jaden Springer, Luke Kornet, Svi Mykhailiuk)71
101
Q4 - 8:03Stoppage (Out of bounds)71
101
Q4 - 8:10HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound71
101
Q4 - 8:11CelticsSam Hauser misses three point running jump shot71
101
Q4 - 8:18CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound71
101
Q4 - 8:19HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot71
101
Q4 - 8:25HeatThomas Bryant offensive rebound71
101
Q4 - 8:27HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot71
101
Q4 - 8:44HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound71
101
Q4 - 8:45CelticsPayton Pritchard misses two point jump shot71
101
Q4 - 9:02HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point floating jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)71
101
Q4 - 9:24CelticsPayton Pritchard turnover (out of bounds step)69
101
Q4 - 9:29CelticsLuke Kornet defensive rebound69
101
Q4 - 9:29HeatThomas Bryant misses regular free throw 2 of 269
101
Q4 - 9:29HeatThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 269
101
Q4 - 9:29CelticsLuke Kornet shooting foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)68
101
Q4 - 9:41Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Sam Hauser, Luke Kornet, Jrue Holiday, Svi Mykhailiuk)68
101
Q4 - 9:41CelticsJrue Holiday personal foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)68
101
Q4 - 9:57CelticsJrue Holiday turnover (out of bounds lost ball)68
101
Q4 - 10:06CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound68
101
Q4 - 10:07HeatThomas Bryant misses three point jump shot68
101
Q4 - 10:18HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound68
101
Q4 - 10:21CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot68
101
Q4 - 10:40CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound68
101
Q4 - 10:43HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point running pullup jump shot68
101
Q4 - 10:46HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound68
101
Q4 - 10:47CelticsSam Hauser misses two point fadeaway jump shot68
101
Q4 - 11:01CelticsLuke Kornet defensive rebound68
101
Q4 - 11:02HeatNikola Jovic misses two point hook shot68
101
Q4 - 11:16CelticsJrue Holiday makes three point jump shot (Luke Kornet assists)68
101
Q4 - 11:27HeatThomas Bryant makes two point driving layup (Nikola Jovic assists)68
98
Q4 - 11:45HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound66
98
Q4 - 11:47CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot66
98
Q4 - 12:00Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Sam Hauser, Luke Kornet, Jrue Holiday)66
98
Q4 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic)66
98
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.66
98
Q3 - 0:00.6HeatHeat offensive rebound66
98
Q3 - 0:00.6HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot66
98
Q3 - 0:10.7CelticsLuke Kornet makes two point tip dunk66
98
Q3 - 0:10.7CelticsLuke Kornet offensive rebound66
96
Q3 - 0:12.2CelticsJrue Holiday misses three point jump shot66
96
Q3 - 0:30.6HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 266
96
Q3 - 0:30.6HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 265
96
Q3 - 0:30.6CelticsDerrick White shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)64
96
Q3 - 0:38.7HeatDelon Wright defensive rebound64
96
Q3 - 0:41.7CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point running pullup jump shot64
96
Q3 - 0:45.2CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound64
96
Q3 - 0:48.2HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot64
96
Q3 - 1:04CelticsSam Hauser makes three point running jump shot (Derrick White assists)64
96
Q3 - 1:09HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Jrue Holiday steals)64
93
Q3 - 1:24CelticsPayton Pritchard makes two point driving layup64
93
Q3 - 1:33HeatDelon Wright makes two point reverse layup (Nikola Jovic assists)64
91
Q3 - 1:41HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound62
91
Q3 - 1:44CelticsDerrick White misses three point pullup jump shot62
91
Q3 - 2:05CelticsLuke Kornet defensive rebound62
91
Q3 - 2:06HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot62
91
Q3 - 2:20Celtics 60 second timeout62
91
Q3 - 2:20CelticsLuke Kornet turnover (offensive goaltending)62
91
Q3 - 2:43HeatNikola Jovic makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)62
91
Q3 - 2:55CelticsDerrick White makes three point pullup jump shot60
91
Q3 - 3:17HeatBam Adebayo makes two point bank jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)60
88
Q3 - 3:21Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Sam Hauser, Luke Kornet, Jrue Holiday, Derrick White)58
88
Q3 - 3:21CelticsPayton Pritchard personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)58
88
Q3 - 3:29HeatDelon Wright defensive rebound58
88
Q3 - 3:31CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot58
88
Q3 - 3:51HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point cutting dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)58
88
Q3 - 4:03CelticsSam Hauser makes two point driving dunk (Jaylen Brown assists)56
88
Q3 - 4:16CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound56
86
Q3 - 4:17HeatTyler Herro misses two point fadeaway jump shot56
86
Q3 - 4:25CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (out of bounds bad pass)56
86
Q3 - 4:44HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 256
86
Q3 - 4:44HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 255
86
Q3 - 4:44CelticsAl Horford shooting foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)54
86
Q3 - 4:52Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Sam Hauser, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White)54
86
Q3 - 4:52Heat delay of game violation54
86
Q3 - 4:52Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White)54
86
Q3 - 4:52CelticsJrue Holiday personal foul (Delon Wright draws the foul)54
86
Q3 - 5:00CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup54
86
Q3 - 5:08CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound54
84
Q3 - 5:09HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot54
84
Q3 - 5:24HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound54
84
Q3 - 5:25CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot54
84
Q3 - 5:48HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup54
84
Q3 - 6:04CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (offensive foul)52
84
Q3 - 6:04CelticsJayson Tatum offensive foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)52
84
Q3 - 6:13HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)52
84
Q3 - 6:13HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Derrick White draws the foul)52
84
Q3 - 6:24Heat lineup change (Delon Wright, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic)52
84
Q3 - 6:24Stoppage (Out of bounds)52
84
Q3 - 6:24HeatHeat defensive rebound52
84
Q3 - 6:27CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point pullup jump shot52
84
Q3 - 6:46HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot52
84
Q3 - 6:57CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point turnaround hook shot (Derrick White assists)50
84
Q3 - 7:08HeatDelon Wright makes two point driving layup (Tyler Herro assists)50
82
Q3 - 7:22CelticsAl Horford makes two point driving layup48
82
Q3 - 7:36CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound48
80
Q3 - 7:38HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup48
80
Q3 - 7:47CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup48
80
Q3 - 8:04CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound48
78
Q3 - 8:05HeatJayson Tatum blocks Caleb Martin's two point pullup jump shot48
78
Q3 - 8:18HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound48
78
Q3 - 8:20HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot48
78
Q3 - 8:28CelticsDerrick White turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)48
78
Q3 - 8:32CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound48
78
Q3 - 8:34HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot48
78
Q3 - 8:46HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound48
78
Q3 - 8:47CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot48
78
Q3 - 9:01HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup48
78
Q3 - 9:11CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 3 of 346
78
Q3 - 9:11CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 346
77
Q3 - 9:11CelticsDerrick White misses regular free throw 1 of 346
76
Q3 - 9:11Heat lineup change (Delon Wright, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Haywood Highsmith)46
76
Q3 - 9:11HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)46
76
Q3 - 9:28CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound46
76
Q3 - 9:30HeatCaleb Martin misses three point pullup jump shot46
76
Q3 - 9:50Heat 60 second timeout46
76
Q3 - 9:50CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)46
76
Q3 - 10:03CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound46
73
Q3 - 10:04HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot46
73
Q3 - 10:20CelticsAl Horford makes two point cutting layup (Jayson Tatum assists)46
73
Q3 - 10:37CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound46
71
Q3 - 10:39HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot46
71
Q3 - 10:48HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound46
71
Q3 - 10:49CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot46
71
Q3 - 10:58CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound46
71
Q3 - 11:00HeatPatty Mills misses three point jump shot46
71
Q3 - 11:11CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 246
71
Q3 - 11:11CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 246
70
Q3 - 11:11HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)46
69
Q3 - 11:23CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound46
69
Q3 - 11:24HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot46
69
Q3 - 11:37CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 246
69
Q3 - 11:37CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 1 of 246
68
Q3 - 11:37HeatDelon Wright shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)46
68
Q3 - 11:46CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound46
68
Q3 - 11:48HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot46
68
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.46
68
Q2 - 0:00.0CelticsCeltics offensive rebound46
68
Q2 - 0:00.0CelticsDerrick White misses three point stepback jump shot46
68
Q2 - 0:06.3HeatDelon Wright makes two point driving reverse layup46
68
Q2 - 0:14.9HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound44
68
Q2 - 0:16.3CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point stepback jump shot44
68
Q2 - 0:29.0CelticsJrue Holiday offensive rebound44
68
Q2 - 0:31.5CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point pullup jump shot44
68
Q2 - 0:38.1Stoppage (Other)44
68
Q2 - 0:38.1HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot44
68
Q2 - 0:54.6CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 242
68
Q2 - 0:54.6CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 242
67
Q2 - 0:54.6HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)42
66
Q2 - 0:56.6Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown, Jrue Holiday, Derrick White)42
66
Q2 - 0:56.6Stoppage (Out of bounds)42
66
Q2 - 1:02CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound42
66
Q2 - 1:04HeatBam Adebayo misses two point stepback jump shot42
66
Q2 - 1:08Stoppage (Out of bounds)42
66
Q2 - 1:16HeatBam Adebayo makes technical free throw 1 of 142
66
Q2 - 1:16Celtics technical foul (Defensive three second)41
66
Q2 - 1:29CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point cutting layup (Jrue Holiday assists)41
66
Q2 - 1:38CelticsLuke Kornet defensive rebound41
64
Q2 - 1:42HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot41
64
Q2 - 1:53CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (bad pass) (Delon Wright steals)41
64
Q2 - 2:00CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound41
64
Q2 - 2:01HeatBam Adebayo misses two point stepback jump shot41
64
Q2 - 2:19CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (offensive foul)41
64
Q2 - 2:19CelticsJaylen Brown offensive foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)41
64
Q2 - 2:32Jump ball. Jaylen Brown vs. Patty Mills (Derrick White gains possession)41
64
Q2 - 2:36CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound41
64
Q2 - 2:37HeatTyler Herro misses three point running pullup jump shot41
64
Q2 - 2:41HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound41
64
Q2 - 2:42CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot41
64
Q2 - 3:01CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound41
64
Q2 - 3:03HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot41
64
Q2 - 3:15CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Delon Wright steals)41
64
Q2 - 3:17CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound41
64
Q2 - 3:19HeatDelon Wright misses three point jump shot41
64
Q2 - 3:38CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point cutting dunk (Luke Kornet assists)41
64
Q2 - 3:56Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Luke Kornet, Jaylen Brown, Jrue Holiday, Derrick White)41
62
Q2 - 3:56Celtics 60 second timeout41
62
Q2 - 3:56CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound41
62
Q2 - 3:57HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot41
62
Q2 - 4:11CelticsJrue Holiday makes regular free throw 2 of 241
62
Q2 - 4:11CelticsJrue Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 241
61
Q2 - 4:11HeatDelon Wright shooting foul (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)41
60
Q2 - 4:33HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Patty Mills assists)41
60
Q2 - 4:39Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Luke Kornet, Jaylen Brown, Jrue Holiday, Derrick White)39
60
Q2 - 4:39CelticsJrue Holiday turnover (inbound)39
60
Q2 - 4:41HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)39
60
Q2 - 4:54CelticsPayton Pritchard makes regular free throw 2 of 237
60
Q2 - 4:54Heat lineup change (Delon Wright, Patty Mills, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin)37
59
Q2 - 4:54CelticsPayton Pritchard makes regular free throw 1 of 237
59
Q2 - 4:54HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Payton Pritchard draws the foul)37
58
Q2 - 5:05HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup37
58
Q2 - 5:17CelticsAl Horford makes regular free throw 2 of 235
58
Q2 - 5:17Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown, Jrue Holiday, Derrick White)35
57
Q2 - 5:17CelticsAl Horford misses regular free throw 1 of 235
57
Q2 - 5:17HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Loose ball) (Al Horford draws the foul)35
57
Q2 - 5:17CelticsCeltics offensive rebound35
57
Q2 - 5:18CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot35
57
Q2 - 5:21CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound35
57
Q2 - 5:23CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot35
57
Q2 - 5:48HeatTyler Herro makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)35
57
Q2 - 5:58CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving layup (Jayson Tatum assists)33
57
Q2 - 6:01HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Al Horford draws the foul)33
55
Q2 - 6:16HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 133
55
Q2 - 6:16Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White)32
55
Q2 - 6:16CelticsDerrick White shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)32
55
Q2 - 6:16HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running layup32
55
Q2 - 6:18CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)30
55
Q2 - 6:40HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Derrick White steals)30
55
Q2 - 6:50HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound30
55
Q2 - 6:52CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot30
55
Q2 - 6:56Stoppage (Out of bounds)30
55
Q2 - 7:19HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)30
55
Q2 - 7:35HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound27
55
Q2 - 7:35CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 227
55
Q2 - 7:35Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown, Jrue Holiday, Derrick White)27
55
Q2 - 7:35Heat lineup change (Delon Wright, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson)27
55
Q2 - 7:35CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 227
55
Q2 - 7:35HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)27
55
Q2 - 7:44HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)27
55
Q2 - 8:00CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point pullup jump shot25
55
Q2 - 8:22CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound25
52
Q2 - 8:23HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot25
52
Q2 - 8:35CelticsJrue Holiday makes three point jump shot (Sam Hauser assists)25
52
Q2 - 8:45CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound25
49
Q2 - 8:47HeatLuke Kornet blocks Bam Adebayo's two point fadeaway jump shot25
49
Q2 - 8:52Stoppage (Out of bounds)25
49
Q2 - 9:05Heat 60 second timeout25
49
Q2 - 9:05CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point turnaround hook shot25
49
Q2 - 9:17CelticsJrue Holiday offensive rebound25
47
Q2 - 9:18CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 125
47
Q2 - 9:18HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)25
47
Q2 - 9:18CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point pullup jump shot25
47
Q2 - 9:31HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)25
45
Q2 - 9:40HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound23
45
Q2 - 9:41CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving layup23
45
Q2 - 9:55HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)23
45
Q2 - 10:02CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound23
45
Q2 - 10:03HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot23
45
Q2 - 10:13Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Sam Hauser, Luke Kornet, Jaylen Brown, Jrue Holiday)23
45
Q2 - 10:13Stoppage (Out of bounds)23
45
Q2 - 10:26CelticsJrue Holiday makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot23
45
Q2 - 10:35CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound23
43
Q2 - 10:37HeatCaleb Martin misses three point running jump shot23
43
Q2 - 10:45HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound23
43
Q2 - 10:48CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot23
43
Q2 - 11:07Stoppage (Out of bounds)23
43
Q2 - 11:07CelticsCeltics defensive rebound23
43
Q2 - 11:08HeatNikola Jovic misses three point pullup jump shot23
43
Q2 - 11:22CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point fadeaway jump shot23
43
Q2 - 11:40CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound23
41
Q2 - 11:41HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot23
41
Q2 - 12:00Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Sam Hauser, Luke Kornet, Jrue Holiday)23
41
Q2 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Nikola Jovic)23
41
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.23
41
Q1 - 0:00.3CelticsCeltics offensive rebound23
41
Q1 - 0:00.3CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot23
41
Q1 - 0:04.2CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound23
41
Q1 - 0:05.2HeatKevin Love misses two point hook shot23
41
Q1 - 0:29.4CelticsSam Hauser makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)23
41
Q1 - 0:46.5HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 123
38
Q1 - 0:46.5CelticsJrue Holiday shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)22
38
Q1 - 0:46.5HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk (Caleb Martin assists)22
38
Q1 - 0:57.2CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point pullup jump shot20
38
Q1 - 1:14HeatKevin Love makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot20
35
Q1 - 1:40CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point stepback jump shot18
35
Q1 - 1:59HeatPatty Mills makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)18
32
Q1 - 2:17Heat 60 second timeout16
32
Q1 - 2:18CelticsSam Hauser makes three point stepback jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)16
32
Q1 - 2:26CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound16
29
Q1 - 2:27HeatPatty Mills misses three point pullup jump shot16
29
Q1 - 2:36CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 216
29
Q1 - 2:36Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Sam Hauser, Al Horford, Jrue Holiday)16
28
Q1 - 2:36Heat lineup change (Patty Mills, Bam Adebayo, Kevin Love, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson)16
28
Q1 - 2:36CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 1 of 216
28
Q1 - 2:36HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)16
28
Q1 - 2:56CelticsLuke Kornet defensive rebound16
28
Q1 - 2:57HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot16
28
Q1 - 3:11CelticsDerrick White makes three point stepback jump shot16
28
Q1 - 3:29CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound16
25
Q1 - 3:30HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot16
25
Q1 - 3:42CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 216
25
Q1 - 3:42Heat lineup change (Patty Mills, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Haywood Highsmith)16
24
Q1 - 3:42CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 216
24
Q1 - 3:42HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)16
23
Q1 - 3:49CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound16
23
Q1 - 3:52HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot16
23
Q1 - 3:59HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound16
23
Q1 - 3:59CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 2 of 216
23
Q1 - 3:59CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 216
23
Q1 - 3:59HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)16
22
Q1 - 4:12CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound16
22
Q1 - 4:14HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot16
22
Q1 - 4:26CelticsJayson Tatum makes technical free throw 1 of 116
22
Q1 - 4:26Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Sam Hauser, Luke Kornet, Derrick White)16
21
Q1 - 4:26Heat lineup change (Patty Mills, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Haywood Highsmith)16
21
Q1 - 4:26HeatTyler Herro technical foul16
21
Q1 - 4:26Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Upheld)16
21
Q1 - 4:26Celtics 60 second timeout16
21
Q1 - 4:26CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (offensive foul)16
21
Q1 - 4:26CelticsJaylen Brown offensive foul (Delon Wright draws the foul)16
21
Q1 - 4:45HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Delon Wright assists)16
21
Q1 - 5:05CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)13
21
Q1 - 5:17HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot13
18
Q1 - 5:31CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)11
18
Q1 - 5:44CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound11
15
Q1 - 5:45HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot11
15
Q1 - 6:02Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White)11
15
Q1 - 6:02Heat 60 second timeout11
15
Q1 - 6:02CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving dunk (Al Horford assists)11
15
Q1 - 6:19CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound11
13
Q1 - 6:20HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot11
13
Q1 - 6:36CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup (Jrue Holiday assists)11
13
Q1 - 6:46HeatDelon Wright makes two point driving layup11
11
Q1 - 7:05CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving layup9
11
Q1 - 7:13CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound9
9
Q1 - 7:14HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot9
9
Q1 - 7:27HeatDelon Wright defensive rebound9
9
Q1 - 7:28CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point stepback jump shot9
9
Q1 - 7:51HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Delon Wright assists)9
9
Q1 - 8:07HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound7
9
Q1 - 8:08CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot7
9
Q1 - 8:22HeatNikola Jovic makes two point driving layup7
9
Q1 - 8:34HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound5
9
Q1 - 8:35CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot5
9
Q1 - 8:48CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound5
9
Q1 - 8:49HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating bank jump shot5
9
Q1 - 9:05CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup5
9
Q1 - 9:11CelticsJrue Holiday offensive rebound5
7
Q1 - 9:14CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot5
7
Q1 - 9:29HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)5
7
Q1 - 9:41CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)2
7
Q1 - 9:50CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup (Jayson Tatum assists)2
7
Q1 - 9:58HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Al Horford steals)2
5
Q1 - 10:07HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound2
5
Q1 - 10:09CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point stepback jump shot2
5
Q1 - 10:27CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound2
5
Q1 - 10:28HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot2
5
Q1 - 10:41CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)2
5
Q1 - 10:57HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot2
2
Q1 - 11:15CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup (Al Horford assists)0
2
Q1 - 11:29CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:31HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot0
0
Q1 - 11:42HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:44CelticsJrue Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Al Horford (Derrick White gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown, Jrue Holiday, Derrick White)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Delon Wright, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Nikola Jovic)0
0
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.91 45.7%
BOS
1.28 64.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
22
27
81%
BOS
20
23
87%
Midrange
MIA
11
31
35%
BOS
6
14
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
29
10%
16%
BOS
16
24.0
40
40%
60%
Free Throws
MIA
9
10
90%
BOS
18
27
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo2344%11.5 / 26
T. Herro1538%7.5 / 20
C. Martin1056%5.0 / 9
T. Bryant1071%5.0 / 7
D. Wright857%4.0 / 7
N. Jović850%4.0 / 8
H. Highsmith440%2.0 / 5
P. Mills233%1.0 / 3
D. Robinson233%1.0 / 3
K. Love250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. White2583%12.5 / 15
J. Brown2560%12.5 / 21
S. Hauser1785%8.5 / 10
J. Tatum1662%8.0 / 13
J. Holiday1083%5.0 / 6
A. Horford880%4.0 / 5
P. Pritchard735%3.5 / 10
O. Brissett450%2.0 / 4
L. Kornet2100%1.0 / 1
J. Springer2100%1.0 / 1
X. Tillman2100%1.0 / 1
S. Mykhailiuk0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
89
+3
-6
92
BOS
81
+11
-14
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.91 45.7%
BOS
1.28 64.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.7
116.8
MIA 88.4
BOS 124.2 +35.8
Pace
91.6
92.6
MIA 99.3 +7.5
BOS 91.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
16.5
MIA 14.5 −1.2
BOS 15.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.7%
55.5%
MIA 43.1%
BOS 64.9% +21.8%
TO %
11.4%
11.0%
MIA 6.2% −8.2%
BOS 14.4%
ORB %
13.3%
23.7%
MIA 4.0%
BOS 22.9% +18.9%
FTrt
14.8
23.0
MIA 11.5
BOS 35.1 +23.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.6%
60.5%
MIA 55.6% +0.8%
BOS 54.8%
STL %
5.0%
6.7%
MIA 4.2%
BOS 5.3% +1.1%
BLK %
3.3%
10.2%
MIA 0.0%
BOS 5.2% +5.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
56.8%
MIA 45.7%
BOS 64.1% +18.4%
Rim FG%
72.3%
69.2%
MIA 81.5%
BOS 87.0% +5.5%
Mid FG%
40.5%
41.0%
MIA 35.5%
BOS 42.9% +7.4%
3P %
32.9%
36.0%
MIA 10.3%
BOS 40.0% +29.7%
FT %
81.7%
81.2%
MIA 90.0% +23.3%
BOS 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
20.4%
29.4%
MIA 31.0% +1.2%
BOS 29.9%
Mid Att. %
37.7%
22.7%
MIA 35.6%
BOS 18.2% −17.5%
3P Att. %
41.9%
48.0%
MIA 33.3%
BOS 51.9% +18.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.7 and 2.7.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes23.024.8
Points84118
Rebounds2956
Assists2023
Steals45
Blocks03
Turnovers (Team)6 (0)14 (1)
Fouls1715
Off. Rebounds (Team)2 (1)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (1)48 (1)
Field Goals36-8742-77
At-the-Rim FG22-2720-23
Midrange FG11-316-14
2-Point FG33-5826-37
3-Point FG3-2916-40
Free Throws9-1018-27
Fast Break Pts35
2nd Chance Pts011
Points in Paint5652
Pts off Turnovers1510
Bench Points2034
Biggest Lead037

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 29
36.3
10
56%
4
1
0
0
0
3
1
3
1-1
100%
3-4
75%
1-5
20%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 27
36.0
23
44%
5
6
2
0
3
1
0
5
2-2
100%
9-23
39%
1-3
33%
#14 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 24
35.0
15
38%
3
3
0
0
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
5-11
45%
1-8
13%
#4 · SG · 6'4" 185 · 32
32.5
8
57%
3
2
2
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-2
0%
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 21
27.7
8
50%
7
4
0
0
0
2
0
7
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
0-3
0%
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27
23.0
4
40%
3
0
0
0
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
#88 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 36
17.5
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 30
17.5
2
33%
1
2
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
#31 · C · 6'9" 248 · 27
12.0
10
71%
3
1
0
0
2
0
1
2
2-3
67%
4-4
100%
0-2
0%
#42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 36
2.6
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#11 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 23
NWT - Injury/Illness | Right Hip Flexor; Strain
#22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 35
NWT - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; MCL Sprain
#2 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 30
NWT - Injury/Illness | Neck; Spasm
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 31
NWT - Injury/Illness | Right Shoulder; Surgery
#25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
46%
29
20
4
0
6
17
2
27
9-10
90%
33-58
57%
3-29
10%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.