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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 21, 2024
7:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Pacers48%11594
18Bucks52%116109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Aaron Nesmith
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.5
36.8
25.9
7
35%
4
3
0
1
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
55%
1-7
14%
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'8" 245 · 30.1
40.2
27.7
36
61%
13
2
1
1
2
1
5
8
5-10
50%
14-21
6-12
67%
55%
1-4
25%
Myles Turner
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28.1
32.5
24.5
17
43%
8
2
2
0
0
1
1
7
4-6
67%
2-7
4-6
29%
60%
3-10
30%
Andrew Nembhard
G-F · 6'4" 191 · 24.3
29.7
26.8
6
47%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
54%
1-2
50%
Tyrese Haliburton
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.1
37.7
29.9
9
64%
7
8
1
1
1
3
1
6
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
57%
1-3
33%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.1
18.3
17.7
10
38%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
5-10
4-8
50%
55%
0-3
0%
Obi Toppin
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.1
13.5
14.9
4
33%
5
0
0
0
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
66%
0-4
0%
Jalen Smith
F-C · 6'9" 215 · 24.1
13.3
16.3
2
35%
7
0
0
0
0
2
5
2
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
61%
0-1
0%
Ben Sheppard
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.8
9.2
21.5
3
30%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
54%
1-4
25%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 32.3
6.7
12.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-1
0%
Isaiah Jackson
F · 6'9" 205 · 22.3
2.1
6.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
61%
0-0
-
Jarace Walker
F · 6'7" 235 · 20.6
5.3
0
0-1
49%
Kendall Brown
G · 6'8" 205 · 20.9
4.4
0
0-1
55%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 37.2
2.3
0
0-0
50%
Bennedict Mathurin
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 21.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'7" 222 · 32.7
34.6
28.6
23
73%
10
4
0
1
1
1
1
9
4-4
100%
8-10
4-7
80%
53%
1-4
25%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'10" 250 · 29.2
30.7
27.4
15
49%
11
1
0
1
0
3
0
11
1-1
100%
7-13
6-10
54%
55%
0-2
0%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'1" 282 · 36.1
31.8
27.5
11
55%
4
3
0
0
3
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
62%
1-4
25%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.8
36.6
24.7
5
50%
7
8
2
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
1-2
50%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'2" 195 · 33.8
37.9
33.2
35
65%
6
3
0
1
0
3
0
6
7-7
100%
5-13
4-8
38%
52%
6-11
55%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 27.4
28.9
24.2
9
64%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
3-7
43%
Pat Connaughton
G · 6'5" 209 · 31.3
21.8
18.6
6
55%
2
1
3
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
62%
1-2
50%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 33.8
12.1
20.9
5
63%
3
1
0
1
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
1-2
50%
AJ Green
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.6
5.5
15.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-3
0%
Andre Jackson Jr.
G · 6'6" 209 · 22.4
6.7
0
0-1
58%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 35.7
4.3
0
0-1
48%
MarJon Beauchamp
F · 6'6" 199 · 23.5
4.2
0
0-1
54%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'7" 205 · 31.8
4.2
0
0-1
57%
Chris Livingston
F · 6'6" 220 · 20.5
2.6
0
0-0
56%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 243 · 29.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.