Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Pacers	49%	117	125	134.4	93	101.8
	18	Bucks	51%	118	108	117.4	92	86.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24	36.9	12	55%	4	12	1	1	2	4	1	3	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	3-7	43%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 30	36.6	37	77%	11	6	0	0	0	3	1	10	2-3	67%	13-19	68%	3-4	75%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	36.5	11	55%	5	7	0	1	1	4	0	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-8	38%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28	34.3	22	73%	7	6	0	3	0	0	0	7	1-1	100%	6-9	67%	3-6	50%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 24	31.5	20	77%	4	3	0	0	0	4	3	1	3-5	60%	7-8	88%	1-3	33%

Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	23.4	8	100%	3	0	1	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	20.9	9	41%	8	0	1	0	0	2	2	6	0-1	0%	3-6	50%	1-5	20%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32	16.5	6	43%	2	4	0	0	1	0	0	2	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 21	1.9	0	0%	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 21	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Doug McDermott #20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Labral Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	63%	45	38	3	6	5	18	7	38	9-14	64%	34-54	63%	16-36	44%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

11 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24	36.9	12	55%	4	12	1	1	2	4	1	3	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	3-7	43%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 30	36.6	37	77%	11	6	0	0	0	3	1	10	2-3	67%	13-19	68%	3-4	75%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	36.5	11	55%	5	7	0	1	1	4	0	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-8	38%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28	34.3	22	73%	7	6	0	3	0	0	0	7	1-1	100%	6-9	67%	3-6	50%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 24	31.5	20	77%	4	3	0	0	0	4	3	1	3-5	60%	7-8	88%	1-3	33%

Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	23.4	8	100%	3	0	1	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	20.9	9	41%	8	0	1	0	0	2	2	6	0-1	0%	3-6	50%	1-5	20%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32	16.5	6	43%	2	4	0	0	1	0	0	2	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 21	1.9	0	0%	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 21	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Doug McDermott #20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Labral Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	63%	45	38	3	6	5	18	7	38	9-14	64%	34-54	63%	16-36	44%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

18 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	39.0	34	71%	4	5	1	0	1	3	2	2	8-9	89%	4-8	50%	6-13	46%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 33	36.5	15	50%	5	6	0	0	1	2	0	5	2-2	100%	5-11	45%	1-3	33%
Patrick Beverley #21 · SG · 6'1" 185 · 36	34.0	5	42%	4	3	1	2	1	2	1	3	3-3	100%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Bobby Portis Jr. #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 29	30.1	14	41%	11	2	1	0	0	1	2	9	2-3	67%	6-14	43%	0-2	0%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 36	29.0	22	85%	1	3	0	2	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	2-6	33%	6-7	86%

Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 31	19.0	5	125%	7	2	0	0	0	2	1	6	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25	15.3	5	63%	3	1	0	0	1	2	0	3	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 34	14.8	2	25%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 27	10.2	4	50%	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 22	4.7	2	50%	1	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 24	3.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	3.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Danilo Gallinari #12 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Soleus; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	57%	40	24	4	4	7	13	8	32	19-21	90%	25-54	46%	13-32	41%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	IND	MIL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND

1.26 63.1%

MIL

1.15 57.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

18

23

78%

MIL

13

25

52%

Midrange

IND

16

31

52%

MIL

12

29

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

16

24.0

36

44%

67%

MIL

13

19.5

32

41%

61%

Free Throws

IND

9

14

64%

MIL

19

21

90%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Siakam	37	77%	18.5 / 24
M. Turner	22	73%	11.0 / 15
A. Nembhard	20	77%	10.0 / 13
T. Haliburton	12	55%	6.0 / 11
A. Nesmith	11	55%	5.5 / 10
O. Toppin	9	41%	4.5 / 11
B. Sheppard	8	100%	4.0 / 4
T. McConnell	6	43%	3.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Lillard	34	71%	17.0 / 24
B. Lopez	22	85%	11.0 / 13
K. Middleton	15	50%	7.5 / 15
B. Portis	14	41%	7.0 / 17
P. Beverley	5	42%	2.5 / 6
P. Connaughton	5	125%	2.5 / 2
A. Green	5	63%	2.5 / 4
M. Beasley	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Crowder	2	25%	1.0 / 4
A. Jackson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
M. Beauchamp	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	1 120.3 4 116.8	IND 134.4 +17.0 MIL 117.4
Pace	7 93.6 11 93.0	IND 101.8 +15.4 MIL 86.4
Avg. Poss. Time	29 14.5 17 16.3	IND 14.1 −2.5 MIL 16.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 57.6% 6 53.8%	IND 64.4% +12.7% MIL 51.7%
TO %	8 12.1% 1 10.4%	IND 5.9% −1.8% MIL 7.7%
ORB %	8 25.4% 11 22.1%	IND 17.9% +0.5% MIL 17.4%
FTrt	15 18.4 8 24.5	IND 15.6 MIL 24.4 +8.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 66.8% 16 54.3%	IND 76.0% +12.8% MIL 63.2%
STL %	14 5.8% 15 5.6%	IND 3.2% MIL 4.3% +1.1%
BLK %	12 8.7% 13 7.4%	IND 11.1% +3.7% MIL 7.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 58.5% 4 56.8%	IND 63.1% +5.7% MIL 57.4%
Rim FG%	4 67.1% 6 62.8%	IND 78.3% +26.3% MIL 52.0%
Mid FG%	1 50.0% 2 47.9%	IND 51.6% +10.2% MIL 41.4%
3P %	4 37.2% 10 35.4%	IND 44.4% +3.8% MIL 40.6%
FT %	15 74.6% 5 81.9%	IND 64.3% MIL 90.5% +26.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 31.8% 15 26.4%	IND 25.6% MIL 29.1% +3.5%
Mid Att. %	11 31.0% 15 37.1%	IND 34.4% MIL 33.7% −0.7%
3P Att. %	11 37.2% 13 36.5%	IND 40.0% +2.8% MIL 37.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.

Game Totals	IND	MIL
Possessions	93	92
Possession Minutes	21.9	25.6
Points	125	108
Rebounds	45	40
Assists	38	24
Steals	3	4
Blocks	6	4
Turnovers (Team)	5 (1)	7 (1)
Fouls	18	13
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (4)	8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (2)	32 (1)
Field Goals	50-90	38-86
At-the-Rim FG	18-23	13-25
Midrange FG	16-31	12-29
2-Point FG	34-54	25-54
3-Point FG	16-36	13-32
Free Throws	9-14	19-21
Fast Break Pts	14	5
2nd Chance Pts	10	13
Points in Paint	52	36
Pts off Turnovers	11	7
Bench Points	23	18
Biggest Lead	23	8

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg