Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Bucks	34%	114	118	119.2	99	91.0
	9	Pacers	66%	121	121	123.5	98	87.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 34	44.6	28	56%	1	8	3	0	2	2	0	1	12-12	100%	2-8	25%	4-12	33%
Bobby Portis Jr. #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 29	43.8	17	53%	18	0	1	1	3	3	5	13	2-2	100%	6-12	50%	1-3	33%
Patrick Beverley #21 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 36	42.2	11	79%	2	1	0	1	2	6	1	1	4-5	80%	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 33	41.3	42	66%	10	5	0	0	3	5	3	7	6-6	100%	12-20	60%	4-9	44%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 36	39.0	14	58%	4	3	0	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	7-10	70%	0-2	0%

Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 22	17.3	2	50%	3	0	1	0	0	4	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25	14.4	4	100%	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 31	13.2	0	0%	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 27	6.9	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 34	2.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Danilo Gallinari #12 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Soleus; Strain
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Non-covid; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	118	57%	43	20	6	2	11	26	11	32	26-27	96%	31-57	54%	10-31	32%

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18 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 34	44.6	28	56%	1	8	3	0	2	2	0	1	12-12	100%	2-8	25%	4-12	33%
Bobby Portis Jr. #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 29	43.8	17	53%	18	0	1	1	3	3	5	13	2-2	100%	6-12	50%	1-3	33%
Patrick Beverley #21 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 36	42.2	11	79%	2	1	0	1	2	6	1	1	4-5	80%	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 33	41.3	42	66%	10	5	0	0	3	5	3	7	6-6	100%	12-20	60%	4-9	44%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 36	39.0	14	58%	4	3	0	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	7-10	70%	0-2	0%

Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 22	17.3	2	50%	3	0	1	0	0	4	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25	14.4	4	100%	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 31	13.2	0	0%	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 27	6.9	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 34	2.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Danilo Gallinari #12 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Soleus; Strain
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Non-covid; Illness
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	118	57%	43	20	6	2	11	26	11	32	26-27	96%	31-57	54%	10-31	32%

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9 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24	45.8	18	41%	10	16	0	1	4	1	5	5	1-1	100%	7-10	70%	1-12	8%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	42.8	13	41%	8	3	3	1	2	3	4	4	6-7	86%	2-6	33%	1-7	14%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 30	41.7	17	45%	9	4	1	1	0	1	4	5	3-5	60%	7-14	50%	0-3	0%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28	41.5	29	60%	9	1	1	0	0	4	1	8	5-6	83%	6-11	55%	4-10	40%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 24	39.6	16	73%	5	4	0	0	1	5	3	2	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	3-6	50%

Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	17.5	15	63%	6	0	0	0	1	3	0	6	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	2-6	33%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	17.2	6	75%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32	15.7	7	58%	1	2	0	1	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 24	3.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Doug McDermott #20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Labral Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	121	52%	50	32	5	4	8	20	19	31	18-24	75%	32-56	57%	13-49	27%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	IND
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	IND

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.13 56.7%

IND

1.03 51.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

18

30

60%

IND

18

25

72%

Midrange

MIL

13

27

48%

IND

14

31

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

10

15.0

31

32%

48%

IND

13

19.5

49

27%

40%

Free Throws

MIL

26

27

96%

IND

18

24

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Middleton	42	66%	21.0 / 32
D. Lillard	28	56%	14.0 / 25
B. Portis	17	53%	8.5 / 16
B. Lopez	14	58%	7.0 / 12
P. Beverley	11	79%	5.5 / 7
A. Green	4	100%	2.0 / 2
A. Jackson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
P. Connaughton	0	-	0.0 / 1
M. Beasley	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Crowder	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Turner	29	60%	14.5 / 24
T. Haliburton	18	41%	9.0 / 22
P. Siakam	17	45%	8.5 / 19
A. Nembhard	16	73%	8.0 / 11
O. Toppin	15	63%	7.5 / 12
A. Nesmith	13	41%	6.5 / 16
T. McConnell	7	58%	3.5 / 6
B. Sheppard	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Smith	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	4 116.8 1 120.3	MIL 119.2 IND 123.5 +4.3
Pace	11 93.0 7 93.6	MIL 91.0 +3.5 IND 87.5
Avg. Poss. Time	17 16.3 29 14.5	MIL 15.8 −0.6 IND 16.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 53.8% 1 57.6%	MIL 52.3% +3.3% IND 49.0%
TO %	1 10.4% 8 12.1%	MIL 10.7% IND 6.5% −4.2%
ORB %	11 22.1% 8 25.4%	MIL 26.2% IND 37.3% +11.1%
FTrt	8 24.5 15 18.4	MIL 30.7 +7.8 IND 22.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 54.3% 1 66.8%	MIL 48.8% IND 71.1% +22.3%
STL %	15 5.6% 14 5.8%	MIL 6.1% +1.0% IND 5.1%
BLK %	13 7.4% 12 8.7%	MIL 3.6% IND 7.0% +3.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	4 56.8% 1 58.5%	MIL 56.7% +5.0% IND 51.7%
Rim FG%	6 62.8% 4 67.1%	MIL 60.0% IND 72.0% +12.0%
Mid FG%	2 47.9% 1 50.0%	MIL 48.1% +2.9% IND 45.2%
3P %	10 35.4% 4 37.2%	MIL 32.3% +5.8% IND 26.5%
FT %	5 81.9% 15 74.6%	MIL 96.3% +21.3% IND 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	15 26.4% 9 31.8%	MIL 34.1% +10.3% IND 23.8%
Mid Att. %	15 37.1% 11 31.0%	MIL 30.7% IND 29.5% −1.2%
3P Att. %	13 36.5% 11 37.2%	MIL 35.2% IND 46.7% +11.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.

Game Totals	MIL	IND
Possessions	99	98
Possession Minutes	26.1	26.9
Points	118	121
Rebounds	43	50
Assists	20	32
Steals	6	5
Blocks	2	4
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	8 (0)
Fouls	26	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (5)	19 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (4)	31 (1)
Field Goals	41-88	45-105
At-the-Rim FG	18-30	18-25
Midrange FG	13-27	14-31
2-Point FG	31-57	32-56
3-Point FG	10-31	13-49
Free Throws	26-27	18-24
Fast Break Pts	4	12
2nd Chance Pts	15	32
Points in Paint	48	44
Pts off Turnovers	7	14
Bench Points	6	28
Biggest Lead	3	19

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg