Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Bucks	27%	111	113	117.7	96	92.1
	8	Pacers	73%	121	126	128.6	98	102.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 33	39.9	25	50%	10	5	1	0	4	4	1	9	7-8	88%	9-18	50%	0-4	0%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 36	38.9	27	68%	9	1	0	1	3	0	3	6	0-4	0%	9-13	69%	3-5	60%
Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 27	34.5	20	83%	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	4-7	57%
Patrick Beverley #21 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 36	20.6	9	64%	1	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	1-1	100%
Bobby Portis Jr. #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 29	7.0	4	50%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%

Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 22	25.3	6	75%	6	7	3	1	2	4	3	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 31	22.4	4	33%	3	3	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25	21.5	8	57%	3	1	0	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-6	33%
Danilo Gallinari #12 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 36	13.1	6	60%	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 34	12.6	2	25%	1	1	0	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 24	2.2	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 32	2.2	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Non-covid; Illness
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Tendinitis
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Soleus; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	59%	42	26	5	4	9	18	7	35	9-14	64%	34-57	60%	12-33	36%

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20 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 33	39.9	25	50%	10	5	1	0	4	4	1	9	7-8	88%	9-18	50%	0-4	0%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 36	38.9	27	68%	9	1	0	1	3	0	3	6	0-4	0%	9-13	69%	3-5	60%
Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 27	34.5	20	83%	3	2	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	4-7	57%
Patrick Beverley #21 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 36	20.6	9	64%	1	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	1-1	100%
Bobby Portis Jr. #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 29	7.0	4	50%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%

Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 22	25.3	6	75%	6	7	3	1	2	4	3	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 31	22.4	4	33%	3	3	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25	21.5	8	57%	3	1	0	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-6	33%
Danilo Gallinari #12 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 36	13.1	6	60%	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 34	12.6	2	25%	1	1	0	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 24	2.2	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 32	2.2	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Non-covid; Illness
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 34	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Tendinitis
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Soleus; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	59%	42	26	5	4	9	18	7	35	9-14	64%	34-57	60%	12-33	36%

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8 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 30	39.7	13	43%	9	7	2	1	0	2	1	8	1-3	33%	6-10	60%	0-4	0%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 24	37.8	15	83%	3	9	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	3-4	75%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	37.6	13	81%	3	1	0	2	1	4	1	2	4-4	100%	0-1	0%	3-5	60%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28	37.6	29	73%	9	4	0	3	0	5	1	8	2-6	33%	3-8	38%	7-9	78%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24	32.0	24	75%	4	4	1	0	3	0	0	4	3-3	100%	3-4	75%	5-12	42%

T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32	18.2	8	36%	4	8	0	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-3	0%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	16.5	13	72%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-2	50%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	14.1	8	133%	2	0	1	0	3	2	0	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	2-2	100%
Doug McDermott #20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	2.7	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 22	2.2	0	0%	2	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 21	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Labral Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	62%	38	33	5	6	7	18	5	33	12-18	67%	24-46	52%	22-43	51%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	IND
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	IND

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.18 58.9%

IND

1.25 62.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

13

20

65%

IND

13

23

57%

Midrange

MIL

21

37

57%

IND

11

23

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

12

18.0

33

36%

55%

IND

22

33.0

43

51%

77%

Free Throws

MIL

9

14

64%

IND

12

18

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Lopez	27	68%	13.5 / 20
K. Middleton	25	50%	12.5 / 25
M. Beasley	20	83%	10.0 / 12
P. Beverley	9	64%	4.5 / 7
A. Green	8	57%	4.0 / 7
A. Jackson	6	75%	3.0 / 4
D. Gallinari	6	60%	3.0 / 5
B. Portis	4	50%	2.0 / 4
P. Connaughton	4	33%	2.0 / 6
J. Crowder	2	25%	1.0 / 4
M. Beauchamp	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Turner	29	73%	14.5 / 20
T. Haliburton	24	75%	12.0 / 16
A. Nembhard	15	83%	7.5 / 9
P. Siakam	13	43%	6.5 / 15
A. Nesmith	13	81%	6.5 / 8
O. Toppin	13	72%	6.5 / 9
T. McConnell	8	36%	4.0 / 11
B. Sheppard	8	133%	4.0 / 3
D. McDermott	3	75%	1.5 / 2
I. Jackson	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	4 116.8 1 120.3	MIL 117.7 IND 128.6 +10.9
Pace	11 93.0 7 93.6	MIL 92.1 IND 102.2 +10.1
Avg. Poss. Time	17 16.3 29 14.5	MIL 15.6 IND 14.1 −1.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 53.8% 1 57.6%	MIL 57.8% IND 64.0% +6.2%
TO %	1 10.4% 8 12.1%	MIL 8.6% IND 7.6% −1.0%
ORB %	11 22.1% 8 25.4%	MIL 17.5% +5.0% IND 12.5%
FTrt	8 24.5 15 18.4	MIL 15.6 IND 20.2 +4.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 54.3% 1 66.8%	MIL 56.5% IND 71.7% +15.2%
STL %	15 5.6% 14 5.8%	MIL 5.2% +0.1% IND 5.1%
BLK %	13 7.4% 12 8.7%	MIL 8.7% IND 10.5% +1.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	4 56.8% 1 58.5%	MIL 58.9% IND 62.4% +3.5%
Rim FG%	6 62.8% 4 67.1%	MIL 65.0% +8.5% IND 56.5%
Mid FG%	2 47.9% 1 50.0%	MIL 56.8% +9.0% IND 47.8%
3P %	10 35.4% 4 37.2%	MIL 36.4% IND 51.2% +14.8%
FT %	5 81.9% 15 74.6%	MIL 64.3% IND 66.7% +2.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	15 26.4% 9 31.8%	MIL 22.2% IND 25.8% +3.6%
Mid Att. %	15 37.1% 11 31.0%	MIL 41.1% IND 25.8% −15.3%
3P Att. %	13 36.5% 11 37.2%	MIL 36.7% IND 48.3% +11.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.

Game Totals	MIL	IND
Possessions	96	98
Possession Minutes	25.0	23.0
Points	113	126
Rebounds	42	38
Assists	26	33
Steals	5	5
Blocks	4	6
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	7 (1)
Fouls	18	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (2)	5 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (1)	33 (4)
Field Goals	46-90	46-89
At-the-Rim FG	13-20	13-23
Midrange FG	21-37	11-23
2-Point FG	34-57	24-46
3-Point FG	12-33	22-43
Free Throws	9-14	12-18
Fast Break Pts	5	7
2nd Chance Pts	11	3
Points in Paint	48	38
Pts off Turnovers	4	8
Bench Points	28	32
Biggest Lead	5	19

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg